CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Claro Arena
Referee: Juan Ignacio Lara Luco, Chile
U. Catolica
Live Timeline
Cobresal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
17'
J. Diaz ↔ D. Gonzalez
U. Catolica
🟨
35'
G. Pacheco
Cobresal

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 86.8%
Odds 1.32
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.44
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
86.8%
1.32
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.44
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.3%
1.18
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.83
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
U. Catolica Win 86.8%
Draw 4.2%
Cobresal Win 9%
Expected Goals (xG)
U. Catolica1.97
Cobresal1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
U. Catolica U. Catolica
WWDLW
60 GF / 39 GA
Cobresal Cobresal
WLDWL
29 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
2.07
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.34
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
18
BTTS Yes
12
22
Over 2.5
13
4.87
Shots on Goal
4.53

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

U. Catolica U. Catolica 29 matches
Cobresal Cobresal 24 matches
U. Catolica Statistic Cobresal
17 Wins 5
4 Draws 4
8 Losses 15
60 Goals For 29
39 Goals Against 44
2.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.34 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
18 BTTS Yes 12
25 Over 1.5 15
22 Over 2.5 13
11 Over 3.5 11
7 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 9
4.87 Shots On Goal 4.53
13.35 Total Shots 14
5.04 Corners 5.06
53.7% Ball Possession 44.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by U. Catolica's more proactive style and Cobresal's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with U. Catolica expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Cobresal in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cobresal having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. U. Catolica arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 27 points compared to Cobresal in 15 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Cobresal arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Cobresal.

U. Catolica Analysis

U. Catolica come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 27 points after 16 matches. The return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 38:23, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Fernando Zampedri (8 goals), Justo Giani (5 goals), Clemente Montes (3 goals), with creative support from Clemente Montes (3 assists), Matías Palavecino (3 assists), Cristián Cuevas (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Cobresal Analysis

With 14 points from 16 games and a place of 15, Cobresal still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 22:32, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Steffan Pino (5 goals), Julián Brea (3 goals), Agustin Nadruz (2 goals), with creative support from Bryan Carvallo (3 assists), Guillermo Pacheco (2 assists), César Yanis (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, U. Catolica won 9 times, Cobresal won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:21 from U. Catolica's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: U. Catolica 4-2-3-1 / Cobresal 4-3-3
H2H summary: U. Catolica wins 9, draws 3, Cobresal wins 3
Stats
U. Catolica U. Catolica
Cobresal Cobresal
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
0
4 Corner Kicks 1
5 Fouls 3
0 Offsides 0
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Goal 0
1 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 0
5 Shots insidebox 2
1 Shots outsidebox 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 2
208 Total passes 182
176 Passes accurate 159
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

