ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Olimpico Atahualpa
Referee: Y. Zambrano
Universidad Catolica
Match Timeline
Barcelona SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
J. Fajardo · Assist: M. Diaz
Universidad Catolica
🟨
24'
G. Vallecilla
Barcelona SC
25'
A. Londono · Assist: A. Londono
Universidad Catolica
🔄
46'
S. Diaz ↔ W. J. Chala Rosales
Barcelona SC
🔄
59'
G. Vallecilla ↔ T. Martinez
Barcelona SC
🔄
59'
M. Mejia ↔ J. Perlaza
Barcelona SC
61'
W. J. Chala Rosales · Assist: T. Martinez
Barcelona SC
🔄
67'
D. Benedetto ↔ T. Rodriguez
Barcelona SC
🔄
70'
M. Alonso ↔ E. Valencia
Universidad Catolica
🔄
76'
E. Mendoza ↔ B. Castillo
Barcelona SC
VAR
78'
E. Mejia
Universidad Catolica
🟨
80'
C. A. Farias Acosta
Barcelona SC
🟨
80'
F. Martinez
Universidad Catolica
🟨
81'
J. Contreras
Barcelona SC
🔄
86'
J. Cacciabue ↔ B. Palacios
Universidad Catolica
89'
E. Valencia · Assist: M. Diaz
Universidad Catolica
🟨
90+7'
W. J. Chala Rosales
Barcelona SC
🔄
90+4'
A. Londono ↔ M. Sevillano
Universidad Catolica
🔄
90+4'
J. Fajardo ↔ L. Moreno
Universidad Catolica

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.7%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Universidad Catolica Win 60.7%
Draw 6.5%
Barcelona SC Win 32.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Universidad Catolica1.32
Barcelona SC1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica
WWDLW
36 GF / 25 GA
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC
WLDWL
32 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
0.94
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
11
BTTS Yes
13
10
Over 2.5
11
4.55
Shots on Goal
3.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 23 matches
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 34 matches
Universidad Catolica Statistic Barcelona SC
10 Wins 14
5 Draws 9
8 Losses 11
36 Goals For 32
25 Goals Against 32
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
11 BTTS Yes 13
16 Over 1.5 19
10 Over 2.5 11
7 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 13
4 Failed To Score 11
4.55 Shots On Goal 3.43
13.77 Total Shots 12.2
4.64 Corners 3.77
57.5% Ball Possession 46.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Barcelona SC. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Universidad Catolica have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Universidad Catolica Analysis

Universidad Catolica approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 26 points from 18 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 28:18 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Palacios (4 goals), Daniel Clavijo (4 goals), E. Mejía (3 goals), with creative support from M. Díaz (5 assists), E. Mejía (2 assists), B. Palacios (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Barcelona SC Analysis

Barcelona SC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 30 points after 18 matches. They have recorded 8 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a 20:13 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Darío Benedetto (4 goals), Milton Celiz (2 goals), Jhonny Quiñónez (2 goals), with creative support from Darío Benedetto (1 assists), Milton Celiz (1 assists), Jhonny Quiñónez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Universidad Catolica won 4 times, Barcelona SC won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:15 from Universidad Catolica's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.5%)
Predicted formations: Universidad Catolica 4-2-3-1 / Barcelona SC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Universidad Catolica wins 4, draws 7, Barcelona SC wins 4
Stats
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
3
8 Corner Kicks 2
11 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 0
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 5
6 Blocked Shots 3
11 Shots insidebox 6
10 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 6
502 Total passes 259
444 Passes accurate 194
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Universidad Catolica
Formation
Barcelona SC
J. Lara
J. Lara
D. Nazareno
D. Nazareno
L. Canga
L. Canga
Jhon Chancellor
Jhon Chancellor
E. Mejia
E. Mejia
F. Martinez
F. Martinez
J. Cacciabue
J. Cacciabue
A. Londono
🎯
A. Londono
M. Diaz
🎯
M. Diaz
M. Alonso
M. Alonso
J. Fajardo
J. Fajardo
J. Contreras
J. Contreras
B. Carabali
B. Carabali
J. Baez
J. Baez
A. Rangel
A. Rangel
G. Vallecilla
G. Vallecilla
M. Lugo
M. Lugo
J. Intriago
J. Intriago
S. Diaz
S. Diaz
E. Mendoza
E. Mendoza
M. Mejia
M. Mejia
D. Benedetto
D. Benedetto
Universidad Catolica 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
J. Lara
G
24
D. Nazareno
33
L. Canga
D
4
Jhon Chancellor
D
30
E. Mejia
D
10
F. Martinez
🟨 80'
M
5
J. Cacciabue
↓ 86'
M
9
A. Londono
⚽ 25' 🎯 25' ↓ 90+4'
M
28
M. Diaz
🎯 3' 🎯 89'
M
32
M. Alonso
↓ 70'
M
7
J. Fajardo
⚽ 3' ↓ 90+4'
F
Substitutes
22
R. Romo
G
1
L. Cueva
G
37
C. Medina
D
19
M. Sevillano
↑ 90+4'
M
23
A. Rodriguez
M
44
E. Valencia
⚽ 89' ↑ 70'
D
18
B. Palacios
↑ 86'
F
26
S. Yanez
F
17
R. Troya
M
20
J. Chala
M
15
L. Moreno
↑ 90+4'
D
Barcelona SC 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Contreras
🟨 81'
G
18
B. Carabali
D
33
J. Baez
D
14
A. Rangel
D
4
G. Vallecilla
↓ 59' 🟨 24'
D
32
M. Lugo
M
35
J. Intriago
M
8
S. Diaz
↓ 46'
M
7
E. Mendoza
↓ 76'
70
M. Mejia
↓ 59'
M
9
D. Benedetto
↓ 67'
F
Substitutes
22
J. Cevallos
G
23
T. Martinez
🎯 61' ↑ 59'
M
27
W. Vargas
11
T. Rodriguez
↑ 67'
F
51
J. Wila
F
21
H. Villalba
F
26
B. Castillo
↑ 76'
D
15
J. Perlaza
↑ 59'
F
44
W. J. Chala Rosales
⚽ 61' ↑ 46' 🟨 90+7'
D
25
R. Perlaza
50
J. Garcia
29
J. Medina
M
Last matches: Universidad Catolica
22.08.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
5
1
W
18.08.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Macara
1
1
D
10.08.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
1
2
L
01.08.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
5
0
W
27.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
0
0
D
18.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
2
0
W
15.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
10.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
0
1
L
06.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
2
3
L
31.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
0
1
L
23.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
2
1
W
16.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Delfin SC
2
2
D
09.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
1
2
L
01.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
27.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Macara
4
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
2
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
2
0
W
09.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
4
1
W
Last matches: Barcelona SC
23.08.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
3
0
W
16.08.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
09.08.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Macara
1
2
L
02.08.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
27.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
19.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Libertad
1
0
W
16.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
1
D
12.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Emelec
0
0
D
05.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Deportivo Cuenca
2
0
W
02.06.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
L
29.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
0
4
L
24.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Delfin SC
2
1
W
22.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
0
2
L
17.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Aucas
3
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
0
1
L
06.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Manta FC
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
1
1
D
22.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
2
1
W
H2H: Universidad Catolica vs Barcelona SC
22.07.26
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
2
1
W
22.03.26
H2H
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
07.12.25
H2H
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
02.11.25
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
31.08.25
H2H
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
2
3
W
11.05.25
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
2
2
D
25.08.24
H2H
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
1
0
L
02.05.24
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
03.12.23
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
18.06.23
H2H
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
1
2
W
14.08.22
H2H
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
0
0
D
02.04.22
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
21.11.21
H2H
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
31.05.21
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
2
0
W
21.12.20
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
0
0
D
Last matches: Universidad Catolica
22.08.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
5
1
W
01.08.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
5
0
W
15.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
06.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
2
3
L
16.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Delfin SC
2
2
D
01.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
24.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Macara
4
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
2
0
W
09.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
4
1
W
17.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
3
0
W
13.02.26
CON
Universidad Catolica
Juventud
3
4
L
H2H at home: Universidad Catolica
22.07.26
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
2
1
W
02.11.25
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
11.05.25
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
2
2
D
02.05.24
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
03.12.23
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
02.04.22
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
31.05.21
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
2
0
W
21.12.20
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
0
0
D
Last matches: Barcelona SC
16.08.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
02.08.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
12.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Emelec
0
0
D
02.06.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
L
29.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
0
4
L
24.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Delfin SC
2
1
W
22.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
0
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
1
1
D
19.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Macara
1
3
L
15.04.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
0
3
L
04.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
2
0
W
19.03.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Libertad
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
0
0
D
11.03.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
1
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
2
L
26.02.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Argentinos JRS
1
0
W
05.02.26
Fri
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
2
1
W
H2H away: Barcelona SC
22.07.26
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
2
1
L
02.11.25
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
11.05.25
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
2
2
D
02.05.24
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
0
1
W
03.12.23
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
0
1
W
02.04.22
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
1
2
W
31.05.21
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
2
0
L
21.12.20
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
0
0
D

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 22 1 3 64:26 38 67
W W W W W
2 26 12 7 7 45:23 22 43
W D L W D
3 25 12 6 7 33:25 8 42
D W W W W
4 25 12 5 8 29:26 3 41
L W W L L
5 26 10 9 7 28:20 8 39
W D L D L
6 25 11 5 9 24:20 4 38
W L W W D
7 26 9 8 9 28:28 0 35
L W L D W
8 25 9 7 9 28:29 -1 34
D W W W W
9 26 8 9 9 32:34 -2 33
D D W W L
10 26 8 9 9 25:29 -4 33
W D D L D
11 26 9 5 12 22:32 -10 32
D L L L W
12 26 8 6 12 30:39 -9 30
L W D L L
13 25 8 8 9 21:29 -8 29
W D L L D
14 26 8 2 16 23:37 -14 26
L L L L W
15 25 6 6 13 17:27 -10 24
L D L L L
16 26 4 5 17 12:37 -25 17
L L W L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs