CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.7%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Universidad de Chile Win 42.1%
Draw 13.3%
Colo Colo Win 44.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Universidad de Chile1.32
Colo Colo1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile
WWDLW
39 GF / 23 GA
Colo Colo Colo Colo
WLDWL
53 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
2.04
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
11
BTTS Yes
13
12
Over 2.5
16
4.84
Shots on Goal
5.74

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile 26 matches
Colo Colo Colo Colo 26 matches
Universidad de Chile Statistic Colo Colo
14 Wins 19
7 Draws 3
5 Losses 4
39 Goals For 53
23 Goals Against 27
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 2.04
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
11 BTTS Yes 13
16 Over 1.5 18
12 Over 2.5 16
7 Over 3.5 10
11 Clean Sheets 11
7 Failed To Score 3
4.84 Shots On Goal 5.74
13.11 Total Shots 15
5.63 Corners 6
57.9% Ball Possession 62.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Colo Colo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 45 points while Universidad de Chile sit 2 on 36, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Colo Colo. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Universidad de Chile expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Colo Colo in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Colo Colo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Universidad de Chile Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 36 points from 19 games, Universidad de Chile bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 10 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 26:13, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Eduardo Vargas (6 goals), Agustín Arce (3 goals), Fabián Hormazábal (1 goals), with creative support from Lucas Assadi (4 assists), Eduardo Vargas (1 assists), Fabián Hormazábal (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Colo Colo Analysis

Colo Colo come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 45 points after 18 matches. With 15 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 38:17, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Javier Correa (7 goals), Maximiliano Romero (6 goals), Leandro Hernández (4 goals), with creative support from Leandro Hernández (3 assists), Álvaro Madrid (3 assists), Claudio Aquino (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 8 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Universidad de Chile won 4 times, Colo Colo won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:17 from Universidad de Chile's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.7%)
Predicted formations: Universidad de Chile 3-4-3 / Colo Colo 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Universidad de Chile wins 4, draws 5, Colo Colo wins 6
Last matches: Universidad de Chile
15.08.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Deportes Limache
3
1
W
10.08.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Palestino
2
1
W
05.08.26
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Union San Felipe
1
0
W
02.08.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Huachipato
2
0
W
26.07.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
A. Italiano
2
1
W
05.07.26
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Santiago Wanderers
3
2
W
02.07.26
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Union La Calera
0
1
L
28.06.26
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Union San Felipe
2
0
W
24.06.26
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Union La Calera
3
3
D
21.06.26
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Santiago Wanderers
4
1
W
19.06.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
O'Higgins
2
0
W
14.06.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Union La Calera
2
2
D
30.05.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Concepción
2
1
W
17.05.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Cobresal
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
U. Catolica
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Everton de Vina
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Nublense
0
1
L
05.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
D. La Serena
4
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Coquimbo Unido
1
0
W
09.03.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Universidad de Concepcion
1
1
D
Last matches: Colo Colo
16.08.26
Pri
Colo Colo
O'Higgins
2
2
D
09.08.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Union La Calera
2
1
W
01.08.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Everton de Vina
4
3
W
25.07.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Deportes Limache
3
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Colo Colo
Millonarios
1
0
W
06.07.26
Cop
Colo Colo
Recoleta
2
2
D
03.07.26
Cop
Colo Colo
O'Higgins
1
4
L
29.06.26
Cop
Colo Colo
Union Espanola
3
0
W
25.06.26
Cop
Colo Colo
O'Higgins
3
2
W
20.06.26
Cop
Colo Colo
Recoleta
3
0
W
13.06.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Cobresal
3
0
W
30.05.26
Pri
Colo Colo
D. La Serena
4
2
W
24.05.26
Pri
Colo Colo
U. Catolica
2
1
W
17.05.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Nublense
6
2
W
03.05.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Coquimbo Unido
3
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Universidad de Concepcion
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Palestino
0
1
L
05.04.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Concepción
1
0
W
16.03.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Huachipato
2
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Colo Colo
A. Italiano
1
0
W
H2H: Universidad de Chile vs Colo Colo
01.03.26
H2H
Colo Colo
Universidad de Chile
0
1
W
14.09.25
H2H
Colo Colo
Universidad de Chile
0
3
W
31.08.25
H2H
Colo Colo
Universidad de Chile
1
0
L
12.07.25
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Colo Colo
2
1
W
10.08.24
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Colo Colo
0
0
D
10.03.24
H2H
Colo Colo
Universidad de Chile
0
1
W
02.09.23
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Colo Colo
1
1
D
12.03.23
H2H
Colo Colo
Universidad de Chile
0
0
D
31.07.22
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Colo Colo
1
3
L
06.03.22
H2H
Colo Colo
Universidad de Chile
4
1
L
26.09.21
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Colo Colo
1
3
L
25.04.21
H2H
Colo Colo
Universidad de Chile
1
0
L
17.01.21
H2H
Colo Colo
Universidad de Chile
0
0
D
06.09.20
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Colo Colo
1
1
D
22.01.20
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Colo Colo
1
2
L
Last matches: Universidad de Chile
10.08.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Palestino
2
1
W
02.08.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Huachipato
2
0
W
02.07.26
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Union La Calera
0
1
L
28.06.26
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Union San Felipe
2
0
W
21.06.26
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Santiago Wanderers
4
1
W
19.06.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
O'Higgins
2
0
W
30.05.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Concepción
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
U. Catolica
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
D. La Serena
4
0
W
09.03.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Universidad de Concepcion
1
1
D
22.02.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Deportes Limache
2
2
D
30.01.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
A. Italiano
0
0
D
11.06.25
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Curico Unido
2
2
D
09.05.25
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Recoleta
1
1
D
22.03.25
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Santiago Morning
3
0
W
02.02.25
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Magallanes
0
1
L
20.11.24
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Nublense
1
0
W
13.10.24
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Coquimbo Unido
1
0
W
09.09.24
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Palestino
0
1
L
14.07.24
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Everton de Vina
1
0
W
H2H at home: Universidad de Chile
12.07.25
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Colo Colo
2
1
W
10.08.24
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Colo Colo
0
0
D
02.09.23
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Colo Colo
1
1
D
31.07.22
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Colo Colo
1
3
L
26.09.21
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Colo Colo
1
3
L
06.09.20
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Colo Colo
1
1
D
22.01.20
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Colo Colo
1
2
L
Last matches: Colo Colo
09.08.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Union La Calera
2
1
W
01.08.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Everton de Vina
4
3
W
18.07.26
Fri
Colo Colo
Millonarios
1
0
W
03.07.26
Cop
Colo Colo
O'Higgins
1
4
L
29.06.26
Cop
Colo Colo
Union Espanola
3
0
W
20.06.26
Cop
Colo Colo
Recoleta
3
0
W
30.05.26
Pri
Colo Colo
D. La Serena
4
2
W
24.05.26
Pri
Colo Colo
U. Catolica
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Universidad de Concepcion
2
1
W
05.04.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Concepción
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Colo Colo
A. Italiano
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Colo Colo
O'Higgins
1
0
W
31.01.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Deportes Limache
1
3
L
10.05.25
Cop
Colo Colo
Deportes Limache
1
4
L
23.03.25
Cop
Colo Colo
Union San Felipe
1
0
W
03.02.25
Cop
Colo Colo
Santiago Wanderers
0
1
L
07.09.24
Cop
Colo Colo
Magallanes
0
3
L
07.07.24
Cop
Colo Colo
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
1
D
23.06.24
Cop
Colo Colo
O'Higgins
2
2
D
20.06.24
Cop
Colo Colo
Deportes Quillón
6
0
W
H2H away: Colo Colo
12.07.25
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Colo Colo
2
1
L
10.08.24
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Colo Colo
0
0
D
02.09.23
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Colo Colo
1
1
D
31.07.22
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Colo Colo
1
3
W
26.09.21
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Colo Colo
1
3
W
06.09.20
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Colo Colo
1
1
D
22.01.20
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Colo Colo
1
2
W

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 15 1 3 40:19 21 46
D W W W W
2 19 10 6 3 26:13 13 36
W W W W W
3 18 9 3 6 40:26 14 30
W L D W W
4 19 9 3 7 31:27 4 30
W L W L W
5 18 7 8 3 24:22 2 29
W D W D W
6 19 7 6 6 28:22 6 27
D W L D L
7 19 8 2 9 22:23 -1 26
W W W W W
8 17 7 4 6 24:21 3 25
D L D W D
9 18 7 3 8 35:30 5 24
L W L L L
10 19 7 3 9 24:30 -6 24
D L W L L
11 19 7 3 9 28:36 -8 24
L L L D D
12 19 5 8 6 28:31 -3 23
W D L D D
13 19 5 6 8 23:26 -3 21
D D W L D
14 18 5 4 9 13:30 -17 19
L L L L D
15 19 5 2 12 26:36 -10 17
L L W D L
16 19 3 4 12 17:37 -20 13
L L L D D