Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
87.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
12.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Tukums
Ogre United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Tukums
13 matches
Ogre United
12 matches
| Tukums | Statistic | Ogre United |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 0 |
| 7 | Draws | 3 |
| 5 | Losses | 9 |
| 22 | Goals For | 9 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.75 |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.83 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Tukums's more proactive style and Ogre United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ogre United. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ogre United having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Ogre United arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Tukums are currently 8 in the standings with 8 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, while the 17:16 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Oloko (7 goals), R. Deruzinskis (3 goals), Leoni (2 goals), with creative support from B. Samoilovs (2 assists), Anmanis Kaspars (2 assists), E. Oloko (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
With 3 points from 10 games and a place of 10, Ogre United still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats with a 8:19 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on K. Cudars (3 goals), E. Evelons (1 goals), K. Johnson (1 goals), with creative support from M. Kalnins (1 assists), D. Vejkrigers (1 assists), F. Machado (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Tukums won 1 times, Ogre United won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:5 from Tukums's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4.67 goals per game.
Lineups
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
Super Nova
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
Tukums
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
Riga
Ogre United
Auda
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
Super Nova
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
Riga
Ogre United
Auda
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
Super Nova
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Džiugas Telšiai
Ogre United
Super Nova
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
Auda
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
Super Nova
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
Riga
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Ogre United
Flora Tallinn
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 55:16 | 39 | 59 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 68:20 | 48 | 58 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 40 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29:29 | 0 | 30 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28:34 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 27 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24:39 | -15 | 25 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:35 | -20 | 20 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 |
Tukums
Home
|
23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 38:47 | -9 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 10 |
Ogre United
Away
|
23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 21:59 | -38 | 13 |
L
W
L
W
L
|