FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Veritas Stadion
Referee: M. Al-Emara
Turku PS
Match Timeline
KuPS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
Taneli Hämäläinen
KuPS
29'
O. Ruoppi · Assist: S. Heiskanen
KuPS
🔄
46'
E. Vauhkonen ↔ L. Ivanovic
Turku PS
🔄
46'
S. Savolainen ↔ A. Puukko
KuPS
🟨
49'
Pau Juvanteny
Turku PS
🔄
62'
B. Armah ↔ J. Luyeye-Lutumba
KuPS
🔄
62'
S. Heiskanen ↔ G. Engvall
KuPS
🔄
63'
P. Juvanteny ↔ L. Ikonen
Turku PS
🔄
63'
T. Karkulowski ↔ N. Talo
Turku PS
72'
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari · Assist: G. Engvall
KuPS
🔄
76'
M. Kauppila ↔ A. Coulibaly
Turku PS
🔄
76'
T. Vakiparta ↔ S. Anini
Turku PS
78'
L. Ivanovic
Turku PS
🔄
86'
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari ↔ A. Heinonen
KuPS
🟨
90+1'
Samuel Anini Jr.
Turku PS

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.6%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Turku PS Win 60.6%
Draw 4.6%
KuPS Win 34.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Turku PS0.89
KuPS1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Turku PS Turku PS
WWDLW
15 GF / 14 GA
KuPS KuPS
WLDWL
20 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.33
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
0.73
7
BTTS Yes
8
4
Over 2.5
4
2.2
Shots on Goal
3.42

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Turku PS Turku PS 15 matches
KuPS KuPS 15 matches
Turku PS Statistic KuPS
6 Wins 7
4 Draws 7
5 Losses 1
15 Goals For 20
14 Goals Against 11
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 0.73
7 BTTS Yes 8
9 Over 1.5 11
4 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 3
2.2 Shots On Goal 3.42
6.2 Total Shots 8.33
3.3 Corners 3.42
25.2% Ball Possession 30.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward KuPS. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Turku PS Analysis

Placed 5 with 15 points from 9 outings, Turku PS continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 11:8 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Muzaci (3 goals), T. Tsirigotis (3 goals), Lasse Ikonen (1 goals), with creative support from E. Turkki (4 assists), T. Tsirigotis (1 assists), Elmer Vauhkonen (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

KuPS Analysis

KuPS arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 20 points after 11 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 16:10 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by J. J. Moreno Ciorciari (5 goals), B. Armah (4 goals), O. Ruoppi (3 goals), with creative support from O. Ruoppi (3 assists), P. Pennanen (2 assists), S. Savolainen (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Turku PS won 3 times, KuPS won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:23 from Turku PS's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Turku PS 4-2-3-1 / KuPS 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Turku PS wins 3, draws 5, KuPS wins 7

Lineups

Turku PS
Formation
KuPS
E. Henriksson
E. Henriksson
O. Haggstrom
O. Haggstrom
M. Hradecky
M. Hradecky
E. Turkki
E. Turkki
T. Karkulowski
T. Karkulowski
P. Juvanteny
P. Juvanteny
T. Zaal
T. Zaal
M. Kauppila
M. Kauppila
T. Vakiparta
T. Vakiparta
E. Vauhkonen
E. Vauhkonen
A. Muzaci
A. Muzaci
J. Kreidl
J. Kreidl
T. Hamalainen
T. Hamalainen
S. Savolainen
S. Savolainen
A. Lotjonen
A. Lotjonen
C. Antwi
C. Antwi
N. Kujasalo
N. Kujasalo
P. Pennanen
P. Pennanen
S. Heiskanen
🎯
S. Heiskanen
O. Ruoppi
O. Ruoppi
B. Armah
B. Armah
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
Turku PS 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
E. Henriksson
G
2
O. Haggstrom
D
14
M. Hradecky
D
3
E. Turkki
D
77
T. Karkulowski
↓ 63'
D
6
P. Juvanteny
↓ 63'
22
T. Zaal
M
20
M. Kauppila
↓ 76'
D
28
T. Vakiparta
↓ 76'
M
11
E. Vauhkonen
↓ 46'
M
29
A. Muzaci
M
Substitutes
35
D. Lauri
G
4
A. Sairinen
D
8
A. Coulibaly
↑ 76'
M
41
S. Anini
↑ 76'
9
L. Ivanovic
⚽ 78' ↑ 46'
F
17
A. Sihvonen
D
26
L. Ikonen
↑ 63'
M
24
N. Talo
↑ 63'
D
15
C. Azongnitode
D
KuPS 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Kreidl
G
33
T. Hamalainen
🟨 19'
D
6
S. Savolainen
↓ 46'
D
23
A. Lotjonen
D
25
C. Antwi
D
13
N. Kujasalo
M
8
P. Pennanen
M
3
S. Heiskanen
🎯 29' ↓ 62'
M
34
O. Ruoppi
⚽ 29'
M
24
B. Armah
↓ 62'
D
11
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
⚽ 72' ↓ 86'
F
Substitutes
12
H. Riihimaki
G
17
A. Heinonen
↑ 86'
M
21
J. Luyeye-Lutumba
↑ 62'
M
29
A. Puukko
↑ 46'
18
E. Tanninen
M
9
G. Engvall
🎯 72' ↑ 62'
F
4
K. Adams
D
2
K. Ward
D
Last matches: Turku PS
11.07.26
Vei
Turku PS
AC Oulu
3
0
W
04.07.26
Vei
Turku PS
SJK
1
3
L
27.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
FF Jaro
3
2
W
23.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
Lahti
0
0
D
13.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
Ilves
0
1
L
30.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
23.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
Inter Turku
1
2
L
16.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
AC Oulu
0
1
L
08.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
1
0
W
02.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
FF Jaro
2
2
D
24.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Gnistan
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
SJK
2
0
W
10.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Lahti
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Mariehamn
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
PK-35
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
EIF
0
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
SJK
1
1
D
23.01.26
Fri
Turku PS
Haka
1
2
L
Last matches: KuPS
14.07.26
UEF
KuPS
Vardar Skopje
2
3
L
07.07.26
UEF
KuPS
Vardar Skopje
2
0
W
27.06.26
Vei
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
4
0
W
23.06.26
Vei
KuPS
Ilves
4
3
W
13.06.26
Vei
KuPS
VPS
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Inter Turku
1
1
D
23.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Lahti
2
1
W
20.05.26
Vei
KuPS
FF Jaro
3
0
W
16.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Mariehamn
1
1
D
08.05.26
Vei
KuPS
SJK
0
0
D
02.05.26
Vei
KuPS
AC Oulu
0
2
L
26.04.26
Vei
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
22.04.26
Vei
KuPS
AC Oulu
3
2
W
18.04.26
Vei
KuPS
FF Jaro
1
1
D
11.04.26
Vei
KuPS
Gnistan
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vei
KuPS
Ilves
3
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
KuPS
SJK
0
0
D
21.03.26
Fri
KuPS
JIPPO
1
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
KuPS
Mariehamn
2
0
W
26.02.26
UEF
KuPS
Lech Poznan
0
1
L
H2H: Turku PS vs KuPS
17.06.26
H2H
Turku PS
KuPS
1
2
L
04.11.20
H2H
Turku PS
KuPS
3
2
W
29.08.20
H2H
KuPS
Turku PS
3
1
L
21.10.18
H2H
KuPS
Turku PS
2
1
L
05.08.18
H2H
KuPS
Turku PS
3
2
L
01.06.18
H2H
Turku PS
KuPS
0
0
D
05.10.14
H2H
KuPS
Turku PS
1
0
L
18.06.14
H2H
Turku PS
KuPS
1
1
D
26.05.14
H2H
Turku PS
KuPS
0
3
L
13.09.13
H2H
KuPS
Turku PS
1
1
D
27.06.13
H2H
Turku PS
KuPS
0
0
D
09.05.13
H2H
KuPS
Turku PS
4
1
L
13.09.12
H2H
KuPS
Turku PS
1
3
W
28.06.12
H2H
Turku PS
KuPS
3
0
W
25.04.12
H2H
KuPS
Turku PS
0
0
D
Last matches: Turku PS
11.07.26
Vei
Turku PS
AC Oulu
3
0
W
27.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
FF Jaro
3
2
W
30.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
08.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
1
0
W
24.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Gnistan
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
SJK
2
0
W
10.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Lahti
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
PK-35
1
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Turku PS
Haka
1
2
L
H2H at home: Turku PS
17.06.26
H2H
Turku PS
KuPS
1
2
L
04.11.20
H2H
Turku PS
KuPS
3
2
W
01.06.18
H2H
Turku PS
KuPS
0
0
D
18.06.14
H2H
Turku PS
KuPS
1
1
D
26.05.14
H2H
Turku PS
KuPS
0
3
L
27.06.13
H2H
Turku PS
KuPS
0
0
D
28.06.12
H2H
Turku PS
KuPS
3
0
W
Last matches: KuPS
07.07.26
UEF
KuPS
Vardar Skopje
2
0
W
27.06.26
Vei
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
4
0
W
13.06.26
Vei
KuPS
VPS
1
1
D
16.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Mariehamn
1
1
D
02.05.26
Vei
KuPS
AC Oulu
0
2
L
18.04.26
Vei
KuPS
FF Jaro
1
1
D
04.04.26
Vei
KuPS
Ilves
3
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
KuPS
SJK
0
0
D
26.02.26
UEF
KuPS
Lech Poznan
0
1
L
18.12.25
UEF
KuPS
Crystal Palace
2
2
D
27.11.25
UEF
KuPS
Jagiellonia
0
1
L
23.10.25
UEF
KuPS
Breidablik
0
0
D
21.08.25
UEF
KuPS
FC Midtjylland
0
4
L
06.08.25
UEF
KuPS
Rīgas FS
2
1
W
29.07.25
UEF
KuPS
Kairat Almaty
0
3
L
15.07.25
UEF
KuPS
Milsami Orhei
0
0
D
H2H away: KuPS
17.06.26
H2H
Turku PS
KuPS
1
2
W
04.11.20
H2H
Turku PS
KuPS
3
2
L
01.06.18
H2H
Turku PS
KuPS
0
0
D
18.06.14
H2H
Turku PS
KuPS
1
1
D
26.05.14
H2H
Turku PS
KuPS
0
3
W
27.06.13
H2H
Turku PS
KuPS
0
0
D
28.06.12
H2H
Turku PS
KuPS
3
0
L

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
KuPS Away
15 8 6 1 27:15 12 30
W W W D D
2 15 8 6 1 23:12 11 30
W D D D D
3 15 7 6 2 22:11 11 27
W W D W W
4 15 8 2 5 20:18 2 26
L D L W D
5 15 6 4 5 25:19 6 22
L L W D W
6 15 6 4 5 23:20 3 22
W L D D W
7 15 6 4 5 19:16 3 22
W L W D L
8 15 5 4 6 18:15 3 19
W W D D L
9 15 4 4 7 25:29 -4 16
L D L W W
10 15 3 5 7 18:23 -5 14
L W D D L
11 15 2 5 8 15:32 -17 11
W L D L L
12 15 0 4 11 8:33 -25 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)