U. Catolica
Formation
Cobresal
Vicente Bernedo
Vicente Bernedo
Francisco Daza
Branco Ampuero
Branco Ampuero
Juan Ignacio Díaz
Juan Ignacio Díaz
Eugenio Mena
Eugenio Mena
Fernando Zuqui
Fernando Zuqui
Jhojan Valencia
Jhojan Valencia
Cristián Cuevas
Cristián Cuevas
Diego Corral
Diego Corral
Fernando Zampedri
Fernando Zampedri
Justo Giani
Justo Giani
Matías Olguín
Matías Olguín
Guillermo Pacheco
Guillermo Pacheco
José Tiznado
José Tiznado
Christian Moreno
Christian Moreno
Antonio Castillo
Antonio Castillo
Julián Brea
Julián Brea
Benjamín Valenzuela
Benjamín Valenzuela
Juan Fuentes
Juan Fuentes
Janpol Morales
Janpol Morales
Steffan Pino
Steffan Pino
César Yanis
César Yanis
U. Catolica 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Vicente Bernedo
G
34
Francisco Daza
D
19
Branco Ampuero
D
26
Juan Ignacio Díaz
↓ 17'
D
3
Eugenio Mena
D
8
Fernando Zuqui
M
20
Jhojan Valencia
M
15
Cristián Cuevas
M
25
Diego Corral
F
9
Fernando Zampedri
F
7
Justo Giani
F
Substitutes
27
Darío Melo
G
28
Bernardo Cerezo
D
2
Daniel González
D
22
Martín Gómez
M
10
Matías Palavecino
M
17
Gary Medel
D
5
Agustín Farías
M
14
Jimmy Martínez
M
43
Amaro Pérez
F
Cobresal 4-4-2
Starting XI
36
Matías Olguín
G
23
Guillermo Pacheco
🟨 35'
D
20
José Tiznado
D
18
Christian Moreno
D
15
Antonio Castillo
D
11
Julián Brea
M
13
Benjamín Valenzuela
M
17
Juan Fuentes
M
39
Janpol Morales
M
8
Steffan Pino
F
7
César Yanis
F
Substitutes
44
Camilo Sepúlveda
G
22
Aaron Astudillo
D
16
Franco Bechtholdt
D
38
Felipe Villagrán
M
10
Bryan Carvallo
M
6
Esteban Valencia
M
31
Dennis Leyton
M
37
Martín Espinoza
F
32
Franco Frías
F
Last matches: U. Catolica
02.08.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Concepción
0
3
L
26.07.26
Pri
U. Catolica
D. La Serena
3
3
D
11.07.26
Cop
U. Catolica
San Luis
0
4
L
05.07.26
Cop
U. Catolica
Deportes Copiapo
2
1
W
01.07.26
Cop
U. Catolica
Everton de Vina
2
1
W
28.06.26
Cop
U. Catolica
San Luis
4
2
W
24.06.26
Cop
U. Catolica
Everton de Vina
3
1
W
20.06.26
Cop
U. Catolica
Deportes Copiapo
3
0
W
14.06.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Universidad de Concepcion
5
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Huachipato
3
0
W
29.05.26
CON
U. Catolica
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Colo Colo
1
2
L
22.05.26
CON
U. Catolica
Barcelona SC
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Deportes Limache
2
0
W
07.05.26
CON
U. Catolica
Cruzeiro
0
0
D
30.04.26
CON
U. Catolica
Barcelona SC
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Universidad de Chile
0
1
L
21.04.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Union La Calera
1
2
L
15.04.26
CON
U. Catolica
Cruzeiro
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
U. Catolica
A. Italiano
4
3
W
Last matches: Cobresal
01.08.26
Pri
Cobresal
Union La Calera
4
0
W
25.07.26
Pri
Cobresal
Huachipato
3
3
D
12.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
Antofagasta
0
1
L
05.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
Cobreloa
2
2
D
01.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
1
L
28.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
Antofagasta
0
1
L
24.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
0
D
20.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
Cobreloa
0
2
L
13.06.26
Pri
Cobresal
Colo Colo
0
3
L
29.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
Nublense
0
1
L
23.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
A. Italiano
