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02.10.2026 18:45
Štadión Antona Malatinského
Referee: Jasper Vergoote, Belgium
Ukraine
Match Timeline
Northern Ireland
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
Ciaron Brown
Northern Ireland
⚽
22'
Isaac Price · Assist: Kieran Morrison
Northern Ireland
🔄
56'
Volodymyr Brazhko ↔ Yehor Nazaryna
Ukraine
🟨
57'
Mykola Matvienko
Ukraine
⚽
61'
Ciaron Brown · Assist: Pierce Charles
Northern Ireland
🔄
63'
Roman Yaremchuk ↔ Matvii Ponomarenko
Ukraine
🔄
63'
Andriy Yarmolenko ↔ Oleksandr Zubkov
Ukraine
🔄
63'
Valerii Bondar ↔ Danylo Sikan
Ukraine
🟨
64'
Brodie Spencer
Northern Ireland
🔄
67'
Isaac Price ↔ Justin Devenny
Northern Ireland
🔄
68'
Georgiy Sudakov ↔ Oleksandr Nazarenko
Ukraine
🔄
77'
Jamie Donley ↔ Josh Magennis
Northern Ireland
🔄
77'
Kieran Morrison ↔ Patrick Kelly
Northern Ireland
🔄
84'
Terry Devlin ↔ Ceadach O'Neill
Northern Ireland
🔄
84'
Tom Atcheson ↔ Paddy McNair
Northern Ireland
🟨
88'
Danylo Sikan
Ukraine
🟨
88'
Matvii Ponomarenko
Ukraine

Ukraine vs Northern Ireland Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
88.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ukraine Win 71.6%
Draw 17.2%
Northern Ireland Win 11.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ukraine0.92
Northern Ireland0.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ukraine Ukraine
WWDLW
5 GF / 2 GA
Northern Ireland Northern Ireland
WLDWL
4 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.8
0.4
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
1
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
1
1.4
Shots on Goal
3.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ukraine Ukraine 5 matches
Northern Ireland Northern Ireland 5 matches
Ukraine Statistic Northern Ireland
3 Wins 2
1 Draws 2
1 Losses 1
5 Goals For 4
2 Goals Against 4
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
0.4 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
1 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 1
1.4 Shots On Goal 3.6
4 Total Shots 9
0.8 Corners 1.6
28% Ball Possession 35%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Ukraine won 1 times, Northern Ireland won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Ukraine's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (88.8%)
Predicted formations: Ukraine 4-2-3-1 / Northern Ireland 5-4-1
H2H summary: Ukraine wins 1, draws 0, Northern Ireland wins 1

Standings

League B - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 2 2 0 4:0 4 8
D W D W
2 4 2 1 1 3:2 1 7
W W D L
3 4 1 1 2 2:5 -3 4
L L D W
4 4 0 2 2 0:2 -2 2
D L D L
Promotion
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