WORLD WORLD CUP - QUALIFICATION EUROPE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Wojska Polskiego
Referee: A. Taylor
Ukraine
Match Timeline
Iceland
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45+1'
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
Iceland
🔄
65'
B. Willumsson ↔ J. Gudmundsson
Iceland
🔄
69'
V. Vanat ↔ R. Yaremchuk
Ukraine
🔄
69'
Y. Yarmolyuk ↔ M. Shaparenko
Ukraine
🟨
75'
Ruslan Malinovskyi
Ukraine
🔄
77'
R. Malinovskyi ↔ O. Gutsulyak
Ukraine
83'
O. Zubkov · Assist: O. Gutsulyak
Ukraine
🟨
85'
Yukhym Konoplia
Ukraine
🔄
86'
M. E. Ellertsson ↔ L. Tomasson
Iceland
🔄
86'
J. Thorsteinsson ↔ D. T. Gudjohnsen
Iceland
🔄
87'
O. Zubkov ↔ O. Svatok
Ukraine
🔄
87'
V. Tsygankov ↔ Y. Nazaryna
Ukraine
90'
O. Gutsulyak · Assist: I. Kaliuzhnyi
Ukraine

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Ukraine Win 0%
Draw 0%
Iceland Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ukraine1.71
Iceland1.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ukraine Ukraine
WWDLW
19 GF / 23 GA
Iceland Iceland
WLDWL
25 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
1.92
1.77
Average Goals Conceded
2.08
9
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
10
4.4
Shots on Goal
4.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ukraine Ukraine 13 matches
Iceland Iceland 13 matches
Ukraine Statistic Iceland
5 Wins 4
3 Draws 2
5 Losses 7
19 Goals For 25
23 Goals Against 27
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.92
1.77 Avg Goals Conceded 2.08
9 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 8
1 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 0
4.4 Shots On Goal 4.4
11 Total Shots 10.2
4.4 Corners 2.6
47.8% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Ukraine won 3 times, Iceland won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:7 from Ukraine's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Ukraine 4-1-4-1 / Iceland -
H2H summary: Ukraine wins 3, draws 1, Iceland wins 1
Stats
Ukraine Ukraine
Iceland Iceland
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
5
3 Corner Kicks 10
12 Fouls 6
2 Offsides 2
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 2
7 Shots off Goal 3
0 Blocked Shots 5
8 Shots insidebox 6
5 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
432 Total passes 397
350 Passes accurate 313
1.65 expected_goals 0.58
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Ukraine
Formation
Iceland
A. Trubin
A. Trubin
Y. Konoplya
Y. Konoplya
I. Zabarnyi
I. Zabarnyi
M. Matviienko
M. Matviienko
V. Mykolenko
V. Mykolenko
I. Kaliuzhnyi
🎯
I. Kaliuzhnyi
V. Tsygankov
V. Tsygankov
R. Malinovskyi
R. Malinovskyi
Y. Yarmolyuk
Y. Yarmolyuk
O. Zubkov
O. Zubkov
V. Vanat
V. Vanat
E. Olafsson
E. Olafsson
V. Palsson
V. Palsson
S. I. Ingason
S. I. Ingason
H. Magnusson
H. Magnusson
M. E. Ellertsson
M. E. Ellertsson
J. Thorsteinsson
J. Thorsteinsson
H. Haraldsson
H. Haraldsson
I. Johannesson
I. Johannesson
A. Gudmundsson
A. Gudmundsson
B. Willumsson
B. Willumsson
A. Gudjohnsen
A. Gudjohnsen
Ukraine 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
12
A. Trubin
G
2
Y. Konoplya
🟨 85'
D
13
I. Zabarnyi
D
22
M. Matviienko
D
16
V. Mykolenko
D
6
I. Kaliuzhnyi
🎯 90'
M
15
V. Tsygankov
↓ 87'
M
8
R. Malinovskyi
↓ 77' 🟨 75'
M
18
Y. Yarmolyuk
↓ 69'
M
20
O. Zubkov
⚽ 83' ↓ 87'
M
7
V. Vanat
↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
1
Y. Volynets
G
23
D. Riznyk
G
3
B. Mykhaylichenko
D
4
O. Svatok
↑ 87'
D
5
V. Bondar
D
9
R. Yaremchuk
↑ 69'
F
10
M. Shaparenko
↑ 69'
M
11
O. Gutsulyak
⚽ 90' 🎯 83' ↑ 77'
M
14
T. Mykhavko
D
17
Y. Nazaryna
↑ 87'
M
19
N. Voloshyn
M
21
O. Karavaev
M
Iceland 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
E. Olafsson
G
4
V. Palsson
D
5
S. I. Ingason
D
23
H. Magnusson
D
14
M. E. Ellertsson
↓ 86'
D
11
J. Thorsteinsson
↓ 86'
M
9
H. Haraldsson
M
8
I. Johannesson
🟨 45+1'
M
10
A. Gudmundsson
M
15
B. Willumsson
↓ 65'
F
22
A. Gudjohnsen
F
Substitutes
12
H. R. Valdimarsson
G
13
A. Einarsson
G
2
L. Tomasson
↑ 86'
D
3
D. L. Gretarsson
6
G. Thordarson
M
7
J. Gudmundsson
↑ 65'
F
16
S. T. Thordarson
M
17
A. Gunnarsson
D
18
A. F. Baldursson
M
19
B. Bjarkason
M
20
K. Hlynsson
M
21
D. T. Gudjohnsen
↑ 86'
F
Last matches: Ukraine
07.06.26
Fri
Ukraine
Denmark
1
2
L
31.05.26
Fri
Ukraine
Poland
2
0
W
31.03.26
Fri
Ukraine
Albania
1
0
W
26.03.26
Wor
Ukraine
Sweden
1
3
L
13.11.25
Wor
Ukraine
France
0
4
L
13.10.25
Wor
Ukraine
Azerbaijan
2
1
W
10.10.25
Wor
Ukraine
Iceland
5
3
W
09.09.25
Wor
Ukraine
Azerbaijan
1
1
D
05.09.25
Wor
Ukraine
France
0
2
L
23.03.25
UEF
Ukraine
Belgium
0
3
L
20.03.25
UEF
Ukraine
Belgium
3
1
W
19.11.24
UEF
Ukraine
Albania
2
1
W
16.11.24
UEF
Ukraine
Georgia
1
1
D
14.10.24
UEF
Ukraine
Czech Republic
1
1
D
11.10.24
UEF
Ukraine
Georgia
1
0
W
10.09.24
UEF
Ukraine
Czech Republic
2
3
L
07.09.24
UEF
Ukraine
Albania
1
2
L
Last matches: Iceland
10.06.26
Fri
Iceland
Argentina
0
3
L
31.05.26
Fri
Iceland
Japan
0
1
L
31.03.26
Fri
Iceland
Haiti
1
1
D
28.03.26
Fri
Iceland
Canada
2
2
D
26.02.26
Fri
Iceland
Mexico
0
4
L
13.11.25
Wor
Iceland
Azerbaijan
2
0
W
13.10.25
Wor
Iceland
France
2
2
D
10.10.25
Wor
Iceland
Ukraine
3
5
L
09.09.25
Wor
Iceland
France
1
2
L
05.09.25
Wor
Iceland
Azerbaijan
5
0
W
23.03.25
UEF
Iceland
Kosovo
1
3
L
20.03.25
UEF
Iceland
Kosovo
1
2
L
19.11.24
UEF
Iceland
Wales
1
4
L
16.11.24
UEF
Iceland
Montenegro
2
0
W
14.10.24
UEF
Iceland
Türkiye
2
4
L
11.10.24
UEF
Iceland
Wales
2
2
D
09.09.24
UEF
Iceland
Türkiye
1
3
L
06.09.24
UEF
Iceland
Montenegro
2
0
W
H2H: Ukraine vs Iceland
16.11.25
H2H
Ukraine
Iceland
2
0
W
10.10.25
H2H
Iceland
Ukraine
3
5
W
26.03.24
H2H
Ukraine
Iceland
2
1
W
05.09.17
H2H
Iceland
Ukraine
2
0
L
05.09.16
H2H
Ukraine
Iceland
1
1
D
Last matches: Ukraine
31.03.26
Fri
Ukraine
Albania
1
0
W
26.03.26
Wor
Ukraine
Sweden
1
3
L
13.10.25
Wor
Ukraine
Azerbaijan
2
1
W
05.09.25
Wor
Ukraine
France
0
2
L
20.03.25
UEF
Ukraine
Belgium
3
1
W
14.10.24
UEF
Ukraine
Czech Republic
1
1
D
11.10.24
UEF
Ukraine
Georgia
1
0
W
07.09.24
UEF
Ukraine
Albania
1
2
L
H2H at home: Ukraine
16.11.25
H2H
Ukraine
Iceland
2
0
W
26.03.24
H2H
Ukraine
Iceland
2
1
W
05.09.16
H2H
Ukraine
Iceland
1
1
D
Last matches: Iceland
10.06.26
Fri
Iceland
Argentina
0
3
L
31.05.26
Fri
Iceland
Japan
0
1
L
31.03.26
Fri
Iceland
Haiti
1
1
D
28.03.26
Fri
Iceland
Canada
2
2
D
26.02.26
Fri
Iceland
Mexico
0
4
L
13.11.25
Wor
Iceland
Azerbaijan
2
0
W
09.09.25
Wor
Iceland
France
1
2
L
20.03.25
UEF
Iceland
Kosovo
1
2
L
19.11.24
UEF
Iceland
Wales
1
4
L
16.11.24
UEF
Iceland
Montenegro
2
0
W
09.09.24
UEF
Iceland
Türkiye
1
3
L
H2H away: Iceland
16.11.25
H2H
Ukraine
Iceland
2
0
L
26.03.24
H2H
Ukraine
Iceland
2
1
L
05.09.16
H2H
Ukraine
Iceland
1
1
D

Standings

Group D
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 16:4 12 16
W W D W W
2 6 3 1 2 10:11 -1 10
W L W W D
3 6 2 1 3 13:11 2 7
L W D L L
4 6 0 1 5 3:16 -13 1
L L L L D
Promotion - World Cup
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