Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
71.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
48.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Union Santa Fe
Lanus
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Union Santa Fe
22 matches
Lanus
26 matches
| Union Santa Fe | Statistic | Lanus |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 11 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 9 |
| 30 | Goals For | 27 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.04 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.04 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 5.25 | Shots On Goal | 4.13 |
| 16.15 | Total Shots | 12.21 |
| 5.05 | Corners | 4.67 |
| 49.2% | Ball Possession | 52.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Union Santa Fe expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Lanus in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lanus having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Lanus.
Union Santa Fe are currently 8 in the standings with 21 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 24:20 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Cristian Tarragona (2 goals), Marcelo Estigarribia (2 goals), Julián Palacios (1 goals), with creative support from Julián Palacios (3 assists), Mateo Del Blanco (1 assists), Lautaro Vargas (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Lanus are currently 6 in the standings with 24 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 18:15 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Yoshan Valois (2 goals), with creative support from Dylan Aquino (1 assists), Lucas Besozzi (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Union Santa Fe won 6 times, Lanus won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:15 from Union Santa Fe's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Union Santa Fe
Gimnasia M.
Union Santa Fe
Platense
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Belgrano Cordoba
Union Santa Fe
Independ. Rivadavia
Union Santa Fe
Talleres Cordoba
Union Santa Fe
Velez Sarsfield
Union Santa Fe
Newells Old Boys
Union Santa Fe
Estudiantes L.P.
Union Santa Fe
Deportivo Riestra
Union Santa Fe
Agropecuario
Union Santa Fe
Defensa Y Justicia
Union Santa Fe
Boca Juniors
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Instituto Cordoba
Union Santa Fe
Sarmiento Junin
Union Santa Fe
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
San Lorenzo
Union Santa Fe
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Union Santa Fe
Gimnasia M.
Lanus
San Lorenzo
Lanus
Instituto Cordoba
Lanus
Mirassol
Lanus
LDU de Quito
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
Lanus
Always Ready
Lanus
Deportivo Riestra
Lanus
LDU de Quito
Lanus
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Lanus
Gimnasia M.
Lanus
Always Ready
Lanus
Banfield
Lanus
Mirassol
Lanus
Platense
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
Lanus
Velez Sarsfield
Lanus
Newells Old Boys
Lanus
Estudiantes L.P.
Lanus
Boca Juniors
Lanus
Defensa Y Justicia
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Talleres Cordoba
Union Santa Fe
Newells Old Boys
Union Santa Fe
Deportivo Riestra
Union Santa Fe
Agropecuario
Union Santa Fe
Boca Juniors
Union Santa Fe
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
San Lorenzo
Union Santa Fe
Gimnasia M.
Union Santa Fe
Platense
Lanus
Instituto Cordoba
Lanus
LDU de Quito
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
Lanus
Always Ready
Lanus
Gimnasia M.
Lanus
Mirassol
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
Lanus
Velez Sarsfield
Lanus
Estudiantes L.P.
Lanus
Defensa Y Justicia
Lanus
Independiente
Lanus
Instituto Cordoba
Lanus
San Lorenzo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 |
Lanus
Away
|
16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 8 |
Union Santa Fe
Home
|
16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
L
W
D
W
L
|