BELGIUM JUPILER PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stade Joseph Marien
Referee: Lothar D'hondt, Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
Match Timeline
Gent
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
Michał Skóraś
Gent
🔄
56'
H. Goore ↔ A. Kadri
Gent
🔄
56'
M. Skoras ↔ M. Dean
Gent
🟨
62'
Tibe De Vlieger
Gent
🔄
63'
Guilherme Smith ↔ O. Niang
Union St. Gilloise
🟨
66'
Jean-Kévin Duverne
Gent
🔄
74'
K. Rodriguez ↔ R. Florucz
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
74'
A. Ait El Hadj ↔ M. Fuseini
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
82'
K. Van De Perre ↔ R. Schoofs
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
82'
A. Khalaili ↔ L. Patris
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
85'
A. Omgba ↔ A. Ito
Gent
🔄
85'
W. Kanga ↔ I. Cisse
Gent
🔄
90+1'
J. Duverne ↔ H. Essaouabi
Gent

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 75.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
75.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
-
Probability Distribution
Union St. Gilloise Win 71.2%
Draw 6.7%
Gent Win 22%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union St. Gilloise1.47
Gent1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
WWDLW
62 GF / 35 GA
Gent Gent
WLDWL
51 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.51
Average Goals Scored
1.55
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
18
BTTS Yes
20
16
Over 2.5
19
5.34
Shots on Goal
4.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 41 matches
Gent Gent 33 matches
Union St. Gilloise Statistic Gent
25 Wins 13
9 Draws 8
7 Losses 12
62 Goals For 51
35 Goals Against 47
1.51 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
18 BTTS Yes 20
29 Over 1.5 28
16 Over 2.5 19
10 Over 3.5 13
18 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 7
5.34 Shots On Goal 4.48
14.54 Total Shots 12.97
5.39 Corners 4.64
49.3% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gent. Union St. Gilloise arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 66 points compared to Gent in 4 on 45, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Union St. Gilloise come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Union St. Gilloise expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Gent in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gent having the stronger overall control.

Union St. Gilloise Analysis

Union St. Gilloise approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 66 points after 30 outings. With 19 wins, 9 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 50:17, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by P. David (9 goals), K. Rodriguez (8 goals), R. Florucz (7 goals), with creative support from A. Zorgane (4 assists), R. Florucz (3 assists), B. Zeneli (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 14 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Gent Analysis

Gent arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 45 points after 30 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, while the 49:43 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on W. Kanga (11 goals), M. Dean (7 goals), O. Gandelman (7 goals), with creative support from M. Skoras (7 assists), A. Kadri (5 assists), W. Kanga (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Union St. Gilloise won 7 times, Gent won 0 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:10 from Union St. Gilloise's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.3%)
Predicted formations: Union St. Gilloise 3-4-3 / Gent 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Union St. Gilloise wins 7, draws 8, Gent wins 0
Stats
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
Gent Gent
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
1
9 Corner Kicks 1
13 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 1
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Goal 0
8 Shots off Goal 2
5 Blocked Shots 1
12 Shots insidebox 3
6 Shots outsidebox 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 5
439 Total passes 330
326 Passes accurate 242
1.14 expected_goals 0.26
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Union St. Gilloise
Formation
Gent
K. Scherpen
K. Scherpen
K. Mac Allister
K. Mac Allister
C. Burgess
C. Burgess
R. Sykes
R. Sykes
A. Khalaili
A. Khalaili
A. Zorgane
A. Zorgane
K. Van De Perre
K. Van De Perre
Guilherme Smith
Guilherme Smith
M. Biondic
M. Biondic
A. Ait El Hadj
A. Ait El Hadj
K. Rodriguez
K. Rodriguez
D. Roef
D. Roef
D. Hashioka
D. Hashioka
M. Volckaert
M. Volckaert
S. Van Der Heyden
S. Van Der Heyden
J. Duverne
J. Duverne
A. Omgba
A. Omgba
T. De Vlieger
T. De Vlieger
T. Araujo
T. Araujo
M. Skoras
M. Skoras
W. Kanga
W. Kanga
H. Goore
H. Goore
Union St. Gilloise 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
37
K. Scherpen
G
5
K. Mac Allister
D
16
C. Burgess
D
26
R. Sykes
D
25
A. Khalaili
↓ 82'
M
8
A. Zorgane
M
6
K. Van De Perre
↓ 82'
M
11
Guilherme Smith
↓ 63'
M
9
M. Biondic
10
A. Ait El Hadj
↓ 74'
F
13
K. Rodriguez
↓ 74'
F
Substitutes
1
V. Chambaere
G
17
R. Schoofs
↑ 82'
M
30
R. Florucz
↑ 74'
F
7
M. Fuseini
↑ 74'
F
3
M. T. Barry
D
29
M. Sylla
D
22
O. Niang
↑ 63'
M
27
L. Patris
↑ 82'
D
14
I. Pavlic
M
Gent 3-4-3
Starting XI
33
D. Roef
G
4
D. Hashioka
D
57
M. Volckaert
44
S. Van Der Heyden
D
29
J. Duverne
↓ 90+1' 🟨 66'
M
10
A. Omgba
↓ 85'
M
27
T. De Vlieger
🟨 62'
M
20
T. Araujo
M
8
M. Skoras
↓ 56' 🟨 16'
F
7
W. Kanga
↓ 85'
F
45
H. Goore
↓ 56'
F
Substitutes
30
K. Peersman
G
17
M. Delorge-Knieper
M
24
Hong Hyun-Seok
M
37
A. Kadri
↑ 56'
M
25
H. Essaouabi
↑ 90+1'
D
21
M. Dean
↑ 56'
F
15
A. Ito
↑ 85'
M
11
M. Sonko
F
75
I. Cisse
↑ 85'
F
Last matches: Union St. Gilloise
18.07.26
Fri
Union St. Gilloise
PSV Eindhoven
3
7
L
11.07.26
Fri
Union St. Gilloise
Aarhus
2
1
W
05.07.26
Fri
Union St. Gilloise
FCSB
4
0
W
30.06.26
Fri
Union St. Gilloise
Diegem Sport
7
0
W
24.05.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
5
1
W
21.05.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
0
0
D
17.05.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
0
5
L
10.05.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
KV Mechelen
3
0
W
02.05.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
St. Truiden
1
2
L
26.04.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
3
1
W
19.04.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
2
1
W
12.04.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
KV Mechelen
1
0
W
04.04.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
St. Truiden
1
0
W
22.03.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
St. Truiden
3
1
W
14.03.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Dender
2
0
W
07.03.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Genk
2
1
W
01.03.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
KVC Westerlo
0
0
D
21.02.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Antwerp
2
1
W
14.02.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Standard Liege
1
1
D
08.02.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
RAAL La Louvière
2
1
W
Last matches: Gent
23.07.26
UEF
Gent
LNZ Cherkasy
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Gent
Twente
2
2
D
14.07.26
Fri
Gent
Kryvbas KR
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Gent
SK Beveren
4
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Gent
AZ Alkmaar
3
3
D
27.06.26
Fri
Gent
Merelbeke
6
1
W
31.05.26
Jup
Gent
Genk
0
0
D
24.05.26
Jup
Gent
Club Brugge KV
0
5
L
21.05.26
Jup
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
0
0
D
16.05.26
Jup
Gent
St. Truiden
1
1
D
10.05.26
Jup
Gent
Anderlecht
1
1
D
03.05.26
Jup
Gent
KV Mechelen
0
1
L
26.04.26
Jup
Gent
Club Brugge KV
0
2
L
19.04.26
Jup
Gent
St. Truiden
0
0
D
12.04.26
Jup
Gent
Anderlecht
1
3
L
06.04.26
Jup
Gent
KV Mechelen
1
1
D
22.03.26
Jup
Gent
Dender
3
1
W
13.03.26
Jup
Gent
Zulte Waregem
2
0
W
08.03.26
Jup
Gent
KV Mechelen
3
1
W
01.03.26
Jup
Gent
Genk
0
3
L
H2H: Union St. Gilloise vs Gent
21.05.26
H2H
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
0
0
D
22.04.26
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
0
0
D
06.12.25
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
1
1
D
09.08.25
H2H
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
2
3
W
25.05.25
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
3
1
W
05.04.25
H2H
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
0
3
W
26.12.24
H2H
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
1
3
W
04.12.24
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
3
2
W
19.10.24
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
0
0
D
10.03.24
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
1
1
D
26.11.23
H2H
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
1
1
D
08.04.23
H2H
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
1
1
D
12.01.23
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
4
0
W
19.10.22
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
2
0
W
26.12.21
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
0
0
D
Last matches: Union St. Gilloise
11.07.26
Fri
Union St. Gilloise
Aarhus
2
1
W
05.07.26
Fri
Union St. Gilloise
FCSB
4
0
W
24.05.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
5
1
W
10.05.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
KV Mechelen
3
0
W
19.04.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
2
1
W
04.04.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
St. Truiden
1
0
W
14.03.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Dender
2
0
W
07.03.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Genk
2
1
W
21.02.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Antwerp
2
1
W
08.02.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
RAAL La Louvière
2
1
W
01.02.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
1
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
Union St. Gilloise
Atalanta
1
0
W
17.01.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
KV Mechelen
1
0
W
20.12.25
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Zulte Waregem
2
0
W
09.12.25
UEF
Union St. Gilloise
Marseille
2
3
L
06.12.25
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
1
1
D
22.11.25
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Cercle Brugge
2
0
W
26.10.25
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
St. Truiden
2
0
W
21.10.25
UEF
Union St. Gilloise
Inter
0
4
L
18.10.25
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Charleroi
3
1
W
H2H at home: Union St. Gilloise
22.04.26
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
0
0
D
06.12.25
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
1
1
D
25.05.25
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
3
1
W
04.12.24
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
3
2
W
19.10.24
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
0
0
D
10.03.24
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
1
1
D
12.01.23
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
4
0
W
19.10.22
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
2
0
W
26.12.21
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
0
0
D
Last matches: Gent
23.07.26
UEF
Gent
LNZ Cherkasy
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Gent
Twente
2
2
D
14.07.26
Fri
Gent
Kryvbas KR
1
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Gent
AZ Alkmaar
3
3
D
27.06.26
Fri
Gent
Merelbeke
6
1
W
24.05.26
Jup
Gent
Club Brugge KV
0
5
L
16.05.26
Jup
Gent
St. Truiden
1
1
D
03.05.26
Jup
Gent
KV Mechelen
0
1
L
12.04.26
Jup
Gent
Anderlecht
1
3
L
22.03.26
Jup
Gent
Dender
3
1
W
01.03.26
Jup
Gent
Genk
0
3
L
14.02.26
Jup
Gent
Charleroi
3
2
W
30.01.26
Jup
Gent
RAAL La Louvière
1
1
D
23.01.26
Jup
Gent
Standard Liege
4
0
W
09.01.26
Fri
Gent
CFR 1907 Cluj
2
0
W
21.12.25
Jup
Gent
Club Brugge KV
1
2
L
06.12.25
Jup
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
1
1
D
22.11.25
Jup
Gent
KVC Westerlo
0
0
D
02.11.25
Jup
Gent
OH Leuven
0
4
L
19.10.25
Jup
Gent
Zulte Waregem
1
4
L
H2H away: Gent
22.04.26
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
0
0
D
06.12.25
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
1
1
D
25.05.25
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
3
1
L
04.12.24
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
3
2
L
19.10.24
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
0
0
D
10.03.24
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
1
1
D
12.01.23
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
4
0
L
19.10.22
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
2
0
L
26.12.21
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
0
0
D

Standings

Pro League , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 40 28 4 8 91:45 46 57
W D W W W
2 40 25 11 4 66:27 39 53
W D L W L
3 40 22 5 13 61:46 15 43
W L D L W
4 40 15 10 15 59:62 -3 33
L W D D L
5
Gent Away
40 13 12 15 53:57 -4 29
W L D D D
6 40 13 12 15 48:61 -13 29
L D D L W
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Qualification Playoffs