ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
21.09.2026 18:00
Estadio 20 de Octubre

Tristan Suarez vs Atlanta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.3%
Odds 1.91
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.39
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.3%
1.91
BTTS No
65.8%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.39
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
2.28
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10
Correct Score 2-0
-
7.00
Probability Distribution
Tristan Suarez Win 71.3%
Draw 4.1%
Atlanta Win 24.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tristan Suarez1.02
Atlanta0.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez
WWDLW
31 GF / 16 GA
Atlanta Atlanta
WLDWL
34 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
1.13
0.53
Average Goals Conceded
1
9
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 30 matches
Atlanta Atlanta 30 matches
Tristan Suarez Statistic Atlanta
14 Wins 15
11 Draws 3
5 Losses 12
31 Goals For 34
16 Goals Against 30
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
0.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1
9 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 18
8 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 5
19 Clean Sheets 13
11 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atlanta. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atlanta having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Tristan Suarez Analysis

Tristan Suarez come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 52 points after 28 matches. The return of 14 wins, 10 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 31:15, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Atlanta Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 48 points from 29 games, Atlanta bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 15 wins, 3 draws, and 11 defeats plus a goal balance of 34:28, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tristan Suarez won 2 times, Atlanta won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:23 from Tristan Suarez's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Tristan Suarez 4-2-3-1 / Atlanta -
H2H summary: Tristan Suarez wins 2, draws 6, Atlanta wins 7

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 14 11 4 31:15 16 53
D D W L W
2 30 14 11 5 36:24 12 53
W D W W W
3 29 15 7 7 44:35 9 52
W W D D W
4 29 15 3 11 34:28 6 48
W W L L W
5 29 12 9 8 31:26 5 45
D W W L D
6 29 12 8 9 32:25 7 44
W L L W L
7 29 11 9 9 31:27 4 42
D L W W W
8 30 11 9 10 25:26 -1 42
W L L W D
9 29 11 7 11 36:30 6 40
D D L W W
10 29 11 7 11 29:28 1 40
W L W W D
11 30 9 12 9 32:30 2 39
L W L D W
12 29 9 8 12 28:24 4 35
W L L L W
13 30 9 8 13 26:36 -10 35
L D L W D
14 29 8 9 12 25:34 -9 33
L W D L W
15 29 8 8 13 21:28 -7 32
L W L L L
16 29 5 15 9 23:30 -7 30
D D L W D
17 29 7 6 16 19:31 -12 27
L L L L D
18 29 5 8 16 23:49 -26 23
L L D D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation