CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Municipal Nicolas Chahuan
Referee: G. Philippe
Union La Calera
Match Timeline
Palestino
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
G. Tapia Paez · Assist: B. Carrasco
Palestino
🟨
28'
D. Salgado
Palestino
32'
G. Tapia Paez · Assist: N. Da Silva
Palestino
45'
K. Mendez
Union La Calera
🔄
46'
M. Maturana ↔ C. Moya
Union La Calera
🟥
66'
C. Moya
Union La Calera
🔄
68'
N. Da Silva ↔ R. Fernandez
Palestino
🔄
68'
C. Munder ↔ F. T. Montes Romero
Palestino
🔄
68'
D. Salgado ↔ J. Fernandez
Palestino
🔄
69'
J. Soto ↔ Y. Leiva
Union La Calera
🔄
69'
B. Oyarzo Munoz ↔ F. Pozzo
Union La Calera
🟨
70'
C. Villanueva
Union La Calera
🟨
77'
R. Fernandez
Palestino
🔄
78'
C. Villanueva ↔ A. Encinas
Union La Calera
🔄
86'
C. Gutierrez ↔ M. Campos
Union La Calera
🔄
86'
G. Tapia Paez ↔ J. Bizama
Palestino
🔄
90'
B. Carrasco ↔ M. Araya
Palestino

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Union La Calera Win 61.4%
Draw 0%
Palestino Win 38.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union La Calera1.38
Palestino1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union La Calera Union La Calera
WWDLW
15 GF / 19 GA
Palestino Palestino
WLDWL
19 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.58
1.58
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
5
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
6
3.42
Shots on Goal
4.92

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union La Calera Union La Calera 12 matches
Palestino Palestino 12 matches
Union La Calera Statistic Palestino
5 Wins 5
1 Draws 2
6 Losses 5
15 Goals For 19
19 Goals Against 19
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
1.58 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
5 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 7
8 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 3
3.42 Shots On Goal 4.92
10.92 Total Shots 15
5.58 Corners 4.25
51.7% Ball Possession 50%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Palestino. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Union La Calera expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Palestino in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Palestino having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Union La Calera have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Palestino carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 17 points while Union La Calera sit 15 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Union La Calera Analysis

Union La Calera approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 10 points from 12 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 11:24 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Saez (7 goals), K. Mendez (3 goals), R. Caseres (2 goals), with creative support from K. Mendez (5 assists), S. Saez (1 assists), C. Diaz (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Palestino Analysis

Palestino are currently 9 in the standings with 17 points from 12 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 19:19 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by N. Da Silva (6 goals), C. Munder (2 goals), F. T. Montes Romero (2 goals), with creative support from Julián Fernández (3 assists), I. A. Garguez Gomez (2 assists), N. Da Silva (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Union La Calera won 5 times, Palestino won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:18 from Union La Calera's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Union La Calera 4-2-3-1 / Palestino 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Union La Calera wins 5, draws 5, Palestino wins 5
Stats
Union La Calera Union La Calera
Palestino Palestino
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
5 Corner Kicks 5
7 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 4
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 2
3 Shots insidebox 7
7 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
517 Total passes 331
428 Passes accurate 235
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Union La Calera
Formation
Palestino
N. Avellaneda
N. Avellaneda
Y. W. Andia Leon
Y. W. Andia Leon
N. Palma
N. Palma
M. Maturana
M. Maturana
C. Gutierrez
C. Gutierrez
J. Requena
J. Requena
J. Soto
J. Soto
K. Mendez
K. Mendez
C. Villanueva
C. Villanueva
B. Oyarzo Munoz
B. Oyarzo Munoz
S. Saez
S. Saez
S. A. Perez Kirby
S. A. Perez Kirby
D. Salgado
D. Salgado
V. A. Espinoza Hevia
V. A. Espinoza Hevia
F. Meza
F. Meza
J. Leon
J. Leon
S. Gallegos
S. Gallegos
N. Meza
N. Meza
B. Carrasco
🎯
B. Carrasco
G. Tapia Paez
⚽ 2
G. Tapia Paez
C. Munder
C. Munder
N. Da Silva
🎯
N. Da Silva
Union La Calera 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
N. Avellaneda
G
2
Y. W. Andia Leon
D
3
N. Palma
D
26
M. Maturana
↓ 46'
D
4
C. Gutierrez
↓ 86'
D
24
J. Requena
M
29
J. Soto
↓ 69'
10
K. Mendez
⚽ 45'
M
14
C. Villanueva
↓ 78' 🟨 70'
M
7
B. Oyarzo Munoz
↓ 69'
M
11
S. Saez
F
Substitutes
12
N. Espinoza
G
8
Y. Leiva
↑ 69'
M
5
C. Moya
↑ 46' 🟥 66'
M
20
J. Cruz
M
18
A. Encinas
↑ 78'
9
F. Pozzo
↑ 69'
F
19
M. Campos
↑ 86'
F
13
A. Pastene
D
30
M. Fernandez
F
Palestino 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
S. A. Perez Kirby
G
24
D. Salgado
↓ 68' 🟨 28'
2
V. A. Espinoza Hevia
6
F. Meza
D
23
J. Leon
D
18
S. Gallegos
M
8
N. Meza
M
7
B. Carrasco
🎯 8' ↓ 90'
M
20
G. Tapia Paez
⚽ 8' ⚽ 32' ↓ 86'
M
27
C. Munder
↓ 68'
M
19
N. Da Silva
🎯 32' ↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
1
S. Salas
G
9
R. Fernandez
↑ 68' 🟨 77'
F
15
F. T. Montes Romero
↑ 68'
5
J. Fernandez
↑ 68'
M
16
J. Bizama
↑ 86'
D
4
A. A. Ceza Gavilan
D
21
M. Araya
↑ 90'
30
I. Alegria
F
13
A. Gomez
F
Last matches: Union La Calera
14.06.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Universidad de Chile
2
2
D
30.05.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Universidad de Concepcion
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Huachipato
1
3
L
24.04.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Coquimbo Unido
1
2
L
21.04.26
Pri
Union La Calera
U. Catolica
2
1
W
14.04.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Concepción
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Deportes Limache
0
4
L
16.03.26
Pri
Union La Calera
O'Higgins
3
3
D
06.03.26
Pri
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
0
3
L
27.02.26
Pri
Union La Calera
A. Italiano
3
0
W
20.02.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Nublense
0
1
L
15.02.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Colo Colo
0
1
L
09.02.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Cobresal
3
1
W
02.02.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Everton de Vina
1
0
W
Last matches: Palestino
13.06.26
Pri
Palestino
Everton de Vina
2
1
W
01.06.26
Pri
Palestino
A. Italiano
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Palestino
D. La Serena
5
1
W
24.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Concepción
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Colo Colo
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Deportes Limache
1
0
W
02.04.26
Pri
Palestino
U. Catolica
1
6
L
15.03.26
Pri
Palestino
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pri
Palestino
Cobresal
4
2
W
28.02.26
Pri
Palestino
O'Higgins
4
2
W
21.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Huachipato
1
2
L
13.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Universidad de Chile
0
0
D
07.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
1
3
L
01.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Nublense
1
1
D
H2H: Union La Calera vs Palestino
24.05.26
H2H
Union La Calera
Palestino
1
2
L
29.08.25
H2H
Union La Calera
Palestino
1
2
L
14.04.25
H2H
Palestino
Union La Calera
1
0
L
18.08.24
H2H
Union La Calera
Palestino
2
1
W
17.03.24
H2H
Palestino
Union La Calera
0
0
D
07.08.23
H2H
Union La Calera
Palestino
2
3
L
20.02.23
H2H
Palestino
Union La Calera
1
1
D
30.07.22
H2H
Union La Calera
Palestino
2
2
D
04.03.22
H2H
Palestino
Union La Calera
0
0
D
04.11.21
H2H
Palestino
Union La Calera
1
2
W
29.07.21
H2H
Union La Calera
Palestino
2
1
W
09.12.20
H2H
Palestino
Union La Calera
3
1
L
11.10.20
H2H
Union La Calera
Palestino
1
0
W
11.08.19
H2H
Palestino
Union La Calera
1
1
D
15.02.19
H2H
Union La Calera
Palestino
2
0
W
Last matches: Union La Calera
14.06.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Universidad de Chile
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Coquimbo Unido
1
2
L
14.04.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Concepción
1
0
W
16.03.26
Pri
Union La Calera
O'Higgins
3
3
D
27.02.26
Pri
Union La Calera
A. Italiano
3
0
W
20.02.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Nublense
0
1
L
09.02.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Cobresal
3
1
W
H2H at home: Union La Calera
24.05.26
H2H
Union La Calera
Palestino
1
2
L
29.08.25
H2H
Union La Calera
Palestino
1
2
L
18.08.24
H2H
Union La Calera
Palestino
2
1
W
07.08.23
H2H
Union La Calera
Palestino
2
3
L
30.07.22
H2H
Union La Calera
Palestino
2
2
D
29.07.21
H2H
Union La Calera
Palestino
2
1
W
11.10.20
H2H
Union La Calera
Palestino
1
0
W
15.02.19
H2H
Union La Calera
Palestino
2
0
W
Last matches: Palestino
13.06.26
Pri
Palestino
Everton de Vina
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Colo Colo
1
0
W
02.04.26
Pri
Palestino
U. Catolica
1
6
L
15.03.26
Pri
Palestino
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Huachipato
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
1
3
L
H2H away: Palestino
24.05.26
H2H
Union La Calera
Palestino
1
2
W
29.08.25
H2H
Union La Calera
Palestino
1
2
W
18.08.24
H2H
Union La Calera
Palestino
2
1
L
07.08.23
H2H
Union La Calera
Palestino
2
3
W
30.07.22
H2H
Union La Calera
Palestino
2
2
D
29.07.21
H2H
Union La Calera
Palestino
2
1
L
11.10.20
H2H
Union La Calera
Palestino
1
0
L
15.02.19
H2H
Union La Calera
Palestino
2
0
L

Standings

Primera
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 0 3 29:12 17 36
W W W W W
2 15 8 2 5 35:20 15 26
W W L W L
3 15 7 3 5 22:18 4 24
D W D W L
4 15 7 3 5 23:21 2 24
W D W W L
5 15 7 2 6 23:22 1 23
D L L W D
6 15 6 4 5 19:15 4 22
L W D W W
7 15 5 7 3 18:19 -1 22
D W D L L
8 15 6 3 6 30:23 7 21
L L L L D
9 14 5 6 3 15:10 5 21
D W L W D
10 14 6 2 6 19:20 -1 20
D L L W W
11 15 5 4 6 13:26 -13 19
L D D W L
12 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
D L W L D
13 15 4 4 7 18:21 -3 16
D D W L D
14 15 4 2 9 14:23 -9 14
W L W L W
15 15 4 1 10 19:29 -10 13
L L L W L
16 15 3 3 9 14:28 -14 12
D D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso