Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
51.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
57.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
57.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
86.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Universidad Catolica
21 matches
LDU de Quito
27 matches
| Universidad Catolica | Statistic | LDU de Quito |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 13 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 8 |
| 33 | Goals For | 32 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.19 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.81 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 3.46 |
| 13.6 | Total Shots | 13.88 |
| 4.8 | Corners | 5.04 |
| 58.2% | Ball Possession | 49.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward LDU de Quito. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Universidad Catolica have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Universidad Catolica expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and LDU de Quito in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward LDU de Quito having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Universidad Catolica sit 7 with 26 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 28:18 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Palacios (4 goals), Daniel Clavijo (4 goals), E. Mejía (3 goals), with creative support from M. Díaz (5 assists), E. Mejía (2 assists), B. Palacios (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
LDU de Quito arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 28 points after 18 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, while the 19:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Deyverson (4 goals), Rodney Redes (2 goals), Janner Corozo (2 goals), with creative support from Deyverson (1 assists), Rodney Redes (1 assists), Jesús Pretell (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Universidad Catolica won 5 times, LDU de Quito won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:27 from Universidad Catolica's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.
Universidad Catolica
3
1
3
10
3
4
Lineups
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
Delfin SC
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Macara
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
Lanus
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
Lanus
LDU de Quito
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Aucas
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Delfin SC
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Juventud
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
Macara
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Lanus
LDU de Quito
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 56:22 | 34 | 58 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Universidad Catolica
Home
|
23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 38:19 | 19 | 39 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 30:23 | 7 | 38 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 38 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 35 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
LDU de Quito
Away
|
23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 23:18 | 5 | 35 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 7 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 32 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 31 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 24:26 | -2 | 30 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 28 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 27:35 | -8 | 26 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 19:28 | -9 | 25 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 14:23 | -9 | 23 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 9:29 | -20 | 14 |
L
L
D
L
L
|