Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
89.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
61%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
59.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Universidad Catolica
14 matches
Independiente del Valle
15 matches
| Universidad Catolica | Statistic | Independiente del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 10 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 3 | Losses | 3 |
| 24 | Goals For | 26 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.73 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.69 | Shots On Goal | 5.79 |
| 13.23 | Total Shots | 18.93 |
| 4.15 | Corners | 6.57 |
| 58.4% | Ball Possession | 60.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Universidad Catolica expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Independiente del Valle in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Independiente del Valle having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Independiente del Valle. Independiente del Valle look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Universidad Catolica approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 22 points after 11 outings. They have recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, with a 19:5 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on B. Palacios (5 goals), E. Clavijo (3 goals), Jhon Chancellor (2 goals), with creative support from Mauro Díaz (3 assists), Jhon Chancellor (2 assists), E. Mejia (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Independiente del Valle approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 25 points after 11 outings. They have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with a 19:11 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on D. Reasco (3 goals), M. Perello (3 goals), A. Rodriguez (2 goals), with creative support from D. Reasco (3 assists), M. Perello (2 assists), A. Rodriguez (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Universidad Catolica won 6 times, Independiente del Valle won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:26 from Universidad Catolica's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Universidad Catolica
6
3
8
3
3
1
Lineups
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
Delfin SC
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Macara
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
UCV
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
Delfin SC
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
UCV
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Delfin SC
Universidad Catolica
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Juventud
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
Macara
Independiente del Valle
UCV
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Delfin SC
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 58:22 | 36 | 61 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 32:24 | 8 | 41 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 41 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 4 |
Universidad Catolica
Home
|
24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 39:21 | 18 | 39 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
| 5 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 25:20 | 5 | 35 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 23:20 | 3 | 35 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 24:25 | -1 | 32 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 31 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 22:30 | -8 | 31 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 29 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 28:36 | -8 | 27 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 19:28 | -9 | 26 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 20:32 | -12 | 26 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 15:24 | -9 | 24 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 11:30 | -19 | 17 |
W
L
L
D
L
|