ENGLAND › NATIONAL LEAGUE
18.04.2026 14:00
Truro Sports Hub
Truro City
Match Timeline
Carlisle
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
65'
R. Linney · Assist: D. Ajiboye
Carlisle
🔄
67'
C. Whelan ↔ J. Ellis
Carlisle
🔄
68'
J. Williams ↔ A. Davies
Carlisle
🔄
73'
Z. Bell ↔ B. Starkie
Truro City
🔄
75'
G. Kelly ↔ L. Armstrong
Carlisle
🔄
83'
W. Dean ↔ T. Dean
Truro City
🔄
83'
F. Issaka ↔ S. Janneh
Truro City
🔄
87'
D. Ajiboye ↔ E. Yeboah
Carlisle
🔄
89'
J. Stretton ↔ K. Wilson
Truro City

Truro City vs Carlisle Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 88.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 58.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 53%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
88.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
58.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
53%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Truro City Win 11.7%
Draw 0%
Carlisle Win 88.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Truro City1.03
Carlisle1.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Truro City Truro City
WWDLW
42 GF / 77 GA
Carlisle Carlisle
WLDWL
94 GF / 61 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
1.92
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
19
BTTS Yes
27
21
Over 2.5
31
0
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Truro City Truro City 47 matches
Carlisle Carlisle 49 matches
Truro City Statistic Carlisle
7 Wins 30
12 Draws 8
28 Losses 11
42 Goals For 94
77 Goals Against 61
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.92
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
19 BTTS Yes 27
36 Over 1.5 41
21 Over 2.5 31
12 Over 3.5 17
7 Clean Sheets 16
23 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 3
0 Total Shots 6
0 Corners 5
0% Ball Possession 21%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Carlisle's more proactive style and Truro City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Carlisle. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Carlisle carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 89 points while Truro City sit 24 on 31, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Carlisle having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Truro City Analysis

Truro City approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 24 with 31 points from 44 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 27 losses, together with goals at 40:71, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through L. Jephcott (7 goals), T. Harvey (5 goals), D. Johnson-Fisher (4 goals), with creative support from C. Riley-Lowe (6 assists), L. Jephcott (5 assists), C. Oxlade-Chamberlain (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Carlisle Analysis

Carlisle approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 89 points after 44 outings. The return of 27 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats, together with goals at 83:51, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through R. Linney (18 goals), G. Kelly (12 goals), L. Armstrong (10 goals), with creative support from R. Linney (10 assists), C. Conn-Clarke (7 assists), J. Ellis (7 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 13 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Truro City won 0 times, Carlisle won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:4 from Truro City's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Truro City wins 0, draws 0, Carlisle wins 2

Standings

Conference: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 33 9 4 114:41 73 108
D W W W W
2 46 33 7 6 88:41 47 106
D W W D L
3 46 29 8 9 87:51 36 95
W W W D D
4 46 27 9 10 95:58 37 90
W W W L W
5 46 23 13 10 77:62 15 82
L D W L D
6 46 23 12 11 83:47 36 81
W L W W D
7 46 23 12 11 82:52 30 81
W L W D W
8 46 20 10 16 69:66 3 70
W L D D W
9 46 18 14 14 54:59 -5 68
L W W L D
10 46 16 15 15 69:54 15 63
L W D W D
11 46 17 11 18 63:71 -8 62
W D L D W
12 46 15 14 17 63:67 -4 59
W W D W D
13 46 17 6 23 55:65 -10 57
W W W L L
14 46 14 14 18 71:72 -1 56
W L D D W
15 46 15 11 20 67:74 -7 56
L D D L W
16 46 15 6 25 48:68 -20 51
L L D L W
17 46 13 11 22 57:80 -23 50
W D L W D
18 46 14 8 24 54:90 -36 50
L L W W D
19 46 11 14 21 59:79 -20 47
L L L L D
20 46 13 7 26 69:87 -18 46
L L L L L
21 46 10 12 24 40:75 -35 42
L W L D L
22 46 9 11 26 66:103 -37 38
L L L D W
23 46 8 12 26 38:76 -38 36
L L L D L
24 46 8 10 28 42:72 -30 34
W L L D L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation