CHILE PRIMERA B
30.05.2026 19:00
Estadio Municipal de San Felipe
Union San Felipe
Match Timeline
D. Puerto Montt
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
B. Guajardo Barrera ↔ K. Serrano
Union San Felipe
🔄
46'
J. Cardenas ↔ B. Nieto
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
46'
K. Gonzalez ↔ L. A. Rojas
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
58'
G. A. Jara Gonzalez ↔ B. Aravena
Union San Felipe
🔄
60'
J. Flores ↔ C. Vargas
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
66'
I. Jara ↔ N. Brun
Union San Felipe
🔄
66'
S. Perez ↔ M. Clerveaux
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
82'
L. Vazquez ↔ C. Nanning
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
88'
P. Munoz ↔ V. Sanchez
Union San Felipe
🔄
88'
N. Palmieri ↔ D. Fuentes
Union San Felipe
🟨
90+1'
L. A. Rojas
D. Puerto Montt
90'
L. Garcia
Union San Felipe

Union San Felipe vs D. Puerto Montt Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 94.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
94.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Union San Felipe Win 49.7%
Draw 5.3%
D. Puerto Montt Win 45%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union San Felipe0.97
D. Puerto Montt1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union San Felipe Union San Felipe
WWDLW
13 GF / 29 GA
D. Puerto Montt D. Puerto Montt
WLDWL
18 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
0.87
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
7
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union San Felipe Union San Felipe 15 matches
D. Puerto Montt D. Puerto Montt 15 matches
Union San Felipe Statistic D. Puerto Montt
4 Wins 7
3 Draws 2
8 Losses 6
13 Goals For 18
29 Goals Against 17
0.87 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
7 BTTS Yes 7
13 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around D. Puerto Montt's more proactive style and Union San Felipe's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward D. Puerto Montt. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward D. Puerto Montt having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. D. Puerto Montt carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 22 points while Union San Felipe sit 12 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Union San Felipe have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Union San Felipe Analysis

With 12 points from 12 games and a place of 12, Union San Felipe still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 10:20, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through B. Guajardo Barrera (2 goals), P. Munoz (2 goals), A. Fontana (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

D. Puerto Montt Analysis

D. Puerto Montt come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 22 points after 12 matches. They have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, with a 16:12 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on J. Flores (5 goals), M. Clerveaux (3 goals), L. Vazquez (2 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Union San Felipe won 6 times, D. Puerto Montt won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:14 from Union San Felipe's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Union San Felipe 4-5-1 / D. Puerto Montt -
H2H summary: Union San Felipe wins 6, draws 2, D. Puerto Montt wins 6

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 12 8 4 40:25 15 44
L W W W D
2 24 11 9 4 42:27 15 42
D L W L W
3 24 11 8 5 38:29 9 41
W W W L W
4 25 11 7 7 41:38 3 40
W D D L W
5 25 10 8 7 42:26 16 38
L D L W W
6 25 10 8 7 36:33 3 38
D W W D W
7 25 9 9 7 31:23 8 36
W L W L L
8 25 10 6 9 32:32 0 36
D L D L W
9 25 10 4 11 26:31 -5 34
L L W L L
10 25 8 8 9 40:35 5 32
D W L W L
11 24 8 7 9 33:38 -5 31
D L L L W
12 25 6 10 9 33:30 3 28
W L L L W
13 25 6 9 10 22:38 -16 27
L W L D W
14 25 4 10 11 26:38 -12 22
D W D D L
15 23 5 7 11 15:37 -22 22
D D L L W
16 25 4 6 15 23:40 -17 18
L W W W W