BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Trem
Match Timeline
Águia de Marabá
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
51'
Rafinha
Trem
78'
Rivaldo
Trem

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 81.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
81.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Trem Win 57.6%
Draw 10.8%
Águia de Marabá Win 31.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Trem1.53
Águia de Marabá1.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Trem Trem
WWDLW
17 GF / 13 GA
Águia de Marabá Águia de Marabá
WLDWL
20 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
2.22
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Trem Trem 9 matches
Águia de Marabá Águia de Marabá 9 matches
Trem Statistic Águia de Marabá
5 Wins 5
2 Draws 3
2 Losses 1
17 Goals For 20
13 Goals Against 9
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 2.22
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1
5 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 9
5 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Águia de Marabá having the stronger overall control. Águia de Marabá look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Águia de Marabá. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Trem Analysis

Trem approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 17 points after 9 outings. With 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 17:13, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Wanderson Gotinha (5 goals), Foguete (4 goals), J. Moreira (2 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Águia de Marabá Analysis

Águia de Marabá approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 18 points after 9 outings. With 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 20:9, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Silva (7 goals), Felipe Para (4 goals), Dede (2 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Trem won 3 times, Águia de Marabá won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:3 from Trem's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.2%)
H2H summary: Trem wins 3, draws 2, Águia de Marabá wins 1
Last matches: Trem
13.07.26
Ser
Trem
America-RN
1
2
L
04.07.26
Ser
Trem
America-RN
1
4
L
27.06.26
Ser
Trem
Sampaio Correa
1
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
Trem
Sampaio Correa
2
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Trem
Tuna Luso
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Trem
Tocantinópolis
4
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Trem
Oratório
4
2
W
10.05.26
Ser
Trem
Imperatriz
0
4
L
04.05.26
Ser
Trem
Imperatriz
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Trem
Oratório
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Trem
Tocantinópolis
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Trem
Tuna Luso
3
3
D
04.04.26
Ser
Trem
Águia de Marabá
1
1
D
27.07.25
Ser
Trem
Manaus FC
0
1
L
19.07.25
Ser
Trem
Tuna Luso
2
1
W
12.07.25
Ser
Trem
GAS
1
3
L
06.07.25
Ser
Trem
Humaitá
4
2
W
29.06.25
Ser
Trem
Independência
2
2
D
14.06.25
Ser
Trem
Águia de Marabá
2
1
W
07.06.25
Ser
Trem
Manauara
0
2
L
Last matches: Águia de Marabá
12.07.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
ABC
0
3
L
04.07.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
ABC
2
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Parnahyba
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Parnahyba
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tocantinópolis
3
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Imperatriz
3
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tuna Luso
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Oratório
5
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Oratório
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tuna Luso
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Imperatriz
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tocantinópolis
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Trem
1
1
D
27.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
GAS
1
1
D
19.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Independência
4
1
W
13.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Manaus FC
3
3
D
05.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Manauara
0
1
L
29.06.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tuna Luso
0
2
L
14.06.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Trem
1
2
L
07.06.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Humaitá
6
0
W
H2H: Trem vs Águia de Marabá
06.06.26
H2H
Trem
Águia de Marabá
2
0
W
04.04.26
H2H
Águia de Marabá
Trem
1
1
D
14.06.25
H2H
Trem
Águia de Marabá
2
1
W
24.05.25
H2H
Águia de Marabá
Trem
0
2
W
14.06.23
H2H
Águia de Marabá
Trem
0
0
D
11.06.23
H2H
Trem
Águia de Marabá
0
1
L
Last matches: Trem
04.07.26
Ser
Trem
America-RN
1
4
L
27.06.26
Ser
Trem
Sampaio Correa
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Trem
Tocantinópolis
4
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Trem
Oratório
4
2
W
04.05.26
Ser
Trem
Imperatriz
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Trem
Tuna Luso
3
3
D
19.07.25
Ser
Trem
Tuna Luso
2
1
W
12.07.25
Ser
Trem
GAS
1
3
L
14.06.25
Ser
Trem
Águia de Marabá
2
1
W
01.06.25
Ser
Trem
Manauara
0
3
L
21.05.25
Ser
Trem
Independência
1
2
L
14.05.25
Ser
Trem
Humaitá
5
1
W
20.04.25
Ser
Trem
Manaus FC
1
1
D
H2H at home: Trem
06.06.26
H2H
Trem
Águia de Marabá
2
0
W
14.06.25
H2H
Trem
Águia de Marabá
2
1
W
11.06.23
H2H
Trem
Águia de Marabá
0
1
L
Last matches: Águia de Marabá
12.07.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
ABC
0
3
L
21.06.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Parnahyba
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Imperatriz
3
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tuna Luso
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Oratório
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tocantinópolis
2
2
D
27.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
GAS
1
1
D
13.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Manaus FC
3
3
D
29.06.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tuna Luso
0
2
L
14.06.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Trem
1
2
L
01.06.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Humaitá
3
1
W
11.05.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Manauara
0
0
D
27.04.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Independência
2
0
W
H2H away: Águia de Marabá
06.06.26
H2H
Trem
Águia de Marabá
2
0
L
14.06.25
H2H
Trem
Águia de Marabá
2
1
L
11.06.23
H2H
Trem
Águia de Marabá
0
1
W

Standings

Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Trem Home
10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)