22.04.2026 18:30
Stade Joseph Marien
Referee: Lothar D'hondt, Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
Match Timeline
Gent
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
Michał Skóraś
Gent
🔄
56'
H. Goore ↔ A. Kadri
Gent
🔄
56'
M. Skoras ↔ M. Dean
Gent
🟨
62'
Tibe De Vlieger
Gent
🔄
63'
Guilherme Smith ↔ O. Niang
Union St. Gilloise
🟨
66'
Jean-Kévin Duverne
Gent
🔄
74'
K. Rodriguez ↔ R. Florucz
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
74'
A. Ait El Hadj ↔ M. Fuseini
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
82'
K. Van De Perre ↔ R. Schoofs
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
82'
A. Khalaili ↔ L. Patris
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
85'
A. Omgba ↔ A. Ito
Gent
🔄
85'
W. Kanga ↔ I. Cisse
Gent
🔄
90+1'
J. Duverne ↔ H. Essaouabi
Gent

Union St. Gilloise vs Gent Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 75.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
75.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Union St. Gilloise Win 71.2%
Draw 6.7%
Gent Win 22%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union St. Gilloise1.47
Gent1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
WWDLW
62 GF / 35 GA
Gent Gent
WLDWL
51 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.51
Average Goals Scored
1.55
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
18
BTTS Yes
20
16
Over 2.5
19
5.34
Shots on Goal
4.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 41 matches
Gent Gent 33 matches
Union St. Gilloise Statistic Gent
25 Wins 13
9 Draws 8
7 Losses 12
62 Goals For 51
35 Goals Against 47
1.51 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
18 BTTS Yes 20
29 Over 1.5 28
16 Over 2.5 19
10 Over 3.5 13
18 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 7
5.34 Shots On Goal 4.48
14.54 Total Shots 12.97
5.39 Corners 4.64
49.3% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gent. Union St. Gilloise arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 66 points compared to Gent in 4 on 45, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Union St. Gilloise come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Union St. Gilloise expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Gent in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gent having the stronger overall control.

Union St. Gilloise Analysis

Union St. Gilloise approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 66 points after 30 outings. With 19 wins, 9 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 50:17, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by P. David (9 goals), K. Rodriguez (8 goals), R. Florucz (7 goals), with creative support from A. Zorgane (4 assists), R. Florucz (3 assists), B. Zeneli (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 14 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Gent Analysis

Gent arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 45 points after 30 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, while the 49:43 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on W. Kanga (11 goals), M. Dean (7 goals), O. Gandelman (7 goals), with creative support from M. Skoras (7 assists), A. Kadri (5 assists), W. Kanga (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Union St. Gilloise won 7 times, Gent won 0 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:10 from Union St. Gilloise's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.3%)
Predicted formations: Union St. Gilloise 3-4-3 / Gent 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Union St. Gilloise wins 7, draws 8, Gent wins 0

Standings

Pro League , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 40 28 4 8 91:45 46 57
W D W W W
2 40 25 11 4 66:27 39 53
W D L W L
3 40 22 5 13 61:46 15 43
W L D L W
4 40 15 10 15 59:62 -3 33
L W D D L
5
Gent Away
40 13 12 15 53:57 -4 29
W L D D D
6 40 13 12 15 48:61 -13 29
L D D L W
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Qualification Playoffs