Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
55.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Tukums
27 matches
FK Liepaja
35 matches
| Tukums | Statistic | FK Liepaja |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 15 |
| 10 | Draws | 5 |
| 14 | Losses | 15 |
| 43 | Goals For | 51 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 55 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.46 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.57 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 2 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 8 |
| 0 | Corners | 3 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 27.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FK Liepaja. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FK Liepaja having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 17 points from 23 games and a place of 9, Tukums still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 12 defeats with a 38:47 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
FK Liepaja approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 28 points from 22 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats with a 28:34 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tukums won 3 times, FK Liepaja won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:27 from Tukums's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Riga
FK Liepaja
Austria Vienna
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Austria Vienna
FK Liepaja
Dečić
FK Liepaja
Dečić
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Džiugas Telšiai
FK Liepaja
Austria Vienna
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Dečić
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
AIK Stockholm
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 56:16 | 40 | 62 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 68:20 | 48 | 58 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 43 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
FK Liepaja
Away
|
23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 31 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 5 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 27 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 17:37 | -20 | 21 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 |
Tukums
Home
|
24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 10 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 23:61 | -38 | 14 |
D
L
W
L
W
|