TSV 1860 München vs FC Ingolstadt 04 Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
63.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
69.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
TSV 1860 München
FC Ingolstadt 04
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
TSV 1860 München
36 matches
FC Ingolstadt 04
36 matches
| TSV 1860 München | Statistic | FC Ingolstadt 04 |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 11 |
| 11 | Draws | 10 |
| 10 | Losses | 15 |
| 53 | Goals For | 58 |
| 48 | Goals Against | 54 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.61 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 26 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 25 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.73 | Shots On Goal | 4.37 |
| 9.7 | Total Shots | 11.83 |
| 4.23 | Corners | 3.87 |
| 40.6% | Ball Possession | 43% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. FC Ingolstadt 04 arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FC Ingolstadt 04. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with TSV 1860 München expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FC Ingolstadt 04 in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Ingolstadt 04 having the stronger overall control.
TSV 1860 München are currently 8 in the standings with 56 points from 36 matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 11 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 53:48 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Haugen (16 goals), Thore Jacobsen (7 goals), P. Hobsch (6 goals), with creative support from K. Volland (7 assists), D. Philipp (4 assists), T. Deniz (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
FC Ingolstadt 04 approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 43 points from 36 matches. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 10 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 58:54 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Costly (16 goals), Dennis Kaygın (7 goals), Y. Sturm (6 goals), with creative support from M. Costly (8 assists), F. Carlsen (7 assists), M. Besuschkow (6 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, TSV 1860 München won 5 times, FC Ingolstadt 04 won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:22 from TSV 1860 München's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 66:34 | 32 | 80 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 72:51 | 21 | 72 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 78:66 | 12 | 70 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 66:49 | 17 | 68 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 74:49 | 25 | 67 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 82:48 | 34 | 64 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 76:57 | 19 | 64 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 |
TSV 1860 München
Home
|
38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 54:53 | 1 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
| 9 | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 54:52 | 2 | 53 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 59:72 | -13 | 52 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 51:53 | -2 | 51 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
FC Ingolstadt 04
Away
|
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 65:56 | 9 | 49 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 13 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 54:58 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 57:69 | -12 | 46 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 51:57 | -6 | 44 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 65:71 | -6 | 43 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 57:89 | -32 | 35 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 51:70 | -19 | 34 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 49:78 | -29 | 33 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 38:87 | -49 | 21 |
L
L
D
D
D
|