Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
88.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
58.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53%
|
- |
Truro City
Carlisle
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Truro City
47 matches
Carlisle
49 matches
| Truro City | Statistic | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 30 |
| 12 | Draws | 8 |
| 28 | Losses | 11 |
| 42 | Goals For | 94 |
| 77 | Goals Against | 61 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.92 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 27 |
| 36 | Over 1.5 | 41 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 31 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 17 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 23 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 6 |
| 0 | Corners | 5 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 21% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Carlisle's more proactive style and Truro City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Carlisle. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Carlisle carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 89 points while Truro City sit 24 on 31, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Carlisle having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Truro City approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 24 with 31 points from 44 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 27 losses, together with goals at 40:71, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through L. Jephcott (7 goals), T. Harvey (5 goals), D. Johnson-Fisher (4 goals), with creative support from C. Riley-Lowe (6 assists), L. Jephcott (5 assists), C. Oxlade-Chamberlain (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Carlisle approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 89 points after 44 outings. The return of 27 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats, together with goals at 83:51, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through R. Linney (18 goals), G. Kelly (12 goals), L. Armstrong (10 goals), with creative support from R. Linney (10 assists), C. Conn-Clarke (7 assists), J. Ellis (7 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 13 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Truro City won 0 times, Carlisle won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:4 from Truro City's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Lineups
Truro City
Plymouth
Truro City
Exeter City
Truro City
Aldershot Town
Truro City
Boston United
Truro City
Forest Green
Truro City
Yeovil Town
Truro City
Boreham Wood
Truro City
Solihull Moors
Truro City
Sutton Utd
Truro City
Scunthorpe
Truro City
Hartlepool
Truro City
Altrincham
Truro City
Southend
Truro City
Braintree
Truro City
Eastleigh
Truro City
Gateshead
Truro City
FC Halifax Town
Truro City
Woking
Truro City
Morecambe
Truro City
Rochdale
Carlisle
Worthing
Carlisle
Derby County U21
Carlisle
Salford City
Carlisle
Darlington 1883
Carlisle
Boreham Wood
Carlisle
Brackley Town
Carlisle
Sutton Utd
Carlisle
Morecambe
Carlisle
Gateshead
Carlisle
Braintree
Carlisle
FC Halifax Town
Carlisle
Boston United
Carlisle
Tamworth
Carlisle
Aldershot Town
Carlisle
Southend
Carlisle
Eastleigh
Carlisle
Hartlepool
Carlisle
Yeovil Town
Carlisle
Forest Green
Carlisle
Scunthorpe
Truro City
Plymouth
Truro City
Exeter City
Truro City
Forest Green
Truro City
Boreham Wood
Truro City
Solihull Moors
Truro City
Scunthorpe
Truro City
Hartlepool
Truro City
Braintree
Truro City
Gateshead
Truro City
Woking
Truro City
Brackley Town
Truro City
Tamworth
Truro City
Yeovil Town
Truro City
Wealdstone
Truro City
Sutton Utd
Truro City
Altrincham
Truro City
FC Halifax Town
Truro City
AFC Totton
Truro City
Eastleigh
Truro City
Morecambe
Carlisle
Derby County U21
Carlisle
Darlington 1883
Carlisle
Morecambe
Carlisle
Braintree
Carlisle
FC Halifax Town
Carlisle
Tamworth
Carlisle
Aldershot Town
Carlisle
Eastleigh
Carlisle
Hartlepool
Carlisle
Forest Green
Carlisle
Rochdale
Carlisle
Solihull Moors
Carlisle
Chatham Town
Carlisle
Gateshead
Carlisle
Boreham Wood
Carlisle
Harborough Town
Carlisle
Blackpool
Carlisle
Boston United
Carlisle
Southend
Carlisle
Reading
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 114:41 | 73 | 108 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 33 | 7 | 6 | 88:41 | 47 | 106 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 |
Carlisle
Away
|
46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 87:51 | 36 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
| 4 | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 95:58 | 37 | 90 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 77:62 | 15 | 82 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 83:47 | 36 | 81 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 82:52 | 30 | 81 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 69:66 | 3 | 70 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 54:59 | -5 | 68 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 69:54 | 15 | 63 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 63:71 | -8 | 62 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 63:67 | -4 | 59 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 55:65 | -10 | 57 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 71:72 | -1 | 56 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 67:74 | -7 | 56 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 48:68 | -20 | 51 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 57:80 | -23 | 50 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 8 | 24 | 54:90 | -36 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 59:79 | -20 | 47 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 69:87 | -18 | 46 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 40:75 | -35 | 42 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 66:103 | -37 | 38 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 38:76 | -38 | 36 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 24 |
Truro City
Home
|
46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 42:72 | -30 | 34 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
