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PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
14.09.2026 17:45
Estádio do Rio Ave FC
Referee: Gustavo Correia, Portugal
Rio Ave
Match Timeline
Estrela
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
21'
I. Stoica · Assist: L. Antonetti
Estrela
🟨
26'
Max Scholze
Estrela
🟨
44'
Francisco Petrasso
Rio Ave
⚽
45'
F. Petrasso · Assist: Diogo Bezerra
Rio Ave
🔄
53'
S. Clemmensen ↔ R. Galcik
Rio Ave
⚽
53'
A. Marcus · Assist: M. Scholze
Estrela
⚽
57'
R. Galcik
Rio Ave
🟨
58'
Eddy Doué
Estrela
⚽
62'
A. Marcus · Assist: I. Stoica
Estrela
🔄
63'
M. Patricio ↔ Tamble
Rio Ave
🔄
63'
G. Doue ↔ Joan Jordan
Estrela
🔄
68'
P. Amaral ↔ M. Vrousai
Rio Ave
🔄
68'
J. Tome ↔ N. Abbey
Rio Ave
🔄
68'
T. Nikitscher ↔ M. Sellouki
Rio Ave
🔄
71'
M. Scholze ↔ K. Jansson
Estrela
🔄
71'
S. Serra ↔ J. Encada
Estrela
🟨
76'
Stefan Leković
Estrela
⚽
78'
J. Blesa
Rio Ave
🔄
84'
A. Marcus ↔ B. Souza
Estrela
🔄
84'
I. Stoica ↔ Alisson Souza
Estrela
🟨
90+1'
Tamblé Monteiro
Rio Ave

Rio Ave vs Estrela Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 44.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
44.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
75.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Rio Ave Win 37.6%
Draw 17.7%
Estrela Win 44.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rio Ave1.3
Estrela1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rio Ave Rio Ave
WWDLW
12 GF / 15 GA
Estrela Estrela
WLDWL
23 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.92
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
3
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
7
1.8
Shots on Goal
4.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rio Ave Rio Ave 9 matches
Estrela Estrela 12 matches
Rio Ave Statistic Estrela
4 Wins 6
1 Draws 5
4 Losses 1
12 Goals For 23
15 Goals Against 15
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.92
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
3 BTTS Yes 9
8 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 0
1.8 Shots On Goal 4.6
6.6 Total Shots 11
3 Corners 3.6
42.2% Ball Possession 45%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Rio Ave won 5 times, Estrela won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:8 from Rio Ave's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.88 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.3%)
Predicted formations: Rio Ave 4-2-3-1 / Estrela 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Rio Ave wins 5, draws 2, Estrela wins 1

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 20:4 16 24
W W W W W
2 8 6 1 1 24:7 17 19
W L W W W
3 8 5 3 0 20:9 11 18
W D D W W
4 8 5 3 0 12:4 8 18
W D W W D
5 8 4 2 2 11:7 4 14
W D L D W
6 8 4 2 2 11:10 1 14
W W W W L
7 7 3 2 2 6:5 1 11
W D L L D
8 8 3 2 3 13:12 1 11
W W W L D
9 7 3 2 2 8:8 0 11
L D W L W
10 8 2 4 2 14:15 -1 10
L L D W D
11 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
L D L L L
12 8 2 2 4 8:15 -7 8
L D W L L
13 8 1 4 3 10:11 -1 7
L W D D D
14 8 2 1 5 8:17 -9 7
W L D L L
15 8 1 2 5 5:10 -5 5
L D L D L
16 8 1 1 6 9:18 -9 4
L L L L L
17 8 1 1 6 3:17 -14 4
L W L D L
18 8 0 2 6 4:12 -8 2
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2