AUSTRIA BUNDESLIGA
20.09.2026 12:30
Profertil Arena
Referee: Safak Barmaksiz

TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66%
Odds 1.29
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.48
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66%
1.29
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.48
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.17
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
TSV Hartberg Win 29.3%
Draw 4.8%
Lask Linz Win 66%
Expected Goals (xG)
TSV Hartberg1.59
Lask Linz2.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg
WWDLW
39 GF / 20 GA
Lask Linz Lask Linz
WLDWL
61 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
2.05
Average Goals Scored
2.77
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
9
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
17
3.33
Shots on Goal
7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 19 matches
Lask Linz Lask Linz 22 matches
TSV Hartberg Statistic Lask Linz
12 Wins 15
2 Draws 0
5 Losses 7
39 Goals For 61
20 Goals Against 20
2.05 Avg Goals Scored 2.77
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
9 BTTS Yes 9
17 Over 1.5 21
11 Over 2.5 17
7 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 9
4 Failed To Score 4
3.33 Shots On Goal 7
8.67 Total Shots 22.44
3.83 Corners 7
40.8% Ball Possession 54.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Lask Linz's more proactive style and TSV Hartberg's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with TSV Hartberg expected to line up in 4-3-2-1 and Lask Linz in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lask Linz having the stronger overall control. Lask Linz look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Lask Linz. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Lask Linz carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 15 points while TSV Hartberg sit 7 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

TSV Hartberg Analysis

With 6 points from 5 games and a place of 7, TSV Hartberg still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 5:8 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Marco Hoffmann (2 goals), Benjamin Markuš (1 goals), Angelo Gattermayer (1 goals), with creative support from Marco Hoffmann (1 assists), Fabian Wilfinger (1 assists), Tobias Kainz (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Lask Linz Analysis

Lask Linz come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 15 points after 5 matches. With 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 15:2, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by C. Lang (4 goals), Samuel Adeniran (4 goals), M. Usor (1 goals), with creative support from M. Usor (2 assists), M. Bogarde (2 assists), A. Andrade (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, TSV Hartberg won 2 times, Lask Linz won 5 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:21 from TSV Hartberg's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: TSV Hartberg 4-3-2-1 / Lask Linz 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: TSV Hartberg wins 2, draws 8, Lask Linz wins 5

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 21:7 14 18
W W L W W
2 6 5 0 1 16:4 12 15
L W W W W
3 6 4 2 0 15:4 11 14
D W W W D
4 6 3 2 1 8:6 2 11
W L D W W
5 7 2 2 3 9:12 -3 8
L D W W L
6 7 2 2 3 8:11 -3 8
W L L D W
7 7 2 2 3 6:16 -10 8
D W D L L
8 6 2 1 3 7:10 -3 7
D W W L L
9 7 2 1 4 7:13 -6 7
D W L L W
10 6 1 2 3 6:9 -3 5
L L D L D
11 6 1 2 3 7:11 -4 5
D L W L L
12 7 1 0 6 5:12 -7 3
L L L L L
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Bundesliga (Relegation Group)