ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Olimpico Atahualpa
Referee: Gorky Stalin Araujo Zambrano, Ecuador
Universidad Catolica
Match Timeline
Delfin SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
E. Mejia · Assist: E. Valencia
Universidad Catolica
30'
K. Ushina
Delfin SC
🟨
39'
Mauricio Alonso
Universidad Catolica
🟨
41'
Jerónimo Cacciabue
Universidad Catolica
🟨
51'
Edilson Cabeza
Delfin SC
🔄
62'
E. Mejia ↔ J. Fajardo
Universidad Catolica
🔄
62'
L. Moreno ↔ M. Diaz
Universidad Catolica
64'
E. Mendoza
Delfin SC
67'
J. Fajardo · Assist: M. Diaz
Universidad Catolica
🟨
70'
Mateo Burdisso
Delfin SC
🔄
76'
F. Ayunta ↔ J. L. Castillo Saa
Delfin SC
🔄
76'
B. Hernandez ↔ O. Medina
Delfin SC
🔄
79'
A. Rodriguez ↔ D. Nazareno
Universidad Catolica
🔄
83'
L. Castro ↔ J. Valverde
Delfin SC
🔄
83'
E. Zuniga ↔ T. Ozaeta
Delfin SC
🔄
86'
B. Palacios ↔ E. Rose
Universidad Catolica
🔄
86'
G. Anangono ↔ S. Yanez
Universidad Catolica
🟨
90+6'
José Cárdenas
Delfin SC
🔄
90+3'
E. Mendoza ↔ I. A. Molinas
Delfin SC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 46.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
46.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
67.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Universidad Catolica Win 100%
Draw 0%
Delfin SC Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Universidad Catolica1.3
Delfin SC0.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica
WWDLW
27 GF / 17 GA
Delfin SC Delfin SC
WLDWL
6 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
0.43
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
8
BTTS Yes
1
7
Over 2.5
1
4.6
Shots on Goal
3.23

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 16 matches
Delfin SC Delfin SC 14 matches
Universidad Catolica Statistic Delfin SC
7 Wins 5
4 Draws 3
5 Losses 6
27 Goals For 6
17 Goals Against 10
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 0.43
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
8 BTTS Yes 1
12 Over 1.5 2
7 Over 2.5 1
5 Over 3.5 1
7 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 8
4.6 Shots On Goal 3.23
12.87 Total Shots 11
4.53 Corners 3.31
56.7% Ball Possession 38.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Universidad Catolica's more proactive style and Delfin SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Universidad Catolica expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Delfin SC in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Delfin SC having the stronger overall control. Universidad Catolica arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 22 points compared to Delfin SC in 11 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Delfin SC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Universidad Catolica Analysis

Universidad Catolica sit 2 with 22 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 22:10 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Palacios (5 goals), E. Clavijo (4 goals), Jhon Chancellor (2 goals), with creative support from Mauro Díaz (5 assists), Jhon Chancellor (2 assists), E. Mejia (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Delfin SC Analysis

Delfin SC sit 11 with 15 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 5:10, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through F. Ayunta (2 goals), E. Mendoza (1 goals), K. Ushina (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Universidad Catolica won 5 times, Delfin SC won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:15 from Universidad Catolica's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
Predicted formations: Universidad Catolica 4-2-3-1 / Delfin SC 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Universidad Catolica wins 5, draws 6, Delfin SC wins 4

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 22 2 3 66:28 38 68
D W W W W
2 27 14 5 8 31:26 5 47
W W L W W
3 27 13 6 8 35:27 8 45
W L D W W
4 27 12 8 7 47:25 22 44
D W D L W
5 27 12 5 10 27:22 5 41
L W W L W
6 27 10 9 8 28:22 6 39
L W D L D
7 27 10 7 10 29:30 -1 37
L W D W W
8 27 9 9 9 33:34 -1 36
W D D W W
9 27 9 9 9 27:30 -3 36
W W D D L
10 27 9 8 10 29:30 -1 35
L L W L D
11 27 9 8 10 23:32 -9 32
W L W D L
12 27 9 5 13 23:35 -12 32
L D L L L
13 27 8 6 13 31:41 -10 30
L L W D L
14 27 9 2 16 26:38 -12 29
W L L L L
15 27 6 6 15 17:29 -12 24
L L L D L
16 27 5 5 17 14:37 -23 20
W L L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs