SWEDEN ETTAN - SöDRA
--.--.---- --:--
Trelleborg
Match Timeline
Lund
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
A. Asani
Trelleborg
🟨
36'
L. Nicklasson
Lund
🟨
36'
V. Poppler
Trelleborg
39'
O. Ruuska · Assist: O. Gabrielsson
Trelleborg
49'
S. Lindfors
Lund
🔄
53'
A. Asani ↔ J. Christiansen
Trelleborg
🔄
53'
S. Tipura ↔ E. Jaf
Trelleborg
🔄
61'
I. Ellbring ↔ K. Fosuhene Asare
Trelleborg
🔄
65'
A. Mehmedagic ↔ F. Akdemir
Lund
🔄
77'
A. Wihlborg Costa ↔ J. Strid
Lund
🔄
80'
J. Brannefalk ↔ V. Karlsson
Trelleborg
82'
O. Gabrielsson
Trelleborg
🔄
86'
J. Jacobsson ↔ J. Getachew
Lund
🔄
86'
G. Bath Saganger ↔ D. Olofsson
Lund
🟨
88'
Trelleborg
Trelleborg
90+3'
J. Getachew
Lund

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 49.1%
Odds 1.65
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.62
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
49.1%
1.65
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.62
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Trelleborg Win 49.1%
Draw 16.3%
Lund Win 34.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Trelleborg1.61
Lund1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Trelleborg Trelleborg
WWDLW
40 GF / 24 GA
Lund Lund
WLDWL
40 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.9
Average Goals Scored
1.74
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
14
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Trelleborg Trelleborg 21 matches
Lund Lund 23 matches
Trelleborg Statistic Lund
10 Wins 11
7 Draws 6
4 Losses 6
40 Goals For 40
24 Goals Against 27
1.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.74
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
14 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 17
13 Over 2.5 13
9 Over 3.5 9
6 Clean Sheets 9
4 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Lund. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Lund having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Trelleborg come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Trelleborg Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 32 points from 14 games, Trelleborg bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 9 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, with a 33:12 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Lund Analysis

Lund come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 26 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 26:16 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Trelleborg won 2 times, Lund won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:5 from Trelleborg's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.8%)
H2H summary: Trelleborg wins 2, draws 1, Lund wins 0
Last matches: Trelleborg
18.07.26
Fri
Trelleborg
Al Diriyah
1
4
L
26.06.26
Ett
Trelleborg
Kristianstad
0
0
D
18.06.26
Ett
Trelleborg
Rosengård
3
2
W
14.06.26
Ett
Trelleborg
Hässleholms IF
2
0
W
10.06.26
Fri
Trelleborg
Osters IF
1
2
L
07.06.26
Ett
Trelleborg
Skövde AIK
4
0
W
30.05.26
Ett
Trelleborg
Eskilsminne
3
2
W
23.05.26
Ett
Trelleborg
Utsikten
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ett
Trelleborg
Trollhättan
2
2
D
14.05.26
Ett
Trelleborg
Jonkopings Sodra
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ett
Trelleborg
Atvidabergs FF
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ett
Trelleborg
Olympic
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ett
Trelleborg
Laholm
4
0
W
18.04.26
Ett
Trelleborg
Tvååker
4
1
W
11.04.26
Ett
Trelleborg
AFC Malmo
1
1
D
03.04.26
Ett
Trelleborg
Angelholms FF
5
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
Trelleborg
Eskilsminne
1
1
D
14.03.26
Fri
Trelleborg
IFK Varnamo
0
0
D
14.02.26
Fri
Trelleborg
AB Copenhagen
0
1
L
31.01.26
Fri
Trelleborg
HIK
2
1
W
Last matches: Lund
27.06.26
Ett
Lund
Skövde AIK
2
1
W
18.06.26
Ett
Lund
Jonkopings Sodra
0
0
D
12.06.26
Ett
Lund
AFC Malmo
1
4
L
07.06.26
Ett
