TURKEY 1. LIG
--.--.---- --:--
Spoi?nt I?nsaat Ümrani?yespor Stadyumu
Referee: R. Yorgancilar
Ümraniyespor
Match Timeline
Vanspor FK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
E. Bars ↔ Xesc
Vanspor FK
🔄
46'
A. Traore ↔ M. Ozcan
Vanspor FK
VAR
52'
Ogulcan Caglayan
Vanspor FK
60'
M. Ozcan
Vanspor FK
🔄
64'
T. Kosoko ↔ C. Soukou
Ümraniyespor
71'
E. Hoti · Assist: Y. D. Sas
Ümraniyespor
🟨
73'
Jurgen Bardhi
Ümraniyespor
🔄
77'
Benny ↔ B. Ekincier
Ümraniyespor
🔄
77'
J. Bardhi ↔ K. Aktas
Ümraniyespor
🔄
80'
B. C. Kara ↔ A. Yildrim
Vanspor FK
🔄
81'
O. Caglayan ↔ M. Coksu
Vanspor FK
84'
S. Hostikka · Assist: M. Coksu
Vanspor FK
🔄
87'
B. Celik ↔ T. Ozdemir
Ümraniyespor
🔄
87'
M. Eser ↔ O. Ugur
Ümraniyespor
🔄
90+2'
S. Hostikka ↔ Z. Jevsenak
Vanspor FK

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 52%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 52.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
52%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
52.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Ümraniyespor Win 68.8%
Draw 5.4%
Vanspor FK Win 25.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ümraniyespor1.18
Vanspor FK1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor
WWDLW
42 GF / 44 GA
Vanspor FK Vanspor FK
WLDWL
48 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.37
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
14
BTTS Yes
16
14
Over 2.5
17
4.06
Shots on Goal
4.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 35 matches
Vanspor FK Vanspor FK 35 matches
Ümraniyespor Statistic Vanspor FK
12 Wins 12
7 Draws 10
16 Losses 13
42 Goals For 48
44 Goals Against 40
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
14 BTTS Yes 16
23 Over 1.5 23
14 Over 2.5 17
9 Over 3.5 9
10 Clean Sheets 10
13 Failed To Score 14
4.06 Shots On Goal 4.2
9.66 Total Shots 11.51
3.91 Corners 4.2
46.5% Ball Possession 55.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Vanspor FK's more proactive style and Ümraniyespor's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Vanspor FK. Vanspor FK arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ümraniyespor expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Vanspor FK in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vanspor FK having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Ümraniyespor Analysis

Ümraniyespor sit 14 with 43 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 7 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 40:42 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Celik (12 goals), Benny (6 goals), Jurgen Bardhi (5 goals), with creative support from Benny (7 assists), B. Celik (4 assists), Atalay Babacan (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Vanspor FK Analysis

Vanspor FK sit 12 with 46 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 48:40 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Bikoue (15 goals), Jefferson (5 goals), Xesc (5 goals), with creative support from Bikoue (6 assists), Jefferson (4 assists), Emir Bars (4 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Ümraniyespor won 3 times, Vanspor FK won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Ümraniyespor's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
Predicted formations: Ümraniyespor 4-3-3 / Vanspor FK 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ümraniyespor wins 3, draws 0, Vanspor FK wins 1
Stats
Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor
Vanspor FK Vanspor FK
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 3
8 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 3
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots off Goal 2
1 Blocked Shots 1
7 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
379 Total passes 388
322 Passes accurate 321
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Ümraniyespor
Formation
Vanspor FK
O. Yildirim
O. Yildirim
A. T. Bulbul
A. T. Bulbul
M. Eser
M. Eser
Y. Kocaturk
Y. Kocaturk
E. Kaplan
E. Kaplan
Y. D. Sas
🎯
Y. D. Sas
E. Hoti
E. Hoti
J. Bardhi
J. Bardhi
Benny
Benny
B. Celik
B. Celik
T. Kosoko
T. Kosoko
A. Uysal
A. Uysal
M. Bingol
M. Bingol
M. Cavusoglu
M. Cavusoglu
E. Dikmen
E. Dikmen
B. Isciler
B. Isciler
A. Traore
A. Traore
Jefferson
Jefferson
E. Bars
E. Bars
B. C. Kara
B. C. Kara
S. Hostikka
S. Hostikka
O. Caglayan
O. Caglayan
Ümraniyespor 4-3-3
Starting XI
99
O. Yildirim
G
81
A. T. Bulbul
D
4
M. Eser
↓ 87'
D
14
Y. Kocaturk
D
75
E. Kaplan
D
30
Y. D. Sas
🎯 71'
M
17
E. Hoti
⚽ 71'
M
10
J. Bardhi
↓ 77' 🟨 73'
M
77
Benny
↓ 77'
F
9
B. Celik
↓ 87'
F
12
T. Kosoko
↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
35
C. Topaloglu
G
27
C. Soukou
↑ 64'
F
11
B. Ekincier
↑ 77'
F
59
Y. Yilmaz
D
44
T. Glumac
D
5
K. Aktas
↑ 77'
M
53
B. Oksuz
D
36
S. Cengiz
D
92
T. Ozdemir
↑ 87'
M
38
O. Ugur
↑ 87'
M
Vanspor FK 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
A. Uysal
G
65
M. Bingol
53
M. Cavusoglu
4
E. Dikmen
D
35
B. Isciler
D
8
A. Traore
↓ 46'
M
10
Jefferson
M
45
E. Bars
↓ 46'
M
76
B. C. Kara
↓ 80'
M
7
S. Hostikka
⚽ 84' ↓ 90+2'
M
17
O. Caglayan
↓ 81'
F
Substitutes
16
B. Gebecelioglu
G
73
S. Olmez
G
11
Xesc
↑ 46'
41
M. Ozcan
⚽ 60' ↑ 46'
M
6
Z. Jevsenak
↑ 90+2'
M
77
G. Usta
21
A. Demirol
M
82
A. Yildrim
↑ 80'
90
M. Coksu
🎯 84' ↑ 81'
61
F. C. Genc
D
Last matches: Ümraniyespor
17.07.26
Fri
Ümraniyespor
Galatasaray
1
5
L
02.05.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Keçiörengücü
1
4
L
25.04.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Adana Demirspor
3
1
W
13.04.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Amed
2
2
D
08.04.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Sakaryaspor
2
0
W
03.04.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Bodrum FK
0
1
L
21.03.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Pendikspor
0
0
D
15.03.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Sivasspor
0
1
L
11.03.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Erzurumspor FK
3
1
W
06.03.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Sarıyer
2
1
W
01.03.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Bandırmaspor
1
2
L
22.02.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Çorum FK
0
2
L
17.02.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Boluspor
4
2
W
13.02.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Iğdır FK
1
1
D
08.02.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
İstanbulspor
0
0
D
02.02.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Esenler Erokspor
0
1
L
25.01.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Hatayspor
2
0
W
18.01.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Serik Spor
5
0
W
12.01.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Manisa F.K.
0
1
L
28.12.25
1.
Ümraniyespor
Keçiörengücü
1
3
L
Last matches: Vanspor FK
01.05.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Hatayspor
1
3
L
25.04.26
1.
Vanspor FK
İstanbulspor
1
3
L
12.04.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Manisa F.K.
0
1
L
08.04.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Serik Spor
6
1
W
04.04.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Keçiörengücü
0
3
L
22.03.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Sarıyer
0
0
D
15.03.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Sakaryaspor
1
2
L
10.03.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Adana Demirspor
1
0
W
06.03.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Pendikspor
1
1
D
28.02.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Erzurumspor FK
0
3
L
23.02.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Amed
0
1
L
19.02.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Bodrum FK
3
1
W
14.02.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Sivasspor
3
3
D
07.02.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Çorum FK
3
1
W
01.02.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Bandırmaspor
0
2
L
24.01.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Iğdır FK
3
0
W
17.01.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Esenler Erokspor
0
0
D
09.01.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Boluspor
0
1
L
27.12.25
1.
Vanspor FK
Hatayspor
4
0
W
21.12.25
1.
Vanspor FK
İstanbulspor
3
1
W
H2H: Ümraniyespor vs Vanspor FK
19.04.26
H2H
Ümraniyespor
Vanspor FK
1
2
L
14.12.25
H2H
Vanspor FK
Ümraniyespor
0
1
W
25.03.12
H2H
Ümraniyespor
Vanspor FK
2
1
W
22.12.11
H2H
Vanspor FK
Ümraniyespor
0
1
W
Last matches: Ümraniyespor
17.07.26
Fri
Ümraniyespor
Galatasaray
1
5
L
02.05.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Keçiörengücü
1
4
L
08.04.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Sakaryaspor
2
0
W
21.03.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Pendikspor
0
0
D
11.03.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Erzurumspor FK
3
1
W
01.03.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Bandırmaspor
1
2
L
17.02.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Boluspor
4
2
W
08.02.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
İstanbulspor
0
0
D
18.01.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Serik Spor
5
0
W
21.12.25
1.
Ümraniyespor
Adana Demirspor
5
0
W
06.12.25
1.
Ümraniyespor
Amed
3
4
L
23.11.25
1.
Ümraniyespor
Bodrum FK
1
0
W
01.11.25
1.
Ümraniyespor
Sivasspor
1
0
W
17.10.25
1.
Ümraniyespor
Sarıyer
1
3
L
27.09.25
1.
Ümraniyespor
Çorum FK
1
1
D
19.09.25
1.
Ümraniyespor
Iğdır FK
0
1
L
30.08.25
1.
Ümraniyespor
Esenler Erokspor
0
2
L
24.08.25
1.
Ümraniyespor
Hatayspor
1
1
D
08.08.25
1.
Ümraniyespor
Manisa F.K.
2
1
W
H2H at home: Ümraniyespor
19.04.26
H2H
Ümraniyespor
Vanspor FK
1
2
L
25.03.12
H2H
Ümraniyespor
Vanspor FK
2
1
W
Last matches: Vanspor FK
01.05.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Hatayspor
1
3
L
08.04.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Serik Spor
6
1
W
04.04.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Keçiörengücü
0
3
L
15.03.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Sakaryaspor
1
2
L
06.03.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Pendikspor
1
1
D
23.02.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Amed
0
1
L
14.02.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Sivasspor
3
3
D
01.02.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Bandırmaspor
0
2
L
17.01.26
1.
Vanspor FK
Esenler Erokspor
0
0
D
21.12.25
1.
Vanspor FK
İstanbulspor
3
1
W
07.12.25
1.
Vanspor FK
Manisa F.K.
1
2
L
07.11.25
1.
Vanspor FK
Sarıyer
1
2
L
25.10.25
1.
Vanspor FK
Adana Demirspor
4
2
W
04.10.25
1.
Vanspor FK
Erzurumspor FK
1
1
D
24.09.25
1.
Vanspor FK
Bodrum FK
0
2
L
13.09.25
1.
Vanspor FK
Çorum FK
0
0
D
23.08.25
1.
Vanspor FK
Iğdır FK
0
0
D
10.08.25
1.
Vanspor FK
Boluspor
3
2
W
H2H away: Vanspor FK
19.04.26
H2H
Ümraniyespor
Vanspor FK
1
2
W
25.03.12
H2H
Ümraniyespor
Vanspor FK
2
1
L

Standings

1. Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 23 12 3 82:27 55 81
D D D W W
2 38 21 11 6 81:42 39 74
D D L D D
3 38 21 11 6 81:35 46 74
L D L W W
4 38 21 8 9 63:39 24 71
W W L W D
5 38 18 10 10 71:39 32 64
L W W L D
6 38 16 15 7 58:33 25 63
L D W D D
7 38 16 12 10 73:43 30 60
L W W L D
8 38 16 12 10 47:34 13 60
W D W D D
9 38 16 7 15 57:56 1 55
W L W W W
10 38 14 11 13 47:43 4 53
L W L L W
11 38 13 13 12 57:55 2 52
W W W W L
12 38 15 7 16 44:44 0 52
W W L W D
13 38 13 11 14 52:54 -2 50
D L D W L
14 38 13 10 15 52:47 5 49
L L W L W
15 38 14 6 18 61:57 4 48
W L W L L
16 38 13 7 18 47:51 -4 46
L W L D W
17 38 11 6 21 44:75 -31 39
L W L D L
18 38 8 10 20 45:72 -27 34
L L D L L
19 38 2 8 28 33:102 -69 14
W L D L W
20 38 1 3 34 22:169 -147 -57
L L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation