GERMANY 3. LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Städtisches Stadion an der Grünwalder Straße
Referee: Y. Rupert
TSV 1860 München
Match Timeline
FC Ingolstadt 04
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
42'
S. Althaus · Assist: S. Haugen
TSV 1860 München
57'
M. Costly · Assist: M. Hoppe
FC Ingolstadt 04
🔄
63'
F. Niederlechner ↔ M. Schroter
TSV 1860 München
🔄
63'
S. Althaus ↔ L. Husic
TSV 1860 München
64'
M. Besuschkow · Assist: M. Costly
FC Ingolstadt 04
🔄
71'
M. Wolfram ↔ M. Rittmuller
TSV 1860 München
🔄
71'
J. Steinkotter ↔ P. Hobsch
TSV 1860 München
🟨
76'
Sean Dulic
TSV 1860 München
🟨
81'
Siemen Voet
TSV 1860 München
🔄
82'
S. Dulic ↔ R. Schifferl
TSV 1860 München
🔄
90+2'
M. Costly ↔ J. Kugel
FC Ingolstadt 04
🔄
90+2'
F. Carlsen ↔ L. Frode
FC Ingolstadt 04
🔄
90+5'
Y. Sturm ↔ E. Kehrer
FC Ingolstadt 04

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
69.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
TSV 1860 München Win 63.3%
Draw 4.3%
FC Ingolstadt 04 Win 32.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
TSV 1860 München1.48
FC Ingolstadt 041.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
TSV 1860 München TSV 1860 München
WWDLW
53 GF / 48 GA
FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04
WLDWL
58 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.61
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
22
BTTS Yes
26
20
Over 2.5
25
3.73
Shots on Goal
4.37

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

TSV 1860 München TSV 1860 München 36 matches
FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04 36 matches
TSV 1860 München Statistic FC Ingolstadt 04
15 Wins 11
11 Draws 10
10 Losses 15
53 Goals For 58
48 Goals Against 54
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.61
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
22 BTTS Yes 26
30 Over 1.5 29
20 Over 2.5 25
12 Over 3.5 12
9 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 6
3.73 Shots On Goal 4.37
9.7 Total Shots 11.83
4.23 Corners 3.87
40.6% Ball Possession 43%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. FC Ingolstadt 04 arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FC Ingolstadt 04. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with TSV 1860 München expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FC Ingolstadt 04 in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Ingolstadt 04 having the stronger overall control.

TSV 1860 München Analysis

TSV 1860 München are currently 8 in the standings with 56 points from 36 matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 11 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 53:48 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Haugen (16 goals), Thore Jacobsen (7 goals), P. Hobsch (6 goals), with creative support from K. Volland (7 assists), D. Philipp (4 assists), T. Deniz (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

FC Ingolstadt 04 Analysis

FC Ingolstadt 04 approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 43 points from 36 matches. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 10 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 58:54 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Costly (16 goals), Dennis Kaygın (7 goals), Y. Sturm (6 goals), with creative support from M. Costly (8 assists), F. Carlsen (7 assists), M. Besuschkow (6 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, TSV 1860 München won 5 times, FC Ingolstadt 04 won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:22 from TSV 1860 München's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
Predicted formations: TSV 1860 München 4-2-3-1 / FC Ingolstadt 04 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: TSV 1860 München wins 5, draws 4, FC Ingolstadt 04 wins 6
Stats
TSV 1860 München TSV 1860 München
FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04
Shots on Goal
0
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
0
Shots off Goal
0
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
0
0 Corner Kicks 0
0 Fouls 0
0 Offsides 0
0 Ball Possession 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Goal 0
0 Shots off Goal 0
0 Blocked Shots 0
0 Shots insidebox 0
0 Shots outsidebox 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 0
0 Total passes 0
0 Passes accurate 0
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

TSV 1860 München
Formation
FC Ingolstadt 04
T. Dahne
T. Dahne
S. Dulic
S. Dulic
X. Kiefersauer
X. Kiefersauer
S. Voet
S. Voet
T. Danhof
T. Danhof
J. Steinkotter
J. Steinkotter
S. Althaus
S. Althaus
M. Wolfram
M. Wolfram
M. Pfeifer
M. Pfeifer
S. Haugen
🎯
S. Haugen
F. Niederlechner
F. Niederlechner
D. Klein
D. Klein
G. Antzoulas
G. Antzoulas
S. Lorenz
S. Lorenz
J. Scholz
J. Scholz
M. Hoppe
🎯
M. Hoppe
E. Gul
E. Gul
F. Carlsen
F. Carlsen
M. Plath
M. Plath
M. Besuschkow
M. Besuschkow
M. Costly
🎯
M. Costly
Y. Sturm
Y. Sturm
TSV 1860 München 3-5-2
Starting XI
21
T. Dahne
G
25
S. Dulic
↓ 82' 🟨 76'
D
35
X. Kiefersauer
3
S. Voet
🟨 81'
D
2
T. Danhof
D
9
J. Steinkotter
↓ 71'
F
20
S. Althaus
⚽ 42' ↓ 63'
M
30
M. Wolfram
↓ 71'
M
27
M. Pfeifer
D
22
S. Haugen
🎯 42'
F
7
F. Niederlechner
↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
40
P. Bachmann
G
13
M. Christiansen
M
17
M. Schroter
↑ 63'
M
18
K. Jakob
M
29
M. Rittmuller
↑ 71'
M
33
L. Fassmann
D
34
P. Hobsch
↑ 71'
F
37
R. Schifferl
↑ 82'
D
44
L. Husic
↑ 63'
M
FC Ingolstadt 04 3-4-3
Starting XI
47
D. Klein
G
6
G. Antzoulas
D
32
S. Lorenz
D
15
J. Scholz
D
2
M. Hoppe
🎯 57'
D
5
E. Gul
M
8
F. Carlsen
↓ 90+2'
M
14
M. Plath
M
17
M. Besuschkow
⚽ 64'
M
22
M. Costly
⚽ 57' 🎯 64' ↓ 90+2'
M
7
Y. Sturm
↓ 90+5'
Substitutes
25
K. Eisele
G
23
J. Maljojoki
D
29
J. Kugel
↑ 90+2'
30
O. Drakulic
34
L. Frode
↑ 90+2'
M
39
B. Ozturk
M
44
E. Kehrer
↑ 90+5'
F
48
N. Lakatos
D
49
T. Bagaric
M
Last matches: TSV 1860 München
16.05.26
3.
TSV 1860 München
Verl
0
3
L
02.05.26
3.
TSV 1860 München
FC Schweinfurt 05
1
1
D
25.04.26
3.
TSV 1860 München
SSV Ulm 1846
3
2
W
18.04.26
3.
TSV 1860 München
FC Saarbrücken
0
0
D
12.04.26
3.
TSV 1860 München
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2
2
D
07.04.26
3.
TSV 1860 München
Energie Cottbus
0
3
L
04.04.26
3.
TSV 1860 München
Waldhof Mannheim
1
1
D
22.03.26
3.
TSV 1860 München
MSV Duisburg
1
2
L
14.03.26
3.
TSV 1860 München
SV Wehen
0
0
D
06.03.26
3.
TSV 1860 München
FC Viktoria Köln
1
0
W
03.03.26
3.
TSV 1860 München
Erzgebirge Aue
2
1
W
27.02.26
3.
TSV 1860 München
Hoffenheim II
2
1
W
22.02.26
3.
TSV 1860 München
Hansa Rostock
1
0
W
14.02.26
3.
TSV 1860 München
Havelse
5
0
W
07.02.26
3.
TSV 1860 München
Stuttgart II
1
2
L
31.01.26
3.
TSV 1860 München
Alemannia Aachen
2
2
D
25.01.26
3.
TSV 1860 München
VfL Osnabrück
1
1
D
17.01.26
3.
TSV 1860 München
Rot-Weiß Essen
1
1
D
09.01.26
Fri
TSV 1860 München
FC Winterthur
4
1
W
20.12.25
3.
TSV 1860 München
Verl
0
2
L
Last matches: FC Ingolstadt 04
16.05.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Waldhof Mannheim
5
1
W
03.05.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Erzgebirge Aue
3
5
L
25.04.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Hoffenheim II
3
0
W
18.04.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
VfL Osnabrück
0
1
L
11.04.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Rot-Weiß Essen
1
4
L
08.04.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
FC Viktoria Köln
1
2
L
05.04.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
FC Saarbrücken
0
1
L
25.03.26
Fri
FC Ingolstadt 04
SSV Ulm 1846
1
2
L
21.03.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Alemannia Aachen
1
2
L
15.03.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
SSV Ulm 1846
3
1
W
08.03.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Verl
1
2
L
04.03.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
MSV Duisburg
0
0
D
28.02.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
SV Wehen
1
2
L
21.02.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Havelse
3
2
W
15.02.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
FC Schweinfurt 05
1
1
D
07.02.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Energie Cottbus
0
0
D
31.01.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
24.01.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Stuttgart II
2
1
W
16.01.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
SSV Jahn Regensburg
3
0
W
09.01.26
Fri
FC Ingolstadt 04
Ried
4
2
W
H2H: TSV 1860 München vs FC Ingolstadt 04
09.05.26
H2H
TSV 1860 München
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
2
L
13.12.25
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
TSV 1860 München
1
2
W
08.02.25
H2H
TSV 1860 München
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
1
D
31.08.24
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
TSV 1860 München
1
2
W
11.02.24
H2H
TSV 1860 Munich
FC Ingolstadt 04
3
1
L
16.09.23
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
TSV 1860 Munich
2
1
L
03.04.23
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
TSV 1860 Munich
1
3
W
08.10.22
H2H
TSV 1860 Munich
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
2
W
22.05.21
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
TSV 1860 Munich
3
1
L
18.01.21
H2H
TSV 1860 Munich
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
0
L
04.07.20
H2H
TSV 1860 Munich
FC Ingolstadt 04
0
2
W
16.12.19
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
TSV 1860 Munich
2
2
D
13.08.17
H2H
TSV 1860 Munich
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
2
W
02.03.15
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
TSV 1860 Munich
1
1
D
20.09.14
H2H
TSV 1860 Munich
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
1
D
Last matches: TSV 1860 München
25.04.26
3.
TSV 1860 München
SSV Ulm 1846
3
2
W
12.04.26
3.
TSV 1860 München
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2
2
D
04.04.26
3.
TSV 1860 München
Waldhof Mannheim
1
1
D
14.03.26
3.
TSV 1860 München
SV Wehen
0
0
D
03.03.26
3.
TSV 1860 München
Erzgebirge Aue
2
1
W
22.02.26
3.
TSV 1860 München
Hansa Rostock
1
0
W
31.01.26
3.
TSV 1860 München
Alemannia Aachen
2
2
D
17.01.26
3.
TSV 1860 München
Rot-Weiß Essen
1
1
D
20.12.25
3.
TSV 1860 München
Verl
0
2
L
06.12.25
3.
TSV 1860 München
FC Schweinfurt 05
3
1
W
23.11.25
3.
TSV 1860 München
FC Saarbrücken
2
0
W
01.11.25
3.
TSV 1860 München
Energie Cottbus
3
0
W
19.10.25
3.
TSV 1860 München
MSV Duisburg
3
1
W
01.10.25
3.
TSV 1860 München
FC Viktoria Köln
2
2
D
20.09.25
3.
TSV 1860 München
Hoffenheim II
1
5
L
14.09.25
3.
TSV 1860 München
Havelse
3
2
W
30.08.25
3.
TSV 1860 München
Stuttgart II
1
1
D
09.08.25
3.
TSV 1860 München
VfL Osnabrück
3
1
W
H2H at home: TSV 1860 München
09.05.26
H2H
TSV 1860 München
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
2
L
08.02.25
H2H
TSV 1860 München
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
1
D
Last matches: FC Ingolstadt 04
25.04.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Hoffenheim II
3
0
W
11.04.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Rot-Weiß Essen
1
4
L
05.04.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
FC Saarbrücken
0
1
L
15.03.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
SSV Ulm 1846
3
1
W
28.02.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
SV Wehen
1
2
L
15.02.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
FC Schweinfurt 05
1
1
D
31.01.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
16.01.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
SSV Jahn Regensburg
3
0
W
20.12.25
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Waldhof Mannheim
2
2
D
07.12.25
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Erzgebirge Aue
2
2
D
22.11.25
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
VfL Osnabrück
0
1
L
31.10.25
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
FC Viktoria Köln
1
3
L
18.10.25
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Alemannia Aachen
1
0
W
01.10.25
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Verl
2
2
D
27.09.25
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
MSV Duisburg
1
2
L
17.09.25
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Havelse
6
2
W
30.08.25
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Energie Cottbus
1
1
D
10.08.25
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Stuttgart II
1
2
L
H2H away: FC Ingolstadt 04
09.05.26
H2H
TSV 1860 München
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
2
W
08.02.25
H2H
TSV 1860 München
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
1
D
11.02.24
H2H
TSV 1860 Munich
FC Ingolstadt 04
3
1
L
08.10.22
H2H
TSV 1860 Munich
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
2
W
18.01.21
H2H
TSV 1860 Munich
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
0
L
04.07.20
H2H
TSV 1860 Munich
FC Ingolstadt 04
0
2
W
13.08.17
H2H
TSV 1860 Munich
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
2
W
20.09.14
H2H
TSV 1860 Munich
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
1
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 8 6 66:34 32 80
W D W W W
2 38 21 9 8 72:51 21 72
W W L W W
3 38 20 10 8 78:66 12 70
W W L L L
4 38 19 11 8 66:49 17 68
D D W L W
5 38 18 13 7 74:49 25 67
W W D L D
6 38 18 10 10 82:48 34 64
W L W L W
7 38 19 7 12 76:57 19 64
W W D W W
8 38 15 11 12 54:53 1 56
L L D W D
9 38 15 8 15 54:52 2 53
W L L D D
10 38 15 7 16 59:72 -13 52
L W L D D
11 38 15 6 17 51:53 -2 51
D L W L L
12 38 13 10 15 65:56 9 49
W W L W L
13 38 14 7 17 54:58 -4 49
L L W W L
14 38 13 7 18 57:69 -12 46
L L W L D
15 38 10 14 14 51:57 -6 44
L L W W D
16 38 12 7 19 65:71 -6 43
L W L L L
17 38 9 8 21 57:89 -32 35
L W L W L
18 38 7 13 18 51:70 -19 34
W D W D D
19 38 9 6 23 49:78 -29 33
L D L L W
20 38 5 6 27 38:87 -49 21
L L D D D