VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
15.08.2026 21:30
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Referee: F. Briceno
UCV
Match Timeline
Caracas FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
J. S. Hernandez Ochoa
UCV
19'
Robert Hernandez · Assist: L. Pagano
Caracas FC
🟨
27'
Robert Hernandez
Caracas FC
🟨
31'
M. Covea
Caracas FC
45+2'
S. Gonzalez · Assist: S. Gonzalez
Caracas FC
🔄
46'
A. Gonzalez ↔ V. Rodriguez
UCV
🔄
46'
J. S. Hernandez Ochoa ↔ M. Ruiz
UCV
🔄
46'
E. Mosquera ↔ J. Alegria
UCV
🔄
46'
S. Sosa ↔ D. De Sousa
UCV
🔄
51'
L. Pagano ↔ N. Vaquer
Caracas FC
🔄
57'
S. Gonzalez ↔ I. Gudino
Caracas FC
🔄
57'
M. Covea ↔ J. Uribe
Caracas FC
🟨
61'
N. Vaquer
Caracas FC
🟨
66'
K. Silva
UCV
🟨
67'
R. Romo
UCV
🟥
71'
J. Uribe
Caracas FC
🔄
75'
W. Correa ↔ R. Lezama
Caracas FC
🔄
76'
A. Villarreal ↔ M. Marquez
Caracas FC
🔄
82'
F. Sole ↔ R. Sarli
UCV
90'
J. Zapata · Assist: J. Zapata
UCV

UCV vs Caracas FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.4%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
UCV Win 71.4%
Draw 5.2%
Caracas FC Win 23.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
UCV1.48
Caracas FC1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
UCV UCV
WWDLW
44 GF / 47 GA
Caracas FC Caracas FC
WLDWL
19 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
18
BTTS Yes
12
19
Over 2.5
8
3.5
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

UCV UCV 30 matches
Caracas FC Caracas FC 16 matches
UCV Statistic Caracas FC
12 Wins 3
6 Draws 7
12 Losses 6
44 Goals For 19
47 Goals Against 24
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
18 BTTS Yes 12
26 Over 1.5 13
19 Over 2.5 8
10 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 2
8 Failed To Score 3
3.5 Shots On Goal 0
10.83 Total Shots 0
1.5 Corners 0
38.2% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around UCV's more proactive style and Caracas FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Caracas FC having the stronger overall control. UCV arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 23 points compared to Caracas FC in 10 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. UCV have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Caracas FC.

UCV Analysis

UCV approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 23 points from 13 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats with a 24:20 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Caracas FC Analysis

So far, Caracas FC have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 15 points from 13 matches. The record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 15:17 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, UCV won 4 times, Caracas FC won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:22 from UCV's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: UCV 4-2-3-1 / Caracas FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: UCV wins 4, draws 3, Caracas FC wins 7

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 14 5 3 35:18 17 47
W W W D W
2 23 13 5 5 37:24 13 44
D L W W D
3 23 12 7 4 34:18 16 43
L L W D L
4
UCV Home
23 11 4 8 35:30 5 37
W W D D W
5 23 9 9 5 34:21 13 36
W W W L D
6 22 10 5 7 31:27 4 35
W L D W D
7 22 8 10 4 31:21 10 34
D D D D D
8 23 8 9 6 29:22 7 33
D L D D W
9 22 5 10 7 23:27 -4 25
L W D D D
10 22 6 7 9 23:31 -8 25
L D L D W
11 22 6 3 13 24:34 -10 21
W L W L D
12 22 6 3 13 25:43 -18 21
D L W L L
13 22 3 5 14 18:39 -21 14
W L L W D
14 23 3 4 16 20:44 -24 13
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2