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CHILE › PRIMERA B
24.10.2026 20:30
Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK

Union Espanola vs Santiago Wanderers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 93.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
93.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Union Espanola Win 46.5%
Draw 6.6%
Santiago Wanderers Win 47%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union Espanola1.21
Santiago Wanderers1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union Espanola Union Espanola
WWDLW
37 GF / 46 GA
Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers
WLDWL
53 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
19
BTTS Yes
20
17
Over 2.5
21
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union Espanola Union Espanola 35 matches
Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers 34 matches
Union Espanola Statistic Santiago Wanderers
12 Wins 14
8 Draws 8
15 Losses 12
37 Goals For 53
46 Goals Against 49
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
19 BTTS Yes 20
27 Over 1.5 28
17 Over 2.5 21
4 Over 3.5 14
9 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Santiago Wanderers's more proactive style and Union Espanola's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Santiago Wanderers. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Santiago Wanderers having the stronger overall control.

Union Espanola Analysis

With 36 points from 27 games and a place of 9, Union Espanola still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 32:35, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Santiago Wanderers Analysis

Santiago Wanderers approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 3 with 47 points from 28 matches. The overall return of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats with a 46:31 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Union Espanola won 3 times, Santiago Wanderers won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:6 from Union Espanola's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.4%)
H2H summary: Union Espanola wins 3, draws 1, Santiago Wanderers wins 1

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 8 5 43:29 14 53
W W W W W
2 28 14 9 5 51:30 21 51
W L W W D
3 28 13 8 7 46:31 15 47
W L L L L
4 28 13 7 8 44:40 4 46
L W W W D
5 28 12 9 7 47:26 21 45
D W W L D
6 28 11 8 9 40:42 -2 41
L L W D W
7 28 10 10 8 33:27 6 40
D L W W L
8 27 11 7 9 42:40 2 40
W W W D L
9 28 9 9 10 44:39 5 36
D W L D W
10 27 10 6 11 32:35 -3 36
L L D L D
11 28 8 11 9 38:32 6 35
D W W W L
12 28 10 5 13 26:35 -9 35
D L L L L
13 28 7 10 11 26:42 -16 31
D W L L W
14 28 4 11 13 28:42 -14 23
D L L D W
15 28 5 8 15 18:50 -32 23
D L L L L
16 28 5 6 17 28:46 -18 21
L W L L W