VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 44.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
44.5%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Trujillanos FC Win 44.5%
Draw 15.2%
Monagas SC Win 40.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Trujillanos FC1.05
Monagas SC1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Trujillanos FC Trujillanos FC
WWDLW
12 GF / 32 GA
Monagas SC Monagas SC
WLDWL
19 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
1.06
1.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
8
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Trujillanos FC Trujillanos FC 18 matches
Monagas SC Monagas SC 18 matches
Trujillanos FC Statistic Monagas SC
1 Wins 4
5 Draws 3
12 Losses 11
12 Goals For 19
32 Goals Against 29
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
1.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
8 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 13
7 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 4
9 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Monagas SC. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Monagas SC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Trujillanos FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Trujillanos FC Analysis

Trujillanos FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 4 points from 13 matches. Their record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 9:26, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Monagas SC Analysis

So far, Monagas SC have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 11 points from 13 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, while the 14:22 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Trujillanos FC won 3 times, Monagas SC won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:16 from Trujillanos FC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.23 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.8%)
H2H summary: Trujillanos FC wins 3, draws 5, Monagas SC wins 5
Last matches: Trujillanos FC
21.08.26
Pri
Trujillanos FC
Anzoátegui FC
0
0
D
15.08.26
Pri
Trujillanos FC
Portuguesa FC
0
1
L
09.08.26
Pri
Trujillanos FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
3
L
04.08.26
Pri
Trujillanos FC
Carabobo FC
0
2
L
01.08.26
Pri
Trujillanos FC
UCV
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Trujillanos FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
1
L
21.04.26
Pri
Trujillanos FC
Puerto Cabello
1
3
L
12.04.26
Pri
Trujillanos FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Trujillanos FC
Rayo Zuliano
1
3
L
22.03.26
Pri
Trujillanos FC
Zamora FC
0
3
L
17.03.26
Pri
Trujillanos FC
Caracas FC
2
4
L
14.03.26
Pri
Trujillanos FC
Metropolitanos FC
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pri
Trujillanos FC
Monagas SC
1
3
L
01.03.26
Pri
Trujillanos FC
Anzoátegui FC
1
1
D
22.02.26
Pri
Trujillanos FC
Portuguesa FC
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
Trujillanos FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
0
0
D
08.02.26
Pri
Trujillanos FC
Carabobo FC
1
1
D
01.02.26
Pri
Trujillanos FC
UCV
0
2
L
Last matches: Monagas SC
23.08.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Portuguesa FC
0
0
D
16.08.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Deportivo Tachira FC
2
3
L
08.08.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Carabobo FC
1
0
W
04.08.26
Pri
Monagas SC
UCV
1
2
L
01.08.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
3
L
11.04.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Rayo Zuliano
3
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Zamora FC
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Caracas FC
1
1
D
18.03.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Metropolitanos FC
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Anzoátegui FC
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Trujillanos FC
3
1
W
27.02.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Portuguesa FC
0
4
L
22.02.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Deportivo Tachira FC
2
3
L
13.02.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Carabobo FC
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
Monagas SC
UCV
0
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
2
L
H2H: Trujillanos FC vs Monagas SC
08.03.26
H2H
Monagas SC
Trujillanos FC
3
1
L
07.07.24
H2H
Trujillanos FC
Monagas SC
0
1
L
30.09.20
H2H
Monagas SC
Trujillanos FC
0
0
D
26.04.20
H2H
Trujillanos FC
Monagas SC
0
0
D
07.09.19
H2H
Trujillanos FC
Monagas SC
3
2
W
27.03.19
H2H
Monagas SC
Trujillanos FC
2
1
L
01.09.18
H2H
Monagas SC
Trujillanos FC
1
1
D
11.03.18
H2H
Trujillanos FC
Monagas SC
1
0
W
07.10.17
H2H
Monagas SC
Trujillanos FC
1
1
D
30.04.17
H2H
Trujillanos FC
Monagas SC
0
0
D
18.09.16
H2H
Monagas SC
Trujillanos FC
2
1
L
09.04.16
H2H
Trujillanos FC
Monagas SC
1
1
D
20.02.13
H2H
Trujillanos FC
Monagas SC
1
0
W
16.09.12
H2H
Monagas SC
Trujillanos FC
2
1
L
13.05.12
H2H
Monagas SC
Trujillanos FC
1
1
D
Last matches: Trujillanos FC
09.08.26
Pri
Trujillanos FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
3
L
01.08.26
Pri
Trujillanos FC
UCV
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Trujillanos FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Trujillanos FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
0
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Trujillanos FC
Zamora FC
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
Trujillanos FC
Metropolitanos FC
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
Trujillanos FC
Anzoátegui FC
1
1
D
22.02.26
Pri
Trujillanos FC
Portuguesa FC
2
2
D
08.02.26
Pri
Trujillanos FC
Carabobo FC
1
1
D
H2H at home: Trujillanos FC
07.07.24
H2H
Trujillanos FC
Monagas SC
0
1
L
26.04.20
H2H
Trujillanos FC
Monagas SC
0
0
D
07.09.19
H2H
Trujillanos FC
Monagas SC
3
2
W
11.03.18
H2H
Trujillanos FC
Monagas SC
1
0
W
30.04.17
H2H
Trujillanos FC
Monagas SC
0
0
D
09.04.16
H2H
Trujillanos FC
Monagas SC
1
1
D
20.02.13
H2H
Trujillanos FC
Monagas SC
1
0
W
Last matches: Monagas SC
16.08.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Deportivo Tachira FC
2
3
L
04.08.26
Pri
Monagas SC
UCV
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
3
L
04.04.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Zamora FC
1
2
L
18.03.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Metropolitanos FC
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Portuguesa FC
0
4
L
13.02.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Carabobo FC
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
2
L
H2H away: Monagas SC
07.07.24
H2H
Trujillanos FC
Monagas SC
0
1
W
26.04.20
H2H
Trujillanos FC
Monagas SC
0
0
D
07.09.19
H2H
Trujillanos FC
Monagas SC
3
2
L
11.03.18
H2H
Trujillanos FC
Monagas SC
1
0
L
30.04.17
H2H
Trujillanos FC
Monagas SC
0
0
D
09.04.16
H2H
Trujillanos FC
Monagas SC
1
1
D
20.02.13
H2H
Trujillanos FC
Monagas SC
1
0
L

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 6 0 15:6 9 27
W D W D W
2 13 7 4 2 17:10 7 25
W W D L W
3 13 7 3 3 17:12 5 24
W D L W W
4 13 7 2 4 24:20 4 23
L D L W L
5 13 5 5 3 20:12 8 20
W D W L D
6 13 6 2 5 21:18 3 20
L W W W L
7 13 4 7 2 23:14 9 19
L W W D D
8 13 4 5 4 16:14 2 17
D W L L D
9 13 4 5 4 14:14 0 17
D D D W W
10 13 3 6 4 15:17 -2 15
W D L W D
11 13 4 2 7 13:23 -10 14
L L L W D
12 13 3 2 8 14:22 -8 11
D L W L D
13 13 2 3 8 15:25 -10 9
D L W L L
14 13 0 4 9 9:26 -17 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)