Lund
Kristianstad
1
1
D
03.06.26
Ett
Lund
Olympic
3
1
W
22.05.26
Ett
Lund
Eskilsminne
4
2
W
17.05.26
Ett
Lund
Utsikten
5
0
W
13.05.26
Ett
Lund
Laholm
3
4
L
09.05.26
Ett
Lund
Trollhättan
1
1
D
01.05.26
Ett
Lund
Hässleholms IF
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ett
Lund
Tvååker
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ett
Lund
Angelholms FF
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ett
Lund
Atvidabergs FF
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ett
Lund
Rosengård
2
2
D
28.03.26
Fri
Lund
Kristianstad
1
2
L
21.03.26
Fri
Lund
Angelholms FF
4
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Lund
Ariana
1
3
L
03.03.26
Fri
Lund
IFK Trelleborg
0
1
L
28.02.26
Fri
Lund
Rosengård
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Lund
Eskilsminne
0
0
D
H2H: Trelleborg vs Lund
20.08.25
H2H
Lund
Trelleborg
2
3
W
07.03.25
H2H
Lund
Trelleborg
0
0
D
18.03.23
H2H
Trelleborg
Lund
0
0
D
18.03.23
H2H
Lund
Trelleborg
1
2
W
26.02.20
H2H
Lund
Trelleborg
2
2
D
Last matches: Trelleborg
18.07.26
Fri
Trelleborg
Al Diriyah
1
4
L
18.06.26
Ett
Trelleborg
Rosengård
3
2
W
10.06.26
Fri
Trelleborg
Osters IF
1
2
L
07.06.26
Ett
Trelleborg
Skövde AIK
4
0
W
17.05.26
Ett
Trelleborg
Trollhättan
2
2
D
14.05.26
Ett
Trelleborg
Jonkopings Sodra
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ett
Trelleborg
Olympic
2
1
W
18.04.26
Ett
Trelleborg
Tvååker
4
1
W
11.04.26
Ett
Trelleborg
AFC Malmo
1
1
D
28.03.26
Fri
Trelleborg
Eskilsminne
1
1
D
14.03.26
Fri
Trelleborg
IFK Varnamo
0
0
D
14.02.26
Fri
Trelleborg
AB Copenhagen
0
1
L
31.01.26
Fri
Trelleborg
HIK
2
1
W
H2H at home: Trelleborg
18.03.23
H2H
Trelleborg
Lund
0
0
D
Last matches: Lund
18.06.26
Ett
Lund
Jonkopings Sodra
0
0
D
07.06.26
Ett
Lund
Kristianstad
1
1
D
03.06.26
Ett
Lund
Olympic
3
1
W
13.05.26
Ett
Lund
Laholm
3
4
L
09.05.26
Ett
Lund
Trollhättan
1
1
D
01.05.26
Ett
Lund
Hässleholms IF
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ett
Lund
Angelholms FF
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ett
Lund
Rosengård
2
2
D
28.03.26
Fri
Lund
Kristianstad
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Lund
Eskilsminne
0
0
D
24.01.26
Fri
Lund
Linero
2
0
W
H2H away: Lund
18.03.23
H2H
Trelleborg
Lund
0
0
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.10
Draw 3.75
Home 1.65
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.40
Home 2.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.75
Home 2.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.5 1.62
Over 3.5 2.50
Over 4.5 4.33
Over 5.5 7.50
Over 6.5 11.00
Over 7.5 17.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.5 4.50
Under 2.5 2.25
Under 3.5 1.50
Under 4.5 1.20
Under 5.5 1.07
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.46
Draw 3.80
Home 1.64
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.84
Draw 2.26
Home 2.19
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.43
Draw 2.72
Home 1.95
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.06
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 1.75 1.18
Over 2.0 1.23
Over 2.25 1.43
Over 2.5 1.60
Over 2.75 1.72
Over 3.0 1.95
Over 3.25 2.26
Over 3.5 2.46
Over 3.75 2.92
Over 4.0 3.76
Over 4.25 4.10
Over 4.5 4.45
Over 4.75 5.64
Over 5.0 7.90
Over 5.5 8.70
Over 6.5 11.00
Over 7.5 17.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.0 9.30
Under 1.25 6.14
Under 1.5 4.35
Under 1.75 3.90
Under 2.0 3.42
Under 2.25 2.62
Under 2.5 2.19
Under 2.75 1.91
Under 3.0 1.69
Under 3.25 1.57
Under 3.5 1.43
Under 3.75 1.31
Under 4.0 1.19
Under 4.25 1.16
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 4.75 1.08
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 3.65
Home 1.65
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 2.43
Home 2.14
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.16
Over 2.5 1.56
Over 3.5 2.38
Over 4.5 4.10
Under 1.5 4.20
Under 2.5 2.17
Under 3.5 1.46
Under 4.5 1.17