Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
57.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
52.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
56.4%
|
- |
Udinese
Parma
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Udinese
35 matches
Parma
35 matches
| Udinese | Statistic | Parma |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 9 |
| 7 | Draws | 13 |
| 14 | Losses | 13 |
| 42 | Goals For | 28 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 44 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.8 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 14 |
| 3.91 | Shots On Goal | 3.11 |
| 11.34 | Total Shots | 11.09 |
| 4.14 | Corners | 3.91 |
| 45.3% | Ball Possession | 44.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Udinese expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Parma in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Parma having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Parma. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
From their first 32 matches, Udinese have collected 43 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 38:42 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Keinan Davis (10 goals), J. Ekkelenkamp (5 goals), Nicolò Zaniolo (5 goals), with creative support from Nicolò Zaniolo (6 assists), Keinan Davis (3 assists), A. Atta (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with K. Davis, A. Zanoli, J. Zemura unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Parma sit 14 with 36 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 12 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 23:40 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Pellegrino (8 goals), A. Bernabe (3 goals), Enrico Del Prato (2 goals), with creative support from A. Benedyczak (2 assists), E. Valeri (2 assists), Sascha Britschgi (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with B. Cremaschi, M. Frigan unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Udinese won 7 times, Parma won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:21 from Udinese's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Udinese
3
1
9
5
4
4
Lineups
Udinese
Barcelona
Udinese
Nottingham Forest
Udinese
Trabzonspor
Udinese
FSV Mainz 05
Udinese
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Udinese
Swansea
Udinese
Istra 1961
Udinese
Napoli
Udinese
Cremonese
Udinese
Cagliari
Udinese
Torino
Udinese
Lazio
Udinese
AC Milan
Udinese
Como
Udinese
Genoa
Udinese
Juventus
Udinese
Atalanta
Udinese
Fiorentina
Udinese
Bologna
Udinese
Sassuolo
Parma
Sampdoria
Parma
Iraklis 1908
Parma
Arezzo
Parma
Sassuolo
Parma
Trento
Parma
Sassuolo
Parma
Como
Parma
AS Roma
Parma
Inter
Parma
Pisa
Parma
Napoli
Parma
Lazio
Parma
Cremonese
Parma
Torino
Parma
Fiorentina
Parma
Cagliari
Parma
AC Milan
Parma
Hellas Verona
Parma
Bologna
Parma
Juventus
Udinese
Barcelona
Udinese
Nottingham Forest
Udinese
FSV Mainz 05
Udinese
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Udinese
Istra 1961
Udinese
Cremonese
Udinese
Torino
Udinese
Como
Udinese
Juventus
Udinese
Fiorentina
Udinese
Sassuolo
Udinese
AS Roma
Udinese
Inter
Udinese
Pisa
Udinese
Lazio
Udinese
Napoli
Udinese
Genoa
Udinese
Bologna
Udinese
Atalanta
Udinese
Lecce
Parma
Sassuolo
Parma
Trento
Parma
Como
Parma
Inter
Parma
Lazio
Parma
Torino
Parma
Fiorentina
Parma
AC Milan
Parma
Bologna
Parma
Atalanta
Parma
Napoli
Parma
Lecce
Parma
Sassuolo
Parma
Pisa
Parma
Bologna
Parma
Hellas Verona
Parma
AS Roma
Parma
Genoa
Parma
Cremonese
Parma
Cagliari
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 |
Udinese
Home
|
38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 |
Parma
Away
|
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|