BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Dinamo-Yuni Stadium
Uni Minsk
Match Timeline
Bumprom
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
I. Vorobyov · Assist: D. Narchuk
Uni Minsk
🟨
32'
I. Zhestkin
Bumprom
🟨
43'
E. Snapkov
Uni Minsk
54'
K. Sidorenko
Bumprom
🟨
55'
K. Sidorenko
Bumprom
🔄
56'
M. Tychko ↔ A. Zhevnerenko
Bumprom
🔄
70'
D. Narchuk ↔ E. Sakuta
Uni Minsk
🔄
75'
I. Zhestkin ↔ D. Latykhov
Bumprom
🔄
79'
D. Lapin ↔ E. Semenov
Uni Minsk
🔄
79'
I. Vorobyov ↔ M. Volodko
Uni Minsk
🔄
81'
V. Fastovets ↔ V. Dubrovskiy
Bumprom
🟨
86'
A. Fazylov
Bumprom

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71.2%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Uni Minsk Win 23.1%
Draw 5.7%
Bumprom Win 71.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Uni Minsk1.11
Bumprom1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Uni Minsk Uni Minsk
WWDLW
14 GF / 26 GA
Bumprom Bumprom
WLDWL
35 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
6
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Uni Minsk Uni Minsk 16 matches
Bumprom Bumprom 20 matches
Uni Minsk Statistic Bumprom
4 Wins 8
3 Draws 3
9 Losses 9
14 Goals For 35
26 Goals Against 29
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
6 BTTS Yes 13
11 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 12
4 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Bumprom's more proactive style and Uni Minsk's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Bumprom having the stronger overall control. Uni Minsk have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Bumprom carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 24 points while Uni Minsk sit 15 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Bumprom. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Uni Minsk Analysis

Uni Minsk approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 15 points from 15 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats with a 13:24 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bumprom Analysis

So far, Bumprom have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 24 points from 15 matches. The record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 30:21 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Uni Minsk won 0 times, Bumprom won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Uni Minsk's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
H2H summary: Uni Minsk wins 0, draws 3, Bumprom wins 0
Last matches: Uni Minsk
26.07.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Minsk II
1
2
L
11.07.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Osipovichy
1
0
W
05.07.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Lida
0
0
D
27.06.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Niva
1
3
L
21.06.26
1.
Uni Minsk
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
4
L
13.06.26
1.
Uni Minsk
FC Slutsk
0
1
L
06.06.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Dinamo Minsk II
1
2
L
31.05.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Ostrovets FC
2
3
L
23.05.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Slonim
0
3
L
17.05.26
1.
Uni Minsk
BATE II
1
1
D
10.05.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Shakhter Soligorsk
0
3
L
02.05.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1
0
W
24.04.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Gomel II
0
2
L
18.04.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Orsha
2
2
D
11.04.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Volna
1
0
W
04.04.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Smorgon
3
0
W
Last matches: Bumprom
26.07.26
1.
Bumprom
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0
1
L
12.07.26
1.
Bumprom
Gomel II
1
1
D
04.07.26
1.
Bumprom
Orsha
1
3
L
27.06.26
1.
Bumprom
Volna
1
2
L
20.06.26
1.
Bumprom
Smorgon
2
1
W
13.06.26
1.
Bumprom
Shakhter Soligorsk
6
2
W
06.06.26
1.
Bumprom
Minsk II
1
1
D
31.05.26
1.
Bumprom
Osipovichy
5
1
W
23.05.26
1.
Bumprom
Lida
2
0
W
17.05.26
1.
Bumprom
Niva
0
1
L
10.05.26
1.
Bumprom
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
2
0
W
03.05.26
1.
Bumprom
FC Slutsk
1
3
L
25.04.26
1.
Bumprom
Dinamo Minsk II
4
3
W
18.04.26
1.
Bumprom
Ostrovets FC
1
3
L
11.04.26
1.
Bumprom
Slonim
0
0
D
04.04.26
1.
Bumprom
BATE II
3
0
W
13.03.26
Fri
Bumprom
FC Gomel
1
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Bumprom
FC Gomel
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Bumprom
Belshina
3
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Bumprom
Slavia Mozyr
1
2
L
H2H: Uni Minsk vs Bumprom
01.08.26
H2H
Uni Minsk
Bumprom
1
1
D
10.08.25
H2H
Uni Minsk
Bumprom
0
0
D
06.04.25
H2H
Bumprom
Uni Minsk
1
1
D
Last matches: Uni Minsk
11.07.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Osipovichy
1
0
W
27.06.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Niva
1
3
L
13.06.26
1.
Uni Minsk
FC Slutsk
0
1
L
17.05.26
1.
Uni Minsk
BATE II
1
1
D
24.04.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Gomel II
0
2
L
11.04.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Volna
1
0
W
H2H at home: Uni Minsk
01.08.26
H2H
Uni Minsk
Bumprom
1
1
D
10.08.25
H2H
Uni Minsk
Bumprom
0
0
D
Last matches: Bumprom
12.07.26
1.
Bumprom
Gomel II
1
1
D
27.06.26
1.
Bumprom
Volna
1
2
L
06.06.26
1.
Bumprom
Minsk II
1
1
D
23.05.26
1.
Bumprom
Lida
2
0
W
10.05.26
1.
Bumprom
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
2
0
W
25.04.26
1.
Bumprom
Dinamo Minsk II
4
3
W
13.03.26
Fri
Bumprom
FC Gomel
1
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Bumprom
FC Gomel
0
1
L
31.01.26
Fri
Bumprom
Slavia Mozyr
1
2
L
H2H away: Bumprom
01.08.26
H2H
Uni Minsk
Bumprom
1
1
D
10.08.25
H2H
Uni Minsk
Bumprom
0
0
D

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 3 2 37:18 19 39
W D W D L
2 17 10 5 2 37:19 18 35
L D D W W
3 17 10 3 4 39:19 20 33
W W D W W
4 17 9 3 5 31:20 11 30
L W D L W
5 17 9 3 5 31:27 4 30
W L W D W
6 17 9 2 6 32:27 5 29
W W L W W
7 17 7 5 5 36:25 11 26
L D W L L
8 17 7 4 6 31:23 8 25
D L D L L
9 16 7 4 5 30:22 8 25
L D L W D
10 17 8 1 8 25:31 -6 25
W W L W L
11 17 7 1 9 21:32 -11 22
W W W L W
12 16 5 3 8 19:29 -10 18
W L D W L
13 17 4 5 8 24:27 -3 17
L L D W W
14 17 4 5 8 20:27 -7 17
L W D L W
15 17 4 4 9 15:27 -12 16
D L W D L
16 17 2 9 6 19:26 -7 15
L L D D D
17 17 2 5 10 21:41 -20 11
L L L L L
18 17 3 1 13 20:48 -28 10
W W L L L