ECUADOR › LIGA PRO

24.04.2026 00:00

Universidad Catolica

4 - 0

Macara

Olimpico Atahualpa

Referee: Yerson Zambrano, Ecuador

Universidad Catolica

Match Timeline

Macara

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Universidad Catolica vs Macara Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 84.3%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Probability 70.5%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 75.2%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	84.3%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS Yes	70.5%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	75.2%	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Universidad Catolica Win 84.3%

Draw 0%

Macara Win 15.7%

Expected Goals (xG)

Universidad Catolica1.37

Macara0.97

Recent Form (Last 5)

Universidad Catolica

WWDLW

20 GF / 11 GA

Macara

WLDWL

11 GF / 10 GA

Key Stats

1.67

Average Goals Scored

0.92

Average Goals Conceded

0.91

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.82

Shots on Goal

5.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Universidad Catolica 12 matches

Macara 11 matches

Universidad Catolica	Statistic	Macara
6	Wins	3
4	Draws	4
2	Losses	4
20	Goals For	11
11	Goals Against	10
1.67	Avg Goals Scored	1
0.92	Avg Goals Conceded	0.91
6	BTTS Yes	6
9	Over 1.5	7
4	Over 2.5	4
3	Over 3.5	1
6	Clean Sheets	4
1	Failed To Score	3
4.82	Shots On Goal	5.11
13.45	Total Shots	13.11
4.45	Corners	4.78
58.6%	Ball Possession	51%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Universidad Catolica won 9 times, Macara won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:15 from Universidad Catolica's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (100%)

Predicted formations: Universidad Catolica 4-2-3-1 / Macara 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: Universidad Catolica wins 9, draws 4, Macara wins 2

Standings

Liga Pro

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Independiente del Valle	28	22	2	4	67:30	37	68	L D W W W
2	Macara Away	28	14	6	8	39:30	9	48	W W L D W
3	Aucas	28	14	6	8	32:27	5	48	D W W L W
4	Universidad Catolica Home	28	12	9	7	48:26	22	45	D D W D L
5	Barcelona SC	28	11	9	8	30:23	7	42	W L W D L
6	LDU de Quito	28	12	6	10	27:22	5	42	D L W W L
7	Leones del Norte	28	10	8	10	30:30	0	38	W L L W L
8	Libertad	28	10	8	10	30:31	-1	38	D L W D W
9	Mushuc Runa SC	28	9	10	9	33:34	-1	37	D W D D W
10	Guayaquil City FC	28	9	9	10	27:31	-4	36	L W W D D
11	Deportivo Cuenca	28	10	5	13	24:35	-11	35	W L D L L
12	Emelec	28	9	9	10	24:33	-9	33	D W L W D
13	Orense SC	28	8	6	14	31:42	-11	30	L L L W D
14	Tecnico Universitario	28	9	2	17	26:39	-13	29	L W L L L
15	Delfin SC	28	7	6	15	18:29	-11	27	W L L L D
16	Manta FC	28	5	5	18	17:41	-24	20	L W L L W

Play-offs

Relegation Playoffs