BRAZIL › SERIE D

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Uberlandia

0 - 1

ABECAT Ouvidorense

Uberlandia

Match Timeline

ABECAT Ouvidorense

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 72.8%

Odds 1.51

BTTS

Yes

Probability 67.4%

Odds 2.16

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 55.6%

Odds 2.24

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	72.8%	1.51	▥
BTTS	Yes	67.4%	2.16	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	55.6%	2.24	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	87.7%	1.17	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	2.50	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	9.00	▥

Probability Distribution

Uberlandia Win 72.8%

Draw 7.6%

ABECAT Ouvidorense Win 19.6%

Expected Goals (xG)

Uberlandia1.2

ABECAT Ouvidorense0.78

Recent Form (Last 5)

Uberlandia

WWDLW

12 GF / 7 GA

ABECAT Ouvidorense

WLDWL

7 GF / 9 GA

Key Stats

1.33

Average Goals Scored

0.78

Average Goals Conceded

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Uberlandia 9 matches

ABECAT Ouvidorense 9 matches

Uberlandia	Statistic	ABECAT Ouvidorense
5	Wins	2
3	Draws	3
1	Losses	4
12	Goals For	7
7	Goals Against	9
1.33	Avg Goals Scored	0.78
0.78	Avg Goals Conceded	1
6	BTTS Yes	4
7	Over 1.5	6
4	Over 2.5	2
0	Over 3.5	0
3	Clean Sheets	2
1	Failed To Score	4
0	Shots On Goal	0
0	Total Shots	0
0	Corners	0
0%	Ball Possession	0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Uberlandia's more proactive style and ABECAT Ouvidorense's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring ABECAT Ouvidorense. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward ABECAT Ouvidorense having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Uberlandia arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 18 points compared to ABECAT Ouvidorense in 6 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Uberlandia Analysis

Uberlandia arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 18 points after 9 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 12:7 reflects mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by Tomas Bastos (4 goals), Kayke (2 goals), Max Miller (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

ABECAT Ouvidorense Analysis

ABECAT Ouvidorense sit 6 with 9 points after 9 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 7:9 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Marcos Vinicius (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Uberlandia won 1 times, ABECAT Ouvidorense won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Uberlandia's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (92.5%)

H2H summary: Uberlandia wins 1, draws 0, ABECAT Ouvidorense wins 1

Last matches: Uberlandia

31.05.26

Ser

Uberlandia

Ivinhema

24.05.26

Ser

Uberlandia

CRAC

18.05.26

Ser

Uberlandia

Ipatinga

09.05.26

Ser

Uberlandia

Operario Ferroviario

02.05.26

Ser

Uberlandia

Operario Ferroviario

25.04.26

Ser

Uberlandia

Ipatinga

18.04.26

Ser

Uberlandia

CRAC

11.04.26

Ser

Uberlandia

Ivinhema

04.04.26

Ser

Uberlandia

ABECAT Ouvidorense

26.07.25

Ser

Uberlandia

Cascavel

19.07.25

Ser

Uberlandia

Inter De Limeira

12.07.25

Ser

Uberlandia

Operario Ferroviario

05.07.25

Ser

Uberlandia

Goiatuba EC

28.06.25

Ser

Uberlandia

Itabirito

14.06.25

Ser

Uberlandia

Cianorte

07.06.25

Ser

Uberlandia

Monte Azul

31.05.25

Ser

Uberlandia

Monte Azul

24.05.25

Ser

Uberlandia

Cianorte

18.05.25

Ser

Uberlandia

Itabirito

10.05.25

Ser

Uberlandia

Goiatuba EC

Last matches: ABECAT Ouvidorense

30.05.26

Ser

ABECAT Ouvidorense

Ipatinga

23.05.26

Ser

ABECAT Ouvidorense

Operario Ferroviario

17.05.26

Ser

ABECAT Ouvidorense

CRAC

10.05.26

Ser

ABECAT Ouvidorense

Ivinhema

02.05.26

Ser

ABECAT Ouvidorense

Ivinhema

25.04.26

Ser

ABECAT Ouvidorense

CRAC

19.04.26

Ser

ABECAT Ouvidorense

Operario Ferroviario

11.04.26

Ser

ABECAT Ouvidorense

Ipatinga

04.04.26

Ser

ABECAT Ouvidorense

Uberlandia

H2H: Uberlandia vs ABECAT Ouvidorense

14.06.26

H2H

Uberlandia

ABECAT Ouvidorense

04.04.26

H2H

ABECAT Ouvidorense

Uberlandia

Last matches: Uberlandia

18.05.26

Ser

Uberlandia

Ipatinga

02.05.26

Ser

Uberlandia

Operario Ferroviario

18.04.26

Ser

Uberlandia

CRAC

11.04.26

Ser

Uberlandia

Ivinhema

19.07.25

Ser

Uberlandia

Inter De Limeira

28.06.25

Ser

Uberlandia

Itabirito

07.06.25

Ser

Uberlandia

Monte Azul

24.05.25

Ser

Uberlandia

Cianorte

10.05.25

Ser

Uberlandia

Goiatuba EC

03.05.25

Ser

Uberlandia

Operario Ferroviario

19.04.25

Ser

Uberlandia

Cascavel

H2H at home: Uberlandia

14.06.26

H2H

Uberlandia

ABECAT Ouvidorense

Last matches: ABECAT Ouvidorense

17.05.26

Ser

ABECAT Ouvidorense

CRAC

10.05.26

Ser

ABECAT Ouvidorense

Ivinhema

19.04.26

Ser

ABECAT Ouvidorense

Operario Ferroviario

11.04.26

Ser

ABECAT Ouvidorense

Ipatinga

H2H away: ABECAT Ouvidorense

14.06.26

H2H

Uberlandia

ABECAT Ouvidorense

Showing odds from: 1xBet

Main markets

MATCH WINNER

Away 5.29

Draw 3.12

Home 1.51

GOALS OVER/UNDER

Over 1.5 1.40

Over 1.75 1.51

Over 2.0 1.69

Over 2.25 1.90

Over 2.5 2.24

Over 2.75 2.60

Over 3.0 3.34

Under 1.5 2.70

Under 1.75 2.38

Under 2.0 2.07

Under 2.25 1.72

Under 2.5 1.60

Under 2.75 1.43

Under 3.0 1.27

Main markets

MATCH WINNER

Away 5.50

Draw 3.25

Home 1.62

FIRST HALF WINNER

Away 6.00

Draw 2.10

Home 2.20

GOALS OVER/UNDER

Over 2.5 2.15

Under 2.5 1.67

Main markets

MATCH WINNER

Away 6.01

Draw 3.35

Home 1.57

FIRST HALF WINNER

Away 7.04

Draw 1.94

Home 2.21

SECOND HALF WINNER

Away 5.86

Draw 2.38

Home 1.93

GOALS OVER/UNDER

Over 0.5 1.05

Over 1.0 1.07

Over 1.25 1.22

Over 1.5 1.36

Over 1.75 1.46

Over 2.0 1.62

Over 2.25 1.92

Over 2.5 2.19

Over 2.75 2.49

Over 3.0 3.14

Over 3.25 3.50

Over 3.5 3.90

Over 4.0 7.10

Over 4.5 8.00

Over 5.5 21.00

Under 0.5 8.00

Under 1.0 5.75

Under 1.25 3.50

Under 1.5 2.70

Under 1.75 2.38

Under 2.0 2.05

Under 2.25 1.77

Under 2.5 1.59

Under 2.75 1.42

Under 3.0 1.27

Under 3.25 1.22

Under 3.5 1.18

Under 4.0 1.04

Under 4.5 1.05

Under 5.5 1.01

Main markets

SECOND HALF WINNER

Away 4.90

Draw 2.50

Home 1.98

GOALS OVER/UNDER

Over 1.5 1.30

Over 2.5 2.04

Over 3.5 3.70

Under 1.5 3.00

Under 2.5 1.65

Under 3.5 1.21

Standings

Group 6

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Iguatu	10	5	5	0	14:7	7	20	W D D D W
2	Maracanã	10	5	4	1	12:6	6	19	W W W D D
3	Parnahyba	10	4	2	4	11:13	-2	14	W D L L W
4	Sampaio Correa	10	3	4	3	12:6	6	13	L W W W D
5	Moto Club	10	2	3	5	8:15	-7	9	L L L D L
6	IAPE	10	0	4	6	10:20	-10	4	L L D D L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 7

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Ferroviario	10	6	3	1	15:7	8	21	W D W W D
2	Piauí	10	5	2	3	14:11	3	17	W W L W D
3	Fluminense PI	10	3	5	2	12:9	3	14	L D W D L
4	Altos	10	3	2	5	9:15	-6	11	W D L L L
5	WSG Wattens	10	2	4	4	10:10	0	10	L D W D W
6	Uniclinic Atletico Clube	10	1	4	5	6:14	-8	7	L L L L W

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 8

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	ABC	10	7	2	1	15:6	9	23	W W D W W
2	America-RN	10	6	3	1	14:3	11	21	W W D W D
3	Maguary PE	10	3	4	3	8:5	3	13	L W D D D
4	Central SC	10	3	4	3	8:7	1	13	W L D D L
5	Sousa	10	3	1	6	4:11	-7	10	L L D L W
6	Laguna	10	0	2	8	3:20	-17	2	L L D L L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Standings

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Treze	10	5	2	3	18:14	4	17	L D L W W
1	CSA	10	6	3	1	25:8	17	21	W D D W W
1	Uberlandia Home	10	5	3	2	12:8	4	18	L D D D W
1	Democrata GV	10	5	2	3	13:9	4	17	D W W L L
1	Portuguesa	10	6	3	1	16:6	10	21	W W W D L
1	XV de Piracicaba	10	4	5	1	14:9	5	17	L D D W W
1	Santa Catarina	10	6	1	3	15:9	6	19	W W W W L
1	Blumenau	10	6	1	3	14:8	6	19	L W W L D
2	Sergipe	10	4	3	3	15:13	2	15	D L L D W
2	Juazeirense	10	5	2	3	12:9	3	17	W D D L L
2	Ipatinga	10	4	3	3	12:9	3	15	W L W D D
2	Tombense	10	4	5	1	13:6	7	17	D W D W D
2	Água Santa	10	5	2	3	16:8	8	17	L W W D D
2	Noroeste	10	4	3	3	12:7	5	15	W D L W W
2	Cianorte	10	5	1	4	9:8	1	16	W L D W L
2	Marcílio Dias	10	4	4	2	9:5	4	16	D L D W W
3	Serra Branca	10	3	6	1	12:8	4	15	D D W L D
3	ASA	10	4	4	2	11:7	4	16	D D D W W
3	CRAC	10	3	4	3	7:7	0	13	D L D W D
3	Vitória ES	10	4	3	3	12:8	4	15	D D W D W
3	Portuguesa RJ	10	3	5	2	14:9	5	14	L D D W D
3	Velo Clube	10	3	4	3	10:10	0	13	W L D L D
3	Cascavel	10	4	3	3	9:4	5	15	L D W L W
3	Independiente FSJ	10	3	4	3	3:4	-1	13	D L D L D
4	Lagarto	10	3	4	3	14:15	-1	13	W W D D D
4	Jacuipense	10	3	4	3	12:14	-2	13	D D D W W
4	Ivinhema	10	3	4	3	9:12	-3	13	D D L L D
4	Rio Branco ES	10	3	4	3	14:12	2	13	W L L D D
4	América RJ	10	3	3	4	11:21	-10	12	W D L W L
4	Sampaio Corrêa RJ	10	3	3	4	8:10	-2	12	L W D L L
4	São Luiz	10	4	3	3	11:9	2	15	W D L W W
4	Sao Jose	10	3	4	3	6:8	-2	13	W W D D W
5	Retrô	10	3	3	4	13:15	-2	12	W D D W L
5	CSE	10	2	3	5	10:17	-7	9	L D D L L
5	ABECAT Ouvidorense Away	10	3	3	4	8:9	-1	12	W W W L D
5	Porto BA	10	3	1	6	9:21	-12	10	L L L D L
5	Madureira	10	3	2	5	11:16	-5	11	W L D L W
5	Nova Iguaçu	10	3	3	4	7:10	-3	12	W L W W D
5	Joinville	10	4	3	3	10:8	2	15	L W D L L
5	Brasil DE Pelotas	10	2	4	4	9:12	-3	10	D L D D L
6	Decisão	10	2	2	6	10:17	-7	8	L D W L L
6	Atlético Alagoinhas	10	1	2	7	5:20	-15	5	L D D L L
6	Operario Ferroviario	10	2	3	5	9:12	-3	9	L W L W L
6	Real Noroeste	10	1	5	4	6:11	-5	8	D D D D W
6	Pouso Alegre	10	2	1	7	6:14	-8	7	L L L L W
6	CFRJ / Maricá	10	3	2	5	9:14	-5	11	L W D L L
6	Guarany de Bagé	10	1	1	8	2:18	-16	4	L L L L W
6	Azuriz	10	2	3	5	7:11	-4	9	D W L W L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 1

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Manauara	10	6	4	0	13:5	8	22	W W D W D
2	Nacional AM	10	6	2	2	15:9	6	20	W D W L W
3	Sao Raimundo	10	3	4	3	10:7	3	13	L W D L L
4	Monte Roraima	10	2	4	4	11:14	-3	10	L L D W W
5	Manaus FC	10	2	4	4	8:13	-5	10	L D D W L
6	GAS	10	1	2	7	8:17	-9	5	W L L L D

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 2

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Guaporé	10	6	4	0	19:9	10	22	D W W D W
2	Porto Velho	10	5	3	2	33:9	24	18	W W D D W
3	Araguaína	10	5	3	2	31:9	22	18	W L D L W
4	Independência	10	4	3	3	17:10	7	15	D W W W L
5	Galvez	10	3	1	6	14:31	-17	10	L L L W L
6	Humaitá	10	0	0	10	4:50	-46	0	L L L L L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 3

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Gama	10	8	2	0	23:6	17	26	D W W W W
2	Luverdense	10	4	3	3	11:10	1	15	W D W L L
3	Brasiliense	10	3	5	2	11:10	1	14	W D W L L
4	Aparecidense	10	3	4	3	13:12	1	13	D D L D W
5	Primavera MG	10	3	3	4	10:13	-3	12	L D L W W
6	Inhumas	10	0	1	9	3:20	-17	1	L L L D L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 4

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Capital Brasilia	10	7	2	1	16:6	10	23	W W D W W
2	Goiatuba EC	10	5	4	1	13:7	6	19	W D D L D
3	Ceilândia	10	3	3	4	9:10	-1	12	D D W L L
4	Mixto	10	2	6	2	10:9	1	12	D D D W L
5	União Rondonópolis	10	2	3	5	11:18	-7	9	L D L W D
6	CEOV Operário	10	1	2	7	7:16	-9	5	L L D L W

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 5

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Trem	10	6	2	2	19:13	6	20	W L W W L
2	Águia de Marabá	10	5	3	2	20:11	9	18	L W W L W
3	Imperatriz	10	4	3	3	15:10	5	15	W W L L W
4	Tuna Luso	10	3	4	3	14:17	-3	13	L W D W L
5	Tocantinópolis	10	3	3	4	18:18	0	12	W L L W W
6	Oratório	10	1	1	8	12:29	-17	4	L L D L L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)