Login Register
17.10.2026 12:45
Stade du Hainaut
Valenciennes
Match Timeline
Amiens
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
A. Nuss
Amiens
🟨
31'
R. Boissier
Amiens
⚽
34'
M. Colin · Assist: A. Nuss
Amiens
🟨
37'
V. Marcel
Valenciennes
🟨
56'
M. Zogba
Valenciennes
🔄
60'
C. Mbondi ↔ E. Julien
Amiens
🔄
63'
V. Marcel ↔ S. Belloumou
Valenciennes
🔄
63'
L. Boiteau ↔ J. Ndiaye
Valenciennes
🟨
68'
J. Ndiaye
Valenciennes
🔄
76'
A. Nuss ↔ G. Foll
Amiens
🔄
76'
M. Colin ↔ I. Ramla
Amiens
🔄
85'
C. Rocchia ↔ G. Courtet
Valenciennes
🔄
86'
Z. Amir ↔ A. Wahib
Valenciennes
🔄
86'
R. Boissier ↔ A. Chabane
Amiens
🔄
86'
Z. Sopromadze ↔ L. Diakite
Amiens
⚽
87'
J. Ndiaye
Valenciennes

Valenciennes vs Amiens Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 46.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
46.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Valenciennes Win 38.1%
Draw 14.9%
Amiens Win 46.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Valenciennes1.19
Amiens1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Valenciennes Valenciennes
L W L L D
6 GF / 8 GA
Amiens Amiens
W D W D W
9 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
0.76
8
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Valenciennes Valenciennes 15 matches
Amiens Amiens 17 matches
Valenciennes Statistic Amiens
5 Wins 8
5 Draws 5
5 Losses 4
22 Goals For 25
19 Goals Against 13
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 0.76
8 BTTS Yes 7
13 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Amiens's more proactive style and Valenciennes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Amiens carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 15 points while Valenciennes sit 15 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Amiens having the stronger overall control. Valenciennes have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Amiens.

Valenciennes Analysis

Valenciennes sit 15 with 8 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 9:14 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Amiens Analysis

Amiens approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 15 points after 9 outings. They have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a 12:3 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Valenciennes won 2 times, Amiens won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:15 from Valenciennes's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.83 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.1%)
H2H summary: Valenciennes wins 2, draws 4, Amiens wins 6

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 3 1 18:10 8 24
W L W W W
2 11 7 2 2 20:9 11 23
W L W L W
3 11 7 1 3 19:13 6 22
W W W W D
4 11 6 1 4 21:15 6 19
D W L W L
5 11 4 6 1 14:7 7 18
W L W D D
6 11 5 2 4 14:11 3 17
D W W L W
7 11 4 5 2 14:11 3 17
L D W D W
8 11 4 5 2 14:5 9 17
D D W D W
9 11 4 4 3 17:13 4 16
D W W L D
10 11 4 4 3 11:11 0 16
D W L W D
11 11 4 3 4 10:12 -2 15
W D D L D
12 11 3 4 4 16:17 -1 13
D L L L D
13 11 3 4 4 11:16 -5 13
L W L D D
14 12 2 5 5 12:17 -5 11
D D L D D
15 12 2 4 6 13:19 -6 10
D L D L W
16 11 2 2 7 10:24 -14 8
D W L L L
17 11 2 1 8 6:17 -11 7
L L L W L
18 11 1 2 8 5:18 -13 5
L L L D D
Promotion - Ligue 2
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion)
Relegation