Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
55.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
86.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
86.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
UCV Moquegua
Universitario
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
UCV Moquegua
16 matches
Universitario
23 matches
| UCV Moquegua | Statistic | Universitario |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 10 |
| 2 | Draws | 6 |
| 9 | Losses | 7 |
| 17 | Goals For | 33 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.6 | Shots On Goal | 4.2 |
| 10.13 | Total Shots | 13.6 |
| 3.27 | Corners | 6.05 |
| 39.6% | Ball Possession | 52.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Universitario's more proactive style and UCV Moquegua's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. UCV Moquegua have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Universitario. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with UCV Moquegua expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Universitario in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Universitario having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
UCV Moquegua sit 11 with 17 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 17:23 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Edgar Lastre (5 goals), J. Collazos (4 goals), C. Mejia (2 goals), with creative support from Edgar Lastre (3 assists), Ricardo Chipao (2 assists), N. Chavez (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 4 with 25 points from 15 outings, Universitario continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 22:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Valera (7 goals), Edison Flores (3 goals), C. Fara (2 goals), with creative support from J. Concha (5 assists), J. Carabali (3 assists), A. Polo (3 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, UCV Moquegua won 0 times, Universitario won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:0 from UCV Moquegua's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0 goals per game.
UCV Moquegua
3
1
4
8
3
3
Lineups
UCV Moquegua
Atletico Grau
UCV Moquegua
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
UCV Moquegua
ADT
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Lima
UCV Moquegua
FC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
Cienciano
UCV Moquegua
Juan Pablo II College
UCV Moquegua
Sporting Cristal
UCV Moquegua
Cusco
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Atletico
UCV Moquegua
Sport Huancayo
UCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
Universitario
Sport Huancayo
Universitario
Deportes Tolima
Universitario
Club Nacional
Universitario
Atletico Grau
Universitario
Sport Boys
Universitario
Coquimbo Unido
Universitario
Juan Pablo II College
Universitario
Club Nacional
Universitario
Alianza Atletico
Universitario
Deportivo Garcilaso
Universitario
FBC Melgar
Universitario
Coquimbo Unido
Universitario
Deportes Tolima
Universitario
Alianza Lima
Universitario
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
UTC Cajamarca
Universitario
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Universitario
FC Cajamarca
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
Universitario
Cienciano
UCV Moquegua
ADT
UCV Moquegua
FC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
Juan Pablo II College
UCV Moquegua
Cusco
UCV Moquegua
Sport Huancayo
UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
Universitario
Club Nacional
Universitario
Sport Boys
Universitario
Coquimbo Unido
Universitario
Juan Pablo II College
Universitario
FBC Melgar
Universitario
Deportes Tolima
Universitario
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
Universitario
Cusco
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Universitario
Away
|
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
UCV Moquegua
Home
|
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
L
D
L
L
L
|