ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
05.09.2026 18:00
Estadio 20 de Octubre
Tristan Suarez
Match Timeline
San Martin Tucuman
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
M. Guzman
Tristan Suarez
🔄
46'
N. Gallardo ↔ R. Ayala
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
46'
M. Garcia ↔ S. Brinone
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
46'
N. Castro ↔ D. Diellos
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
63'
A. Veliez ↔ A. Cisnero
San Martin Tucuman
🟨
66'
R. Ayala
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
75'
M. Veron ↔ G. Monroy
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
77'
K. Colli ↔ N. Sanchez
Tristan Suarez
🔄
77'
D. Becker ↔ J. Beron
Tristan Suarez
🔄
80'
A. Gallo ↔ M. Alvarez
Tristan Suarez
🟨
90+1'
B. Cabrera
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
90+4'
D. Mastrangelo ↔ S. Aquino
Tristan Suarez
🔄
90+4'
M. Guillen ↔ M. Olguin
Tristan Suarez
90'
M. Enrique
Tristan Suarez

Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.2%
Odds 2.24
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 2.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 3.37
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.2%
2.24
BTTS Yes
75.1%
2.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
3.37
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.68
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Tristan Suarez Win 65.2%
Draw 3.7%
San Martin Tucuman Win 31.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tristan Suarez0.99
San Martin Tucuman0.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez
WWDLW
29 GF / 16 GA
San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman
WLDWL
28 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
0.97
0.59
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
9
BTTS Yes
13
8
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 27 matches
San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 29 matches
Tristan Suarez Statistic San Martin Tucuman
13 Wins 8
9 Draws 14
5 Losses 7
29 Goals For 28
16 Goals Against 25
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
0.59 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
9 BTTS Yes 13
13 Over 1.5 20
8 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 2
16 Clean Sheets 11
9 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Martin Tucuman having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Tristan Suarez arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 48 points compared to San Martin Tucuman in 10 on 35, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring San Martin Tucuman. Tristan Suarez come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Tristan Suarez Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 48 points from 25 games, Tristan Suarez bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 13 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses, with a 28:13 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

San Martin Tucuman Analysis

San Martin Tucuman sit 10 with 35 points after 26 league matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 11 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 26:23 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Tristan Suarez won 0 times, San Martin Tucuman won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from Tristan Suarez's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 0.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
Predicted formations: Tristan Suarez 4-2-3-1 / San Martin Tucuman -
H2H summary: Tristan Suarez wins 0, draws 4, San Martin Tucuman wins 2

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 14 11 4 31:15 16 53
D D W L W
2 30 14 11 5 36:24 12 53
W D W W W
3 30 15 8 7 45:36 9 53
D W W D D
4 29 15 3 11 34:28 6 48
W W L L W
5 30 13 8 9 34:25 9 47
W W L L W
6 30 12 9 9 33:27 6 45
W D L W W
7 30 12 9 9 31:27 4 45
L D W W L
8 30 11 9 10 25:26 -1 42
W L L W D
9 30 11 8 11 37:31 6 41
D D D L W
10 30 11 7 12 29:30 -1 40
L W L W W
11 30 9 12 9 32:30 2 39
L W L D W
12 30 9 9 12 26:34 -8 36
W L W D L
13 30 9 8 13 28:27 1 35
L W L L L
14 30 9 8 13 26:36 -10 35
L D L W D
15 29 8 8 13 21:28 -7 32
L W L L L
16 29 5 15 9 23:30 -7 30
D D L W D
17 30 8 6 16 22:31 -9 30
W L L L L
18 30 5 8 17 23:51 -28 23
L L L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation