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ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
03.10.2026 18:00
Estadio 20 de Octubre
Tristan Suarez
Match Timeline
Quilmes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
S. Ramirez ↔ G. Banuera
Tristan Suarez
🟨
53'
M. Enrique
Tristan Suarez
🔄
54'
M. Enrique ↔ N. Sanchez
Tristan Suarez
🔄
59'
R. Conechny ↔ A. Gallo
Tristan Suarez
🔄
69'
M. Fernandez ↔ R. Martinez
Quilmes
🟥
74'
A. Kippes
Quilmes
🟨
78'
L. Romeo
Quilmes
🔄
79'
A. Spetale ↔ P. Bonacci
Quilmes
🔄
80'
B. Aguilar ↔ M. Olguin
Tristan Suarez
🔄
81'
D. Becker ↔ A. Berrondo
Tristan Suarez
🔄
88'
A. Batista ↔ J. Yangali
Quilmes
🟨
90'
N. Fernandez
Tristan Suarez

Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 71.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
- ▥
BTTS No
71.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Tristan Suarez Win 88%
Draw 5.2%
Quilmes Win 6.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tristan Suarez0.95
Quilmes0.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez
WWDLW
32 GF / 16 GA
Quilmes Quilmes
WLDWL
30 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.97
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.87
9
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 32 matches
Quilmes Quilmes 31 matches
Tristan Suarez Statistic Quilmes
15 Wins 10
12 Draws 8
5 Losses 13
32 Goals For 30
16 Goals Against 27
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.87
9 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 14
8 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 3
21 Clean Sheets 13
12 Failed To Score 16
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Quilmes arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Tristan Suarez arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 54 points compared to Quilmes in 13 on 35, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Quilmes. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Quilmes having the stronger overall control.

Tristan Suarez Analysis

Tristan Suarez come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 54 points from 30 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 12 draws, and 4 losses, while the 31:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Quilmes Analysis

Quilmes approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 35 points from 30 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 28:27 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Tristan Suarez won 3 times, Quilmes won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:10 from Tristan Suarez's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
H2H summary: Tristan Suarez wins 3, draws 3, Quilmes wins 2

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 15 14 4 32:15 17 59
D D W D D
2 33 16 11 6 40:27 13 59
W W L W D
3 33 18 4 11 39:30 9 58
W W W D W
4 33 15 10 8 50:42 8 55
D L D D W
5 33 14 9 10 38:26 12 51
W D L W W
6 33 13 10 10 34:30 4 49
D L W L D
7 33 13 9 11 40:32 8 48
D W W D D
8 33 13 8 12 32:31 1 47
D W W L W
9 33 12 10 11 35:33 2 46
D L L W D
10 33 10 13 10 35:33 2 43
L W D L W
11 33 11 9 13 27:34 -7 42
L L L W L
12 33 11 8 14 30:39 -9 41
W W L L D
13 33 10 10 13 27:35 -8 40
W D L W L
14 33 10 9 14 30:28 2 39
L D W L W
15 33 7 16 10 29:32 -3 37
W L W D D
16 33 9 9 15 24:32 -8 36
L L W D L
17 33 9 6 18 25:35 -10 33
L W L W L
18 33 5 8 20 23:56 -33 23
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation