FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Veritas Stadion
Referee: M. Roth
Turku PS
Match Timeline
HJK Helsinki
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
Pau Juvanteny
Turku PS
🔄
34'
L. Montano ↔ B. Lyons-Foster
HJK Helsinki
51'
T. Tsirigotis · Assist: E. Turkki
Turku PS
🔄
57'
M. Kirilov ↔ T. Pukki
HJK Helsinki
🔄
60'
E. Vauhkonen ↔ M. Kauppila
Turku PS
🟨
63'
Pyry Mentu
HJK Helsinki
🔄
73'
C. Azongnitode ↔ T. Karkulowski
Turku PS
🔄
73'
M. Konkkola ↔ L. Ikonen
Turku PS
🔄
77'
L. Moller ↔ L. Lappalainen
HJK Helsinki
🔄
77'
M. Borchers ↔ D. Ezeh
HJK Helsinki
🔄
77'
A. Cicale ↔ T. Mero
HJK Helsinki
🔄
86'
E. Turkki ↔ A. Sairinen
Turku PS
🔄
86'
O. Haggstrom ↔ T. Vakiparta
Turku PS
🟨
90'
Eetu Turkki
Turku PS

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
76.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Turku PS Win 60.6%
Draw 3.9%
HJK Helsinki Win 35.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Turku PS1.08
HJK Helsinki1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Turku PS Turku PS
WWDLW
12 GF / 10 GA
HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki
WLDWL
16 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
6
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
5
3.6
Shots on Goal
2.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Turku PS Turku PS 10 matches
HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 10 matches
Turku PS Statistic HJK Helsinki
4 Wins 5
4 Draws 2
2 Losses 3
12 Goals For 16
10 Goals Against 9
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
6 BTTS Yes 4
8 Over 1.5 7
3 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 1
3.6 Shots On Goal 2.33
9.6 Total Shots 6.67
5.8 Corners 2.83
41.2% Ball Possession 28%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors HJK Helsinki. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Turku PS Analysis

Turku PS come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 9 points from 5 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, while the 8:5 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Muzaci (3 goals), T. Tsirigotis (2 goals), M. Konkkola (1 goals), with creative support from E. Turkki (3 assists), T. Tsirigotis (1 assists), L. Ivanovic (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

HJK Helsinki Analysis

HJK Helsinki arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 11 points after 6 matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 9:3 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through T. Pukki (3 goals), A. Cicale (1 goals), D. Ezeh (1 goals), with creative support from D. Ezeh (2 assists), L. Lingman (2 assists), P. Mentu (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Turku PS won 2 times, HJK Helsinki won 12 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:38 from Turku PS's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
Predicted formations: Turku PS 4-2-3-1 / HJK Helsinki 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Turku PS wins 2, draws 1, HJK Helsinki wins 12

Lineups

Turku PS
Formation
HJK Helsinki
E. Henriksson
E. Henriksson
O. Haggstrom
O. Haggstrom
M. Hradecky
M. Hradecky
C. Azongnitode
C. Azongnitode
E. Turkki
🎯
E. Turkki
T. Zaal
T. Zaal
P. Juvanteny
P. Juvanteny
M. Konkkola
M. Konkkola
A. Muzaci
A. Muzaci
E. Vauhkonen
E. Vauhkonen
T. Tsirigotis
T. Tsirigotis
M. Markovic
M. Markovic
M. Ylitolva
M. Ylitolva
M. Bogicevic
M. Bogicevic
V. Tikkanen
V. Tikkanen
L. Montano
L. Montano
M. Kirilov
M. Kirilov
L. Lingman
L. Lingman
P. Mentu
P. Mentu
L. Moller
L. Moller
M. Borchers
M. Borchers
A. Cicale
A. Cicale
Turku PS 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
E. Henriksson
G
2
O. Haggstrom
↓ 86'
D
14
M. Hradecky
D
15
C. Azongnitode
↓ 73'
D
3
E. Turkki
🎯 51' ↓ 86' 🟨 90'
D
22
T. Zaal
M
6
P. Juvanteny
10
M. Konkkola
↓ 73'
M
29
A. Muzaci
M
11
E. Vauhkonen
↓ 60'
M
13
T. Tsirigotis
⚽ 51'
F
Substitutes
35
D. Lauri
G
4
A. Sairinen
↑ 86'
D
8
A. Coulibaly
M
41
S. Anini
77
T. Karkulowski
↑ 73'
D
9
L. Ivanovic
F
20
M. Kauppila
↑ 60'
M
26
L. Ikonen
↑ 73'
M
28
T. Vakiparta
↑ 86'
M
HJK Helsinki 4-3-3
Starting XI
44
M. Markovic
G
28
M. Ylitolva
D
31
M. Bogicevic
D
6
V. Tikkanen
D
14
L. Montano
↓ 34'
D
17
M. Kirilov
↓ 57'
M
10
L. Lingman
M
8
P. Mentu
🟨 63'
M
22
L. Moller
↓ 77'
M
9
M. Borchers
↓ 77'
F
7
A. Cicale
↓ 77'
M
Substitutes
1
J. Ost
G
20
T. Pukki
↑ 57'
F
26
L. Lappalainen
↑ 77'
M
19
D. Ezeh
↑ 77'
F
24
E. Levealahti
D
18
T. Mero
↑ 77'
M
62
L. Palmula
M
2
B. Lyons-Foster
↑ 34'
D
15
J. Kallinen
M
Last matches: Turku PS
20.07.26
Vei
Turku PS
Ilves
1
3
L
11.07.26
Vei
Turku PS
AC Oulu
3
0
W
04.07.26
Vei
Turku PS
SJK
1
3
L
27.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
FF Jaro
3
2
W
23.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
Lahti
0
0
D
17.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
KuPS
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
Ilves
0
1
L
30.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
23.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
Inter Turku
1
2
L
16.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
AC Oulu
0
1
L
02.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
FF Jaro
2
2
D
24.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Gnistan
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
SJK
2
0
W
10.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Lahti
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Mariehamn
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
PK-35
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
EIF
0
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
SJK
1
1
D
23.01.26
Fri
Turku PS
Haka
1
2
L
Last matches: HJK Helsinki
23.07.26
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
5
0
W
18.07.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
VPS
2
1
W
11.07.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
0
2
L
27.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
0
4
L
23.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
4
0
W
17.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
3
3
D
13.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
5
2
W
30.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
1
0
W
22.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
VPS
1
2
L
16.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
2
2
D
04.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
1
0
W
29.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
1
D
26.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
3
0
W
11.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
SJK
3
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Djurgardens IF
2
4
L
21.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
SJK
1
0
W
10.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
3
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Hammarby FF
1
2
L
H2H: Turku PS vs HJK Helsinki
08.05.26
H2H
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
1
0
W
21.02.26
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
3
1
L
28.03.24
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
5
1
L
24.09.20
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
2
2
D
22.07.20
H2H
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
0
2
L
23.06.20
H2H
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
25.01.20
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
3
0
L
27.10.18
H2H
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
0
4
L
14.07.18
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
2
1
L
18.05.18
H2H
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
28.09.14
H2H
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
1
4
L
23.06.14
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
5
0
L
26.04.14
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
0
1
W
26.09.13
H2H
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
0
3
L
22.09.13
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
3
1
L
Last matches: Turku PS
20.07.26
Vei
Turku PS
Ilves
1
3
L
11.07.26
Vei
Turku PS
AC Oulu
3
0
W
27.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
FF Jaro
3
2
W
17.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
KuPS
1
2
L
30.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
24.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Gnistan
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
SJK
2
0
W
10.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Lahti
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
PK-35
1
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Turku PS
Haka
1
2
L
H2H at home: Turku PS
08.05.26
H2H
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
1
0
W
22.07.20
H2H
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
0
2
L
23.06.20
H2H
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
27.10.18
H2H
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
0
4
L
18.05.18
H2H
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
28.09.14
H2H
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
1
4
L
26.09.13
H2H
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
0
3
L
Last matches: HJK Helsinki
11.07.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
0
2
L
23.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
4
0
W
13.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
5
2
W
22.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
VPS
1
2
L
29.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
1
D
26.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
3
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Djurgardens IF
2
4
L
24.07.25
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
10.07.25
UEF
HJK Helsinki
NSI Runavik
0
4
L
H2H away: HJK Helsinki
08.05.26
H2H
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
1
0
L
22.07.20
H2H
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
0
2
W
23.06.20
H2H
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
0
1
W
27.10.18
H2H
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
0
4
W
18.05.18
H2H
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
0
1
W
28.09.14
H2H
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
1
4
W
26.09.13
H2H
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
0
3
W

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 6 1 29:15 14 33
W W W W D
2 16 8 7 1 23:12 11 31
D W D D D
3 16 7 6 3 23:13 10 27
L W W D W
4 16 8 2 6 20:20 0 26
L L D L W
5 16 7 4 5 27:20 7 25
W L L W D
6 16 7 4 5 25:20 5 25
W W L D D
7 16 6 4 6 20:15 5 22
W W W D D
8 16 6 4 6 20:19 1 22
L W L W D
9 16 5 4 7 28:30 -2 19
W L D L W
10 16 3 5 8 18:25 -7 14
L L W D D
11 16 2 6 8 15:32 -17 12
D W L D L
12 16 0 4 12 8:35 -27 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)