UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
59.7%
|
2.16 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
76.7%
|
1.73 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81%
|
1.88 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.38 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
5.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
9.00 |
UCV Moquegua
Cienciano
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
UCV Moquegua
28 matches
Cienciano
28 matches
| UCV Moquegua | Statistic | Cienciano |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 12 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 15 | Losses | 10 |
| 24 | Goals For | 47 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.68 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.46 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.3 | Shots On Goal | 5.48 |
| 10.3 | Total Shots | 15.7 |
| 3.26 | Corners | 5.48 |
| 39.8% | Ball Possession | 52% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Cienciano's more proactive style and UCV Moquegua's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with UCV Moquegua expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Cienciano in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cienciano having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cienciano. Cienciano carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 41 points while UCV Moquegua sit 17 on 25, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
UCV Moquegua approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 25 points from 27 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 24:41 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Lastre (6 goals), R. Chipao (3 goals), B. Angulo (3 goals), with creative support from E. Lastre (5 assists), Y. Zapata (4 assists), N. Amasifuén (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Cienciano sit 7 with 41 points after 27 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 46:40 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on C. Garcés (5 goals), Alejandro Hohberg (5 goals), M. Succar (3 goals), with creative support from C. Garcés (2 assists), Alejandro Hohberg (2 assists), C. Souza (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, UCV Moquegua won 0 times, Cienciano won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from UCV Moquegua's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44:18 | 26 | 56 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 43:31 | 12 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39:24 | 15 | 48 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 45:29 | 16 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 40:38 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 36:45 | -9 | 42 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 |
Cienciano
Away
|
27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 46:40 | 6 | 41 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
| 8 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:35 | 5 | 40 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 48:40 | 8 | 38 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29:26 | 3 | 38 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 37:44 | -7 | 35 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 42:52 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 26:31 | -5 | 32 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 30 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 41:52 | -11 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 29:42 | -13 | 25 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
UCV Moquegua
Home
|
27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 18 | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|