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
Everton de Vina
1
3
L
19.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
O'Higgins
2
3
L
13.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
Coquimbo Unido
2
3
L
15.03.26
Pri
Cobresal
Deportes Limache
2
5
L
08.03.26
Pri
Cobresal
Palestino
2
4
L
27.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
1
L
20.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
Concepción
1
1
D
H2H: U. Catolica vs Cobresal
06.06.26
H2H
U. Catolica
Cobresal
5
1
W
30.03.26
H2H
Cobresal
U. Catolica
1
3
W
14.02.26
H2H
Cobresal
U. Catolica
3
2
L
30.08.25
H2H
U. Catolica
Cobresal
2
1
W
12.04.25
H2H
Cobresal
U. Catolica
1
1
D
28.08.24
H2H
Cobresal
U. Catolica
3
1
L
06.04.24
H2H
U. Catolica
Cobresal
2
0
W
29.07.23
H2H
Cobresal
U. Catolica
2
2
D
12.02.23
H2H
U. Catolica
Cobresal
3
3
D
30.07.22
H2H
U. Catolica
Cobresal
1
0
W
06.03.22
H2H
Cobresal
U. Catolica
3
1
L
16.10.21
H2H
Cobresal
U. Catolica
1
3
W
30.05.21
H2H
U. Catolica
Cobresal
2
1
W
16.11.20
H2H
U. Catolica
Cobresal
2
1
W
14.03.20
H2H
Cobresal
U. Catolica
0
1
W
Last matches: U. Catolica
26.07.26
Pri
U. Catolica
D. La Serena
3
3
D
05.07.26
Cop
U. Catolica
Deportes Copiapo
2
1
W
01.07.26
Cop
U. Catolica
Everton de Vina
2
1
W
28.06.26
Cop
U. Catolica
San Luis
4
2
W
14.06.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Universidad de Concepcion
5
1
W
24.05.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Colo Colo
1
2
L
22.05.26
CON
U. Catolica
Barcelona SC
2
0
W
07.05.26
CON
U. Catolica
Cruzeiro
0
0
D
21.04.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Union La Calera
1
2
L
08.04.26
CON
U. Catolica
Boca Juniors
1
2
L
02.04.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Palestino
6
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Everton de Vina
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Coquimbo Unido
3
1
W
08.02.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Concepción
2
0
W
03.04.25
Cop
U. Catolica
San Luis
2
3
L
21.03.25
Cop
U. Catolica
Union La Calera
0
1
L
26.01.25
Cop
U. Catolica
Everton de Vina
1
0
W
29.06.24
Cop
U. Catolica
Santiago Wanderers
2
2
D
16.08.23
Cop
U. Catolica
Colo Colo
0
0
D
10.08.23
Cop
U. Catolica
Everton de Vina
0
0
D
H2H at home: U. Catolica
06.06.26
H2H
U. Catolica
Cobresal
5
1
W
30.08.25
H2H
U. Catolica
Cobresal
2
1
W
06.04.24
H2H
U. Catolica
Cobresal
2
0
W
12.02.23
H2H
U. Catolica
Cobresal
3
3
D
30.07.22
H2H
U. Catolica
Cobresal
1
0
W
30.05.21
H2H
U. Catolica
Cobresal
2
1
W
16.11.20
H2H
U. Catolica
Cobresal
2
1
W
Last matches: Cobresal
25.07.26
Pri
Cobresal
Huachipato
3
3
D
12.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
Antofagasta
0
1
L
24.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
0
D
20.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
Cobreloa
0
2
L
13.06.26
Pri
Cobresal
Colo Colo
0
3
L
23.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
A. Italiano
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
Everton de Vina
1
3
L
13.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
Coquimbo Unido
2
3
L
08.03.26
Pri
Cobresal
Palestino
2
4
L
20.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
Concepción
1
1
D
09.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
Union La Calera
1
3
L
24.01.26
Fri
Cobresal
D. La Serena
3
2
W
11.05.25
Cop
Cobresal
D. La Serena
1
1
D
23.03.25
Cop
Cobresal
Coquimbo Unido
0
0
D
01.02.25
Cop
Cobresal
San Marcos de Arica
1
2
L
06.07.24
Cop
Cobresal
Coquimbo Unido
0
4
L
22.06.24
Cop
Cobresal
Deportes Copiapo
2
2
D
17.06.24
Cop
Cobresal
Provincial Ovalle
3
1
W
23.08.23
Cop
Cobresal
Cobreloa
2
4
L
H2H away: Cobresal
06.06.26
H2H
U. Catolica
Cobresal
5
1
L
30.08.25
H2H
U. Catolica
Cobresal
2
1
L
06.04.24
H2H
U. Catolica
Cobresal
2
0
L
12.02.23
H2H
U. Catolica
Cobresal
3
3
D
30.07.22
H2H
U. Catolica
Cobresal
1
0
L
30.05.21
H2H
U. Catolica
Cobresal
2
1
L
16.11.20
H2H
U. Catolica
Cobresal
2
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 9.09
Draw 5.73
Home 1.32
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.98
Draw 3.00
Home 1.69
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 2.75 1.54
Over 3.0 1.67
Over 3.25 1.91
Over 3.5 2.12
Over 3.75 2.42
Over 4.5 3.59
Over 5.5 6.79
Under 1.5 6.10
Under 2.5 2.84
Under 2.75 2.56
Under 3.0 2.27
Under 3.25 1.96
Under 3.5 1.76
Under 3.75 1.59
Under 4.5 1.30
Under 5.5 1.12
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.50
Draw 5.50
Home 1.33
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.00
Draw 2.75
Home 1.73
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 3.10
Home 1.57
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 3.5 2.10
Over 4.5 3.50
Over 5.5 6.50
Over 6.5 13.00
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 51.00
Under 0.5 21.00
Under 1.5 6.00
Under 2.5 2.70
Under 3.5 1.67
Under 4.5 1.28
Under 5.5 1.11
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.30
Draw 5.00
Home 1.28
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.04
Draw 2.95
Home 1.62
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.46
Draw 3.30
Home 1.57
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 1.75 1.10
Over 2.0 1.16
Over 2.25 1.32
Over 2.5 1.42
Over 2.75 1.53
Over 3.0 1.63
Over 3.25 1.80
Over 3.5 2.03
Over 3.75 2.32
Over 4.0 2.75
Over 4.25 3.02
Over 4.5 3.30
Over 4.75 3.98
Over 5.0 4.90
Over 5.25 5.83
Over 5.5 5.40
Over 6.5 13.00
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 50.00
Under 0.5 15.50
Under 1.0 10.50
Under 1.5 5.00
Under 1.75 5.28
Under 2.0 4.30
Under 2.25 3.11
Under 2.5 2.65
Under 2.75 2.36
Under 3.0 2.15
Under 3.25 1.90
Under 3.5 1.70
Under 3.75 1.54
Under 4.0 1.40
Under 4.25 1.35
Under 4.5 1.30
Under 4.75 1.19
Under 5.0 1.13
Under 5.25 1.08
Under 5.5 1.10
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.00
Draw 5.20
Home 1.30
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.75
Draw 2.75
Home 1.68
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.25
Draw 3.25
Home 1.58
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.13
Over 2.0 1.18
Over 2.5 1.46
Over 3.0 1.71
Over 3.5 2.14
Over 4.0 3.00
Over 4.25 3.25
Over 4.5 3.55
Over 5.0 5.50
Over 5.25 5.75
Over 5.5 6.00
Under 1.5 4.90
Under 2.0 4.10
Under 2.5 2.48
Under 3.0 1.98
Under 3.5 1.61
Under 4.0 1.33
Under 4.25 1.28
Under 4.5 1.24
Under 5.0 1.10
Under 5.25 1.09
Under 5.5 1.08

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 14 0 3 36:16 20 42
W W W W W
2 17 8 6 3 21:11 10 30
W W W D W
3 17 8 3 6 38:26 12 27
L D W W L
4 17 8 3 6 25:24 1 27
W L W D W
5 16 6 7 3 20:19 1 25
W D W D L
6 16 7 3 6 23:20 3 24
L D W D W
7 17 7 3 7 26:27 -1 24
L D D L L
8 17 6 5 6 23:20 3 23
L D L W D
9 17 7 2 8 21:25 -4 23
W L L D L
10 16 6 3 7 31:26 5 21
L L L L L
11 17 6 2 9 19:23 -4 20
W W W L W
12 17 5 4 8 20:23 -3 19
W L D D W
13 17 4 7 6 25:30 -5 19
L D D L W
14 16 5 4 7 13:27 -14 19
L L D D W
15 17 5 2 10 26:32 -6 17
W D L L L
16 17 3 4 10 15:33 -18 13
L D D D L