Universidad de Chile
Match Timeline
Coquimbo Unido
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
27'
Lucas Emilio Barrera Hacicki ↔ Maximiliano Guerrero
Universidad de Chile
🔄
45'
Benjamín Gazzolo ↔ Joshua Arancibia Latapiat
Coquimbo Unido
63'
Eduardo Vargas · Assist: Marcelo Ariel Morales Suárez
Universidad de Chile
🔄
64'
Alejandro Camargo ↔ Salvador Cordero
Coquimbo Unido
🔄
64'
Luis Riveros ↔ Benjamin Chandia
Coquimbo Unido
🔄
70'
Nicolás Fernández ↔ Fabián Hormazabal
Universidad de Chile
🔄
70'
Gonzalo Ezequiel Reyna ↔ Israel Poblete
Universidad de Chile
71'
Benjamin Chandia · Assist: Pablo Roberto Andres Rodriguez Salgado
Coquimbo Unido
🔄
73'
Pablo Roberto Andres Rodriguez Salgado ↔ Guido Vadalá
Coquimbo Unido
🔄
73'
Nicolas Johansen ↔ Facundo Pons
Coquimbo Unido
🟨
77'
Juan Cornejo
Coquimbo Unido
🟨
80'
Maximiliano Guerrero
Universidad de Chile
82'
Gabriel Castellón
Coquimbo Unido
🔄
82'
Charles Aránguiz ↔ Octavio Rivero
Universidad de Chile
🔄
82'
Agustín Arce ↔ Juan Martin Lucero
Universidad de Chile
🟨
85'
Facundo Pons
Coquimbo Unido
86'
Juan Martin Lucero
Universidad de Chile
🟨
90'
Marcelo Ariel Morales Suárez
Universidad de Chile
90'
Juan Martin Lucero · Assist: Marcelo Ariel Morales Suárez
Universidad de Chile
🟨
90+2'
Joshua Arancibia Latapiat
Coquimbo Unido
90+7'
Octavio Rivero
Universidad de Chile

Universidad de Chile vs Coquimbo Unido Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.9%
Odds 1.93
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.4%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.02
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.9%
1.93
BTTS Yes
67.4%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.02
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.21
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Universidad de Chile Win 68.9%
Draw 5.3%
Coquimbo Unido Win 25.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Universidad de Chile1.26
Coquimbo Unido1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile
WWDLW
41 GF / 27 GA
Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido
WLDWL
46 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
1.28
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
13
BTTS Yes
20
14
Over 2.5
15
5
Shots on Goal
4.39

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile 28 matches
Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 36 matches
Universidad de Chile Statistic Coquimbo Unido
14 Wins 15
7 Draws 12
7 Losses 9
41 Goals For 46
27 Goals Against 35
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
13 BTTS Yes 20
18 Over 1.5 25
14 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 6
11 Clean Sheets 11
7 Failed To Score 8
5 Shots On Goal 4.39
14.62 Total Shots 11.86
6.24 Corners 5.96
58.3% Ball Possession 48.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Coquimbo Unido. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Universidad de Chile come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Universidad de Chile expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Coquimbo Unido in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Coquimbo Unido having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Universidad de Chile Analysis

Universidad de Chile come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 36 points after 20 matches. The return of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 27:15, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Eduardo Vargas (6 goals), Agustín Arce (3 goals), Fabián Hormazábal (1 goals), with creative support from Lucas Assadi (4 assists), Eduardo Vargas (1 assists), Fabián Hormazábal (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Coquimbo Unido Analysis

Coquimbo Unido sit 9 with 26 points after 19 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 26:24 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Nicolás Johansen (6 goals), Alejandro Camargo (2 goals), Pablo Rodríguez (2 goals), with creative support from Juan Cornejo (3 assists), Francisco Salinas (2 assists), Cristián Zavala (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Universidad de Chile won 4 times, Coquimbo Unido won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:13 from Universidad de Chile's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Universidad de Chile 3-4-3 / Coquimbo Unido 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Universidad de Chile wins 4, draws 4, Coquimbo Unido wins 7

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 48:22 26 54
D D W W D
2 23 13 3 7 50:33 17 42
W W W W L
3 23 12 6 5 35:19 16 42
W W L L W
4 23 10 6 7 37:25 12 36
W L W W D
5 23 11 3 9 36:33 3 36
L W L W W
6 22 10 3 9 43:34 9 33
W W L W L
7 23 8 8 7 28:31 -3 32
L L L L W
8 23 9 4 10 25:26 -1 31
D L W D W
9 23 7 9 7 34:38 -4 30
L W W D W
10 22 8 5 9 31:31 0 29
L L W L D
11 23 7 7 9 26:31 -5 28
W W L D D
12 23 8 3 12 28:36 -8 27
L W L L D
13 21 7 4 10 29:39 -10 25
D L L L L
14 23 7 3 13 34:44 -10 24
W L W D L
15 22 6 4 12 17:37 -20 22
L L W L L
16 22 3 5 14 18:40 -22 14
L L D L L