NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Romssa Arena
Referee: Kristoffer Hagenes, Norway
Tromso
Match Timeline
Molde
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
David Edvardsson
Tromso
🔄
57'
O. Spiten-Nysaeter ↔ C. Zady
Molde
🔄
57'
S. Granaas ↔ T. Kone-Doherty
Molde
🟨
59'
Albert Posiadała
Molde
🔄
71'
J. Hjerto-Dahl ↔ T. Nyhammer
Tromso
🔄
73'
M. Tonnessen ↔ J. Husebo
Tromso
80'
I. Vadebu · Assist: R. Jenssen
Tromso
🔄
81'
F. Gulbrandsen ↔ V. Bender
Molde
🔄
81'
V. Hoff ↔ J. Christensen
Molde
🔄
84'
H. Larsen ↔ D. Braut
Tromso
🟨
88'
Emil Breivik
Molde
🟨
90+7'
Alexander Warneryd
Tromso
🔄
90+1'
S. Kabini ↔ I. Amundsen
Molde
90'
T. Nyhammer · Assist: D. Braut
Tromso

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 36.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
36.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tromso Win 76.1%
Draw 0%
Molde Win 24%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tromso1.29
Molde1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tromso Tromso
WWDLW
20 GF / 9 GA
Molde Molde
WLDWL
23 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.77
0.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
4
BTTS Yes
8
4
Over 2.5
6
5.44
Shots on Goal
4.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tromso Tromso 14 matches
Molde Molde 13 matches
Tromso Statistic Molde
9 Wins 6
4 Draws 4
1 Losses 3
20 Goals For 23
9 Goals Against 14
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.77
0.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
4 BTTS Yes 8
9 Over 1.5 9
4 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
5.44 Shots On Goal 4.57
13.89 Total Shots 12
6.44 Corners 4.43
49.9% Ball Possession 57.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Molde. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Tromso expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Molde in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Molde having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Tromso Analysis

Placed 1 with 20 points from 9 outings, Tromso continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 15:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Hjerto-Dahl (5 goals), H. Larsen (3 goals), A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd (2 goals), with creative support from R. Jenssen (4 assists), J. Hjerto-Dahl (1 assists), H. Larsen (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Molde Analysis

Molde come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 13 points after 7 matches. With 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 14:8, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by E. Breivik (6 goals), Fredrik Gulbrandsen (3 goals), Eirik Hestad (2 goals), with creative support from Eirik Hestad (1 assists), J. Abdullai (1 assists), Sondre Milian Granaas (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Tromso won 5 times, Molde won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:26 from Tromso's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.31 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Tromso 5-3-2 / Molde 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Tromso 2, Molde 7
H2H summary: Tromso wins 5, draws 1, Molde wins 7
Stats
Tromso Tromso
Molde Molde
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
6
5 Corner Kicks 4
11 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 1
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 5
5 Blocked Shots 6
12 Shots insidebox 11
6 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
461 Total passes 590
385 Passes accurate 500
1.98 expected_goals 1.16
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Tromso
Formation
Molde
J. Haugaard
J. Haugaard
L. Cornic
L. Cornic
I. Vadebu
I. Vadebu
T. Guddal
T. Guddal
M. Tonnessen
M. Tonnessen
A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd
A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd
D. Edvardsson
D. Edvardsson
R. Jenssen
🎯
R. Jenssen
J. Hjerto-Dahl
J. Hjerto-Dahl
L. O. Larsen
L. O. Larsen
H. Larsen
H. Larsen
A. Posiadala
A. Posiadala
H. Stenevik
H. Stenevik
S. Hansen
S. Hansen
B. Risa
B. Risa
S. Kabini
S. Kabini
V. Hoff
V. Hoff
M. Daehli
M. Daehli
S. Granaas
S. Granaas
E. Breivik
E. Breivik
O. Spiten-Nysaeter
O. Spiten-Nysaeter
F. Gulbrandsen
F. Gulbrandsen
Tromso 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
J. Haugaard
G
2
L. Cornic
D
30
I. Vadebu
⚽ 80'
D
21
T. Guddal
D
3
M. Tonnessen
↓ 73'
D
29
A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd
🟨 90+7'
D
5
D. Edvardsson
🟨 27'
M
11
R. Jenssen
🎯 80'
M
6
J. Hjerto-Dahl
↓ 71'
M
7
L. O. Larsen
F
22
H. Larsen
↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
12
O. Lauvli
G
9
D. Braut
🎯 90' ↑ 84'
F
27
M. Mikkelsen
M
92
J. Nois
M
24
J. Husebo
↑ 73'
D
10
T. Nyhammer
⚽ 90' ↑ 71'
M
37
S. Innvaer
M
19
A. L. Elvebu
M
Molde 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
A. Posiadala
🟨 59'
G
18
H. Stenevik
D
4
S. Hansen
D
33
B. Risa
D
26
S. Kabini
↓ 90+1'
D
15
V. Hoff
↓ 81'
M
17
M. Daehli
M
23
S. Granaas
↓ 57'
M
10
E. Breivik
🟨 88'
M
21
O. Spiten-Nysaeter
↓ 57'
M
8
F. Gulbrandsen
↓ 81'
F
Substitutes
12
P. Lervik
G
25
M. Linnes
D
19
E. Haugan
D
11
C. Zady
↑ 57'
F
6
I. Amundsen
↑ 90+1'
D
28
V. Bender
↑ 81'
M
14
J. Christensen
↑ 81'
M
24
T. Kone-Doherty
↑ 57'
F
44
I. Gosik
F
Last matches: Tromso
29.05.26
Eli
Tromso
KFUM Oslo
0
0
D
25.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Aalesund
1
1
D
16.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Bodo/Glimt
0
5
L
03.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Start
1
1
D
29.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Brann
0
5
L
26.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Sandefjord
3
1
W
19.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
0
W
15.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Lillestrom
0
0
D
11.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Kristiansund BK
2
0
W
06.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Rosenborg
2
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Tromso
Start
1
0
W
22.03.26
Eli
Tromso
Brann
2
1
W
15.03.26
Eli
Tromso
Fredrikstad
4
0
W
27.02.26
Fri
Tromso
Lillestrom
0
0
D
20.02.26
Fri
Tromso
Viking
1
1
D
13.02.26
Fri
Tromso
Bryne
1
0
W
18.01.26
Fri
Tromso
Lyn
2
0
W
Last matches: Molde
21.06.26
Fri
Molde
KFUM Oslo
5
1
W
30.05.26
Eli
Molde
Sandefjord
2
1
W
25.05.26
Eli
Molde
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Molde
Kristiansund BK
1
0
W
04.05.26
Eli
Molde
Bodo/Glimt
1
0
W
26.04.26
Eli
Molde
Valerenga
5
1
W
19.04.26
Eli
Molde
Start
1
1
D
12.04.26
Eli
Molde
Ham-Kam
4
1
W
06.04.26
Eli
Molde
Lillestrom
0
1
L
21.03.26
Eli
Molde
Viking
1
4
L
14.03.26
Eli
Molde
Rosenborg
2
0
W
27.02.26
Fri
Molde
Aalesund
4
1
W
17.02.26
Fri
Molde
Viking
2
2
D
15.02.26
Fri
Molde
Brattvåg
2
1
W
12.02.26
Fri
Molde
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0
1
L
06.02.26
Fri
Molde
Kristiansund BK
0
0
D
02.02.26
Fri
Molde
Træff
1
1
D
H2H: Tromso vs Molde
10.05.26
H2H
Tromso
Molde
2
0
W
24.08.25
H2H
Molde
Tromso
2
0
L
05.07.25
H2H
Tromso
Molde
1
0
W
28.09.24
H2H
Molde
Tromso
5
3
L
28.06.24
H2H
Tromso
Molde
0
2
L
30.10.23
H2H
Molde
Tromso
1
4
W
10.04.23
H2H
Tromso
Molde
1
0
W
01.10.22
H2H
Tromso
Molde
0
1
L
10.07.22
H2H
Molde
Tromso
5
1
L
16.10.21
H2H
Molde
Tromso
3
0
L
07.08.21
H2H
Molde
Tromso
0
0
D
30.06.21
H2H
Tromso
Molde
0
0
D
13.05.21
H2H
Tromso
Molde
3
3
D
15.09.19
H2H
Molde
Tromso
3
0
L
26.05.19
H2H
Tromso
Molde
2
1
W
Last matches: Tromso
25.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Aalesund
1
1
D
29.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Brann
0
5
L
26.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Sandefjord
3
1
W
15.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Lillestrom
0
0
D
11.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Kristiansund BK
2
0
W
06.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Rosenborg
2
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Tromso
Start
1
0
W
15.03.26
Eli
Tromso
Fredrikstad
4
0
W
27.02.26
Fri
Tromso
Lillestrom
0
0
D
20.02.26
Fri
Tromso
Viking
1
1
D
13.02.26
Fri
Tromso
Bryne
1
0
W
H2H at home: Tromso
10.05.26
H2H
Tromso
Molde
2
0
W
05.07.25
H2H
Tromso
Molde
1
0
W
28.06.24
H2H
Tromso
Molde
0
2
L
10.04.23
H2H
Tromso
Molde
1
0
W
01.10.22
H2H
Tromso
Molde
0
1
L
30.06.21
H2H
Tromso
Molde
0
0
D
13.05.21
H2H
Tromso
Molde
3
3
D
26.05.19
H2H
Tromso
Molde
2
1
W
Last matches: Molde
25.05.26
Eli
Molde
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
2
L
04.05.26
Eli
Molde
Bodo/Glimt
1
0
W
19.04.26
Eli
Molde
Start
1
1
D
21.03.26
Eli
Molde
Viking
1
4
L
H2H away: Molde
10.05.26
H2H
Tromso
Molde
2
0
L
05.07.25
H2H
Tromso
Molde
1
0
L
28.06.24
H2H
Tromso
Molde
0
2
W
10.04.23
H2H
Tromso
Molde
1
0
L
01.10.22
H2H
Tromso
Molde
0
1
W
30.06.21
H2H
Tromso
Molde
0
0
D
13.05.21
H2H
Tromso
Molde
3
3
D
26.05.19
H2H
Tromso
Molde
2
1
L

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 0 1 29:10 19 27
W W W W W
2 13 7 4 2 18:14 4 25
D D L W D
3 11 7 2 2 28:11 17 23
D W W W L
4 11 6 1 4 17:11 6 19
L L W L W
5
Molde Away
11 6 1 4 18:13 5 19
W L W L W
6 10 5 2 3 17:16 1 17
D W L W D
7 11 4 2 5 13:16 -3 14
W W L W L
8 11 4 2 5 10:13 -3 14
L D L W W
9 11 4 2 5 13:17 -4 14
W L W L D
10 11 4 2 5 15:20 -5 14
W D W L L
11 12 4 1 7 24:20 4 13
L L L W W
12 11 3 3 5 12:17 -5 12
D W L L D
13 11 2 5 4 15:20 -5 11
D D W W L
14 11 3 2 6 11:18 -7 11
L L W L L
15 11 2 3 6 9:18 -9 9
D L L W L
16 12 1 4 7 13:28 -15 7
L W L L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Tromso 2 missing
-
J. Grundt
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
V. Ekblom
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
Molde 7 missing
-
D. Daga
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
F. Dahl
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
C. Oyvann
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
I. Amundsen
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
M. Kikkenborg
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
C. Zady
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
E. Hestad
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT