Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
87.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 9.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Turku PS
Mariehamn
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Turku PS
22 matches
Mariehamn
21 matches
| Turku PS | Statistic | Mariehamn |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 1 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 9 | Losses | 13 |
| 24 | Goals For | 14 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 2.06 | Shots On Goal | 1.65 |
| 5.71 | Total Shots | 4.47 |
| 2.41 | Corners | 2.41 |
| 26.1% | Ball Possession | 26% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Turku PS's more proactive style and Mariehamn's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Turku PS arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 22 points compared to Mariehamn in 12 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Mariehamn. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Turku PS expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Mariehamn in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mariehamn having the stronger overall control. Mariehamn arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
So far, Turku PS have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 22 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, while the 20:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Turkki (1 assists), T. Karkulowski (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Mariehamn approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 4 points from 16 matches. Their record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 8:35, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through A. Huttunen (1 goals), S. Dahlström (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Amankwah (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Turku PS won 3 times, Mariehamn won 5 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:23 from Turku PS's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
Ilves
Turku PS
AC Oulu
Turku PS
SJK
Turku PS
FF Jaro
Turku PS
Lahti
Turku PS
KuPS
Turku PS
Ilves
Turku PS
VPS
Turku PS
Inter Turku
Turku PS
AC Oulu
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
FF Jaro
Turku PS
Gnistan
Turku PS
SJK
Turku PS
Lahti
Turku PS
Mariehamn
Turku PS
PK-35
Turku PS
EIF
Turku PS
VPS
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
Lahti
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Mariehamn
VPS
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
KuPS
Mariehamn
Lahti
Mariehamn
VPS
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
Ilves
Mariehamn
SJK
Mariehamn
Turku PS
Mariehamn
EIF
Mariehamn
Sandviken
Mariehamn
KuPS
Turku PS
Ilves
Turku PS
AC Oulu
Turku PS
FF Jaro
Turku PS
KuPS
Turku PS
VPS
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
Gnistan
Turku PS
SJK
Turku PS
Lahti
Turku PS
PK-35
Turku PS
VPS
Turku PS
Haka
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Mariehamn
VPS
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
Lahti
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
SJK
Mariehamn
Sandviken
Mariehamn
KuPS
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 32:16 | 16 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 31 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 28:20 | 8 | 28 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 28 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 27 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 27 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20:16 | 4 | 22 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 |
Turku PS
Home
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 22 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 9 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29:30 | -1 | 22 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17:33 | -16 | 15 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19:27 | -8 | 14 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 |
Mariehamn
Away
|
17 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 9:36 | -27 | 5 |
D
L
L
L
L
|