FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
17.06.2026 15:00
Veritas Stadium
Referee: Mohammad Al-Emara, Finland
Turku PS
Match Timeline
KuPS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
Taneli Hämäläinen
KuPS
29'
O. Ruoppi · Assist: S. Heiskanen
KuPS
🔄
46'
E. Vauhkonen ↔ L. Ivanovic
Turku PS
🔄
46'
S. Savolainen ↔ A. Puukko
KuPS
🟨
49'
Pau Juvanteny
Turku PS
🔄
62'
B. Armah ↔ J. Luyeye-Lutumba
KuPS
🔄
62'
S. Heiskanen ↔ G. Engvall
KuPS
🔄
63'
P. Juvanteny ↔ L. Ikonen
Turku PS
🔄
63'
T. Karkulowski ↔ N. Talo
Turku PS
72'
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari · Assist: G. Engvall
KuPS
🔄
76'
M. Kauppila ↔ A. Coulibaly
Turku PS
🔄
76'
T. Vakiparta ↔ S. Anini
Turku PS
78'
L. Ivanovic
Turku PS
🔄
86'
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari ↔ A. Heinonen
KuPS
🟨
90+1'
Samuel Anini Jr.
Turku PS

Turku PS vs KuPS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.6%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Turku PS Win 60.6%
Draw 4.6%
KuPS Win 34.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Turku PS0.89
KuPS1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Turku PS Turku PS
WWDLW
15 GF / 14 GA
KuPS KuPS
WLDWL
20 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.33
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
0.73
7
BTTS Yes
8
4
Over 2.5
4
2.2
Shots on Goal
3.42

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Turku PS Turku PS 15 matches
KuPS KuPS 15 matches
Turku PS Statistic KuPS
6 Wins 7
4 Draws 7
5 Losses 1
15 Goals For 20
14 Goals Against 11
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 0.73
7 BTTS Yes 8
9 Over 1.5 11
4 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 3
2.2 Shots On Goal 3.42
6.2 Total Shots 8.33
3.3 Corners 3.42
25.2% Ball Possession 30.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward KuPS. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Turku PS Analysis

Placed 5 with 15 points from 9 outings, Turku PS continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 11:8 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Muzaci (3 goals), T. Tsirigotis (3 goals), Lasse Ikonen (1 goals), with creative support from E. Turkki (4 assists), T. Tsirigotis (1 assists), Elmer Vauhkonen (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

KuPS Analysis

KuPS arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 20 points after 11 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 16:10 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by J. J. Moreno Ciorciari (5 goals), B. Armah (4 goals), O. Ruoppi (3 goals), with creative support from O. Ruoppi (3 assists), P. Pennanen (2 assists), S. Savolainen (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Turku PS won 3 times, KuPS won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:24 from Turku PS's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Turku PS 4-2-3-1 / KuPS 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Turku PS wins 3, draws 5, KuPS wins 7

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
KuPS Away
22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
W D D L L
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W W L W D
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
D D W W L
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D W D D W
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
L L L D W
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L L W L W
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
D L W W W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
L L D D D
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
W W W L L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
W D D D L
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
D D L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
L W L W W
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs