Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
63%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
83.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
80.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Tukums
Riga
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Tukums
16 matches
Riga
20 matches
| Tukums | Statistic | Riga |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 13 |
| 9 | Draws | 4 |
| 5 | Losses | 3 |
| 32 | Goals For | 56 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.8 |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Riga having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Riga. Riga carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 30 points while Tukums sit 7 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
From their first 13 matches, Tukums have collected 13 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 27:21 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Oloko (12 goals), R. Deruzinskis (6 goals), Leoni (4 goals), with creative support from B. Samoilovs (6 assists), Anmanis Kaspars (2 assists), R. Baumanis (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Riga approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 30 points after 13 outings. The return of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 42:16, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Badamosi (8 goals), Iago Siqueira (6 goals), S. Panic (6 goals), with creative support from Reginaldo Ramires (5 assists), A. Salazar (5 assists), A. Cernomordijs (4 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tukums won 1 times, Riga won 12 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:53 from Tukums's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 4.07 goals per game.
Lineups
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Kalju Nomme
Tukums
Džiugas Telšiai
Tukums
Panevėžys
Riga
Rīgas FS
Riga
Ogre United
Riga
Grobiņa
Riga
Super Nova
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
Auda
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
FK Liepaja
Riga
Rīgas FS
Riga
Ogre United
Riga
Grobiņa
Riga
Super Nova
Riga
Tukums
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
Legia Warszawa
Riga
Auda
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
FK Liepaja
Riga
Flora Tallinn
Riga
LNZ Cherkasy
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Džiugas Telšiai
Riga
Ogre United
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
Rīgas FS
Riga
Grobiņa
Riga
Super Nova
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
Legia Warszawa
Riga
Auda
Riga
FK Liepaja
Riga
Flora Tallinn
Riga
LNZ Cherkasy
Riga
Shakhtar Donetsk
Riga
Dubai United
Riga
Sparta Praha
Riga
Beitar Jerusalem
Riga
Dila
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 42:14 | 28 | 46 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Riga
Away
|
18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 45 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 34:23 | 11 | 35 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:25 | -2 | 25 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 21 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20:25 | -5 | 20 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
Tukums
Home
|
18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 17 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
| 8 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 12:29 | -17 | 16 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 13:33 | -20 | 16 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 16:42 | -26 | 7 |
W
L
L
D
L
|