Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
75.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
83.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
68.9%
|
- |
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Tukums
10 matches
BFC Daugavpils
15 matches
| Tukums | Statistic | BFC Daugavpils |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Wins | 6 |
| 6 | Draws | 0 |
| 4 | Losses | 9 |
| 15 | Goals For | 18 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.2 |
| 1.9 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.8 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward BFC Daugavpils. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. BFC Daugavpils look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward BFC Daugavpils having the stronger overall control. BFC Daugavpils carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 12 points while Tukums sit 9 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Tukums sit 9 with 4 points after 7 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 0 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the 7:9 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Oloko (3 goals), R. Deruzinskis (3 goals), Leoni (2 goals), with creative support from B. Samoilovs (2 assists), Leoni (1 assists), Anmanis Kaspars (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 4 place with 12 points from 7 games, BFC Daugavpils bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a 10:12 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on A. Garzha (3 goals), R. Ndjiki (3 goals), J. Yakubu (2 goals), with creative support from A. Garzha (2 assists), R. Ndjiki (2 assists), J. Yakubu (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tukums won 3 times, BFC Daugavpils won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:24 from Tukums's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Lineups
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Džiugas Telšiai
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Suduva Marijampole
BFC Daugavpils
Šiauliai
BFC Daugavpils
Flora Tallinn
BFC Daugavpils
FK Trakai
BFC Daugavpils
TransINVEST Vilnius
BFC Daugavpils
Panevėžys
BFC Daugavpils
Vllaznia Shkodër
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 55:16 | 39 | 59 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 68:20 | 48 | 58 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 40 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 |
BFC Daugavpils
Away
|
23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29:29 | 0 | 30 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
| 5 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28:34 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 27 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24:39 | -15 | 25 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:35 | -20 | 20 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 |
Tukums
Home
|
23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 38:47 | -9 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 10 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 21:59 | -38 | 13 |
L
W
L
W
L
|