UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Lima H2H Stats
Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.
View today's football H2H statsUCV Moquegua vs Alianza Lima Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
83.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Lima
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
UCV Moquegua
30 matches
Alianza Lima
34 matches
| UCV Moquegua | Statistic | Alianza Lima |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 19 |
| 7 | Draws | 9 |
| 16 | Losses | 6 |
| 25 | Goals For | 54 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 0.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.59 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.76 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.24 | Shots On Goal | 5.03 |
| 10.38 | Total Shots | 15.94 |
| 3.38 | Corners | 4.68 |
| 42% | Ball Possession | 56.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Alianza Lima's more proactive style and UCV Moquegua's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Alianza Lima carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 59 points while UCV Moquegua sit 17 on 25, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. UCV Moquegua have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Alianza Lima. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
UCV Moquegua approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 25 points from 28 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 7 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 24:43 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Lastre (6 goals), R. Chipao (3 goals), B. Angulo (3 goals), with creative support from E. Lastre (5 assists), Y. Zapata (4 assists), N. Amasifuén (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Alianza Lima come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 59 points from 28 matches. The record of 17 wins, 8 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 46:19 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Castillo (15 goals), J. Vélez (4 goals), F. Girotti (3 goals), with creative support from J. Vélez (6 assists), E. Castillo (3 assists), M. Huamán (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, UCV Moquegua won 0 times, Alianza Lima won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from UCV Moquegua's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alianza Lima
Away
|
32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 53:23 | 30 | 68 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 57:37 | 20 | 60 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 56:38 | 18 | 57 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 50:35 | 15 | 54 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 63:48 | 15 | 51 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 46:47 | -1 | 51 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 54:46 | 8 | 50 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 48:49 | -1 | 50 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 49:48 | 1 | 49 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 47 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 37:35 | 2 | 45 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 48:59 | -11 | 41 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 37 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 36 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36:48 | -12 | 32 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 46:65 | -19 | 31 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
UCV Moquegua
Home
|
32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 25:46 | -21 | 29 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
| 18 | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 38:58 | -20 | 18 |
L
W
L
L
L
|