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BRAZIL › SERIE D
27.06.2026 18:30
Trem
Match Timeline
Sampaio Correa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
Patrik
Sampaio Correa
⚽
5'
Warllem Mateus
Sampaio Correa
⚽
29'
Wanderson Gotinha
Trem
🟥
90+8'
Sampaio Correa
Sampaio Correa

Trem vs Sampaio Correa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Trem Win 71.3%
Draw 4.3%
Sampaio Correa Win 24.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Trem1.44
Sampaio Correa1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Trem Trem
WWDLW
21 GF / 13 GA
Sampaio Correa Sampaio Correa
WLDWL
12 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.91
Average Goals Scored
1.09
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
0.73
5
BTTS Yes
3
5
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Trem Trem 11 matches
Sampaio Correa Sampaio Correa 11 matches
Trem Statistic Sampaio Correa
7 Wins 3
2 Draws 4
2 Losses 4
21 Goals For 12
13 Goals Against 8
1.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 0.73
5 BTTS Yes 3
9 Over 1.5 5
5 Over 2.5 3
4 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sampaio Correa having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sampaio Correa. Trem arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 20 points compared to Sampaio Correa in 4 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Trem Analysis

Trem enter this tie with a season profile built on 20 points from 10 matches, placing them 1 in their league. With 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses plus a goal ratio of 19:13, they bring good form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Wanderson Gotinha (5 goals), Foguete (3 goals), J. Moreira (2 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. At home, the return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Sampaio Correa Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Sampaio Correa arrive from a league campaign that has them 4 with 13 points after 10 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats with goals at 12:6 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on Gean (4 goals), C. Peu (2 goals), Elias (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Trem won 1 times, Sampaio Correa won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Trem's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
H2H summary: Trem wins 1, draws 0, Sampaio Correa wins 1

Standings

Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Trem Home
10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)