BRAZIL SERIE D
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Municipal Stadium Engineer Luthero Lopes

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
78.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
União Rondonópolis Win 21.2%
Draw 0%
Goiatuba EC Win 78.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
União Rondonópolis0.84
Goiatuba EC2
Recent Form (Last 5)
União Rondonópolis União Rondonópolis
WWDLW
5 GF / 10 GA
Goiatuba EC Goiatuba EC
WLDWL
10 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
2
2
Average Goals Conceded
0.6
3
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

União Rondonópolis União Rondonópolis 5 matches
Goiatuba EC Goiatuba EC 5 matches
União Rondonópolis Statistic Goiatuba EC
1 Wins 4
1 Draws 1
3 Losses 0
5 Goals For 10
10 Goals Against 3
1 Avg Goals Scored 2
2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.6
3 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 2
3 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 2
0 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Goiatuba EC's more proactive style and União Rondonópolis's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Goiatuba EC. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Goiatuba EC having the stronger overall control. Goiatuba EC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 13 points while União Rondonópolis sit 5 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Goiatuba EC look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

União Rondonópolis Analysis

With 4 points from 5 games and a place of 5, União Rondonópolis still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 5:10 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Oliveira Gil (1 goals), Daniel Cruz (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Goiatuba EC Analysis

Goiatuba EC approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 13 points after 5 outings. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 10:3, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Gabriel Silva (3 goals), Thalles (3 goals), Euller Viana (1 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, União Rondonópolis won 0 times, Goiatuba EC won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:5 from União Rondonópolis's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: União Rondonópolis wins 0, draws 1, Goiatuba EC wins 1
Last matches: União Rondonópolis
07.06.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Capital Brasilia
0
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Mixto
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Ceilândia
2
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
CEOV Operário
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Goiatuba EC
1
5
L
26.04.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
CEOV Operário
2
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Ceilândia
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Mixto
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Capital Brasilia
0
1
L
Last matches: Goiatuba EC
18.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ferroviario
3
0
W
12.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Manauara
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Manauara
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Brasiliense
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Brasiliense
0
0
D
07.06.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
CEOV Operário
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ceilândia
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Capital Brasilia
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Mixto
0
2
L
02.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
União Rondonópolis
5
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Mixto
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Capital Brasilia
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ceilândia
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
CEOV Operário
2
2
D
06.09.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
30.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
23.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Aparecidense
2
0
W
17.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Aparecidense
2
3
L
09.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Sao Jose
2
1
W
02.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Sao Jose
1
1
D
H2H: União Rondonópolis vs Goiatuba EC
09.05.26
H2H
União Rondonópolis
Goiatuba EC
0
0
D
02.05.26
H2H
Goiatuba EC
União Rondonópolis
5
1
L
Last matches: União Rondonópolis
30.05.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Mixto
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Ceilândia
2
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
CEOV Operário
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Capital Brasilia
0
1
L
H2H at home: União Rondonópolis
09.05.26
H2H
União Rondonópolis
Goiatuba EC
0
0
D
Last matches: Goiatuba EC
12.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Manauara
2
1
W
21.06.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Brasiliense
0
0
D
30.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ceilândia
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Mixto
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Capital Brasilia
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
CEOV Operário
2
2
D
06.09.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
23.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Aparecidense
2
0
W
09.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Sao Jose
2
1
W
26.07.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
1
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Itabirito
1
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Operario Ferroviario
1
2
L
21.06.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Monte Azul
2
3
L
31.05.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Cianorte
3
2
W
10.05.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Uberlandia
1
2
L
26.04.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Cascavel
4
1
W
H2H away: Goiatuba EC
09.05.26
H2H
União Rondonópolis
Goiatuba EC
0
0
D

Standings

Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)