ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Olimpico Atahualpa
Referee: A. Torres Cajax
Universidad Catolica
Match Timeline
LDU de Quito
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
41'
Darwin Nazareno
Universidad Catolica
🔄
46'
G. F. Allala Menendez ↔ R. Mina
LDU de Quito
59'
M. Diaz
Universidad Catolica
🔄
66'
J. Carabali ↔ J. W. Cuero Mercado
LDU de Quito
🔄
66'
Deyverson ↔ M. Estrada
LDU de Quito
🟨
67'
Jesús Pretell
LDU de Quito
🟥
73'
Fernando Cornejo
LDU de Quito
🔄
74'
J. Pretell ↔ I. Zambrano
LDU de Quito
🟨
77'
Ivan Zambrano
LDU de Quito
🔄
81'
R. Redes ↔ C. Luna Tobar
LDU de Quito
🟨
84'
Leonel Quiñónez
LDU de Quito
🔄
90+2'
F. Martinez ↔ J. Cacciabue
Universidad Catolica
🔄
90+2'
J. Fajardo ↔ B. Palacios
Universidad Catolica
🔄
90+4'
A. Londono ↔ S. Yanez
Universidad Catolica
🔄
90+2'
M. Alonso ↔ J. Chala
Universidad Catolica

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 57.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 57.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.7%
-
BTTS Yes
57.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
57.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Universidad Catolica Win 51.7%
Draw 16%
LDU de Quito Win 32.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Universidad Catolica1.27
LDU de Quito1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica
WWDLW
33 GF / 25 GA
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
WLDWL
32 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
0.81
11
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
7
4.5
Shots on Goal
3.46

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 21 matches
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 27 matches
Universidad Catolica Statistic LDU de Quito
8 Wins 13
5 Draws 6
8 Losses 8
33 Goals For 32
25 Goals Against 22
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 0.81
11 BTTS Yes 9
15 Over 1.5 17
10 Over 2.5 7
7 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 11
4 Failed To Score 10
4.5 Shots On Goal 3.46
13.6 Total Shots 13.88
4.8 Corners 5.04
58.2% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward LDU de Quito. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Universidad Catolica have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Universidad Catolica expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and LDU de Quito in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward LDU de Quito having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Universidad Catolica Analysis

Universidad Catolica sit 7 with 26 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 28:18 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Palacios (4 goals), Daniel Clavijo (4 goals), E. Mejía (3 goals), with creative support from M. Díaz (5 assists), E. Mejía (2 assists), B. Palacios (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

LDU de Quito Analysis

LDU de Quito arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 28 points after 18 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, while the 19:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Deyverson (4 goals), Rodney Redes (2 goals), Janner Corozo (2 goals), with creative support from Deyverson (1 assists), Rodney Redes (1 assists), Jesús Pretell (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Universidad Catolica won 5 times, LDU de Quito won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:27 from Universidad Catolica's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84%)
Predicted formations: Universidad Catolica 4-2-3-1 / LDU de Quito 5-3-2
H2H summary: Universidad Catolica wins 5, draws 3, LDU de Quito wins 7
Stats
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
10
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
4
2 Corner Kicks 7
6 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 3
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Goal 1
3 Shots off Goal 10
3 Blocked Shots 4
4 Shots insidebox 9
5 Shots outsidebox 6
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
431 Total passes 322
356 Passes accurate 243
1.09 expected_goals 0.94
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Universidad Catolica
Formation
LDU de Quito
J. Lara
J. Lara
D. Nazareno
D. Nazareno
L. Canga
L. Canga
Jhon Chancellor
Jhon Chancellor
E. Mejia
E. Mejia
F. Martinez
F. Martinez
A. Londono
A. Londono
L. Moreno
L. Moreno
M. Diaz
M. Diaz
M. Alonso
M. Alonso
J. Fajardo
J. Fajardo
G. Valle
G. Valle
G. F. Allala Menendez
G. F. Allala Menendez
R. Ade
R. Ade
L. Quinonez
L. Quinonez
Y. Quinonez
Y. Quinonez
F. Cornejo
F. Cornejo
J. Pretell
J. Pretell
J. Carabali
J. Carabali
R. Redes
R. Redes
Deyverson
Deyverson
J. Corozo
J. Corozo
Universidad Catolica 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
12
J. Lara
G
24
D. Nazareno
33
L. Canga
D
4
Jhon Chancellor
D
30
E. Mejia
D
10
F. Martinez
↓ 90+2'
M
9
A. Londono
↓ 90+4'
M
15
L. Moreno
M
28
M. Diaz
⚽ 59'
M
32
M. Alonso
↓ 90+2'
M
7
J. Fajardo
↓ 90+2'
F
Substitutes
22
R. Romo
G
1
L. Cueva
G
5
J. Cacciabue
↑ 90+2'
M
37
C. Medina
D
19
M. Sevillano
M
23
A. Rodriguez
M
44
E. Valencia
D
18
B. Palacios
↑ 90+2'
F
26
S. Yanez
↑ 90+4'
F
17
R. Troya
M
20
J. Chala
↑ 90+2'
M
LDU de Quito 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
G. Valle
G
30
G. F. Allala Menendez
↓ 46'
D
4
R. Ade
D
33
L. Quinonez
🟨 84'
D
23
Y. Quinonez
M
20
F. Cornejo
🟥 73'
M
8
J. Pretell
↓ 74' 🟨 67'
M
67
J. Carabali
↓ 66'
M
7
R. Redes
↓ 81'
F
16
Deyverson
↓ 66'
F
13
J. Corozo
F
Substitutes
22
A. Dominguez
G
44
L. Segovia
D
10
A. Alvarado
M
26
I. Zambrano
↑ 74' 🟨 77'
M
28
J. W. Cuero Mercado
↑ 66'
D
21
E. Castillo
M
27
R. Mina
11
M. Estrada
↑ 66'
F
99
C. Luna Tobar
↑ 81'
M
3
R. Mina
↑ 46'
D
24
J. Calle
M
32
A. Gomez
Last matches: Universidad Catolica
01.08.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
5
0
W
27.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
0
0
D
22.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
2
1
W
18.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
2
0
W
10.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
0
1
L
06.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
2
3
L
31.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
0
1
L
23.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
2
1
W
16.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Delfin SC
2
2
D
09.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
1
2
L
01.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
27.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Macara
4
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
2
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
2
0
W
09.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
4
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
Last matches: LDU de Quito
04.08.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
2
1
W
27.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
23.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
1
1
D
18.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
0
1
L
12.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Libertad
0
0
D
05.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Macara
0
1
L
01.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
3
0
W
18.06.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
17.06.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
26.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
3
2
W
24.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
21.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Lanus
2
0
W
15.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
12.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
3
1
W
07.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
0
2
L
02.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
28.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Lanus
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Emelec
0
1
L
23.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Aucas
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
2
0
W
H2H: Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito
15.07.26
H2H
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
15.03.26
H2H
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
21.12.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
2
0
L
19.12.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
2
3
W
05.10.25
H2H
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
2
2
D
21.09.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
2
4
W
24.05.25
H2H
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
3
1
W
24.11.24
H2H
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
2
4
L
26.05.24
H2H
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
2
1
L
18.02.24
H2H
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
2
0
L
02.11.23
H2H
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
1
0
L
29.04.23
H2H
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
0
4
L
24.07.22
H2H
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
4
0
W
05.03.22
H2H
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
2
1
L
07.08.21
H2H
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
2
2
D
Last matches: Universidad Catolica
01.08.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
5
0
W
22.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
2
1
W
06.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
2
3
L
16.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Delfin SC
2
2
D
01.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
24.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Macara
4
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
2
0
W
09.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
4
1
W
17.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
3
0
W
13.02.26
CON
Universidad Catolica
Juventud
3
4
L
H2H at home: Universidad Catolica
15.07.26
H2H
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
05.10.25
H2H
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
2
2
D
24.05.25
H2H
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
3
1
W
24.11.24
H2H
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
2
4
L
29.04.23
H2H
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
0
4
L
24.07.22
H2H
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
4
0
W
07.08.21
H2H
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
2
2
D
Last matches: LDU de Quito
27.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
23.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
1
1
D
05.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Macara
0
1
L
24.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
12.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
3
1
W
07.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
0
2
L
28.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Lanus
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Emelec
0
1
L
19.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
2
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
0
1
L
08.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
1
0
W
18.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
2
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Libertad
1
2
L
21.02.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
2
1
W
H2H away: LDU de Quito
15.07.26
H2H
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
1
0
L
05.10.25
H2H
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
2
2
D
24.05.25
H2H
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
3
1
L
24.11.24
H2H
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
2
4
W
29.04.23
H2H
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
0
4
W
24.07.22
H2H
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
4
0
L
07.08.21
H2H
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
2
2
D

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 19 1 3 56:22 34 58
W W W W W
2 23 11 6 6 38:19 19 39
W D W W W
3 23 11 5 7 30:23 7 38
W W W L W
4 23 11 5 7 26:25 1 38
W L L W L
5 23 9 8 6 24:18 6 35
D L L W D
6 23 10 5 8 23:18 5 35
W W D L L
7 23 8 8 7 24:22 2 32
D W D W D
8 23 9 4 10 21:28 -7 31
L W L L D
9 23 8 6 9 24:26 -2 30
W W W L W
10 23 7 7 9 29:34 -5 28
W L D W L
11 23 7 7 9 20:25 -5 28
L D D W D
12 23 7 5 11 27:35 -8 26
L L W L L
13 23 8 2 13 20:29 -9 26
L W L L L
14 23 7 7 9 19:28 -9 25
L L D L W
15 23 6 5 12 14:23 -9 23
L L L W W
16 23 3 5 15 9:29 -20 14
L L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs