Ümraniyespor vs Vanspor FK Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
68.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
52%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.9%
|
- |
Ümraniyespor
Vanspor FK
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ümraniyespor
35 matches
Vanspor FK
35 matches
| Ümraniyespor | Statistic | Vanspor FK |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 12 |
| 7 | Draws | 10 |
| 16 | Losses | 13 |
| 42 | Goals For | 48 |
| 44 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.37 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.14 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 14 |
| 4.06 | Shots On Goal | 4.2 |
| 9.66 | Total Shots | 11.51 |
| 3.91 | Corners | 4.2 |
| 46.5% | Ball Possession | 55.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with Vanspor FK's more proactive style and Ümraniyespor's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Vanspor FK. Vanspor FK arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ümraniyespor expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Vanspor FK in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vanspor FK having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Ümraniyespor sit 14 with 43 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 7 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 40:42 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Celik (12 goals), Benny (6 goals), Jurgen Bardhi (5 goals), with creative support from Benny (7 assists), B. Celik (4 assists), Atalay Babacan (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Vanspor FK sit 12 with 46 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 48:40 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Bikoue (15 goals), Jefferson (5 goals), Xesc (5 goals), with creative support from Bikoue (6 assists), Jefferson (4 assists), Emir Bars (4 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Ümraniyespor won 3 times, Vanspor FK won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Ümraniyespor's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 82:27 | 55 | 81 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:42 | 39 | 74 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:35 | 46 | 74 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 63:39 | 24 | 71 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 71:39 | 32 | 64 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:33 | 25 | 63 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 73:43 | 30 | 60 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 47:34 | 13 | 60 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 57:56 | 1 | 55 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 47:43 | 4 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 57:55 | 2 | 52 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:44 | 0 | 52 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 52:54 | -2 | 50 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 |
Vanspor FK
Away
|
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 52:47 | 5 | 49 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 15 | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 61:57 | 4 | 48 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
Ümraniyespor
Home
|
38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 47:51 | -4 | 46 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 44:75 | -31 | 39 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 45:72 | -27 | 34 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 33:102 | -69 | 14 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 22:169 | -147 | -57 |
L
L
L
L
L
|