ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
30.08.2026 16:00
Narva Kalev-Fama staadion
Referee: K. Kulljastinen
Trans Narva
Match Timeline
Tammeka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
42'
G. Uggeri · Assist: P. Veelma
Tammeka
🔄
46'
E. Zuravljov ↔ A. Ivanyushin
Trans Narva
🔄
59'
R. Silov ↔ M. Sambe
Tammeka
🔄
59'
R. Laabus ↔ Thomas Lisboa
Tammeka
🔄
62'
T. Lang ↔ Pedro Manoel
Tammeka
🔄
62'
Kauan Pereira ↔ L. Ounpuu
Tammeka
🔄
62'
G. Slein ↔ S. Agaptsev
Trans Narva
67'
P. Veelma
Tammeka
🔄
75'
T. Berardozzi ↔ A. Besigirskis
Trans Narva
🔄
80'
G. Uggeri ↔ M. Vaino
Tammeka

Trans Narva vs Tammeka Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65.2%
Odds 2.20
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.67
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65.2%
2.20
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.67
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
5.44
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Trans Narva Win 25.1%
Draw 9.7%
Tammeka Win 65.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Trans Narva1.15
Tammeka1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Trans Narva Trans Narva
WWDLW
30 GF / 69 GA
Tammeka Tammeka
WLDWL
40 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
1.43
2.16
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
16
BTTS Yes
14
22
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Trans Narva Trans Narva 32 matches
Tammeka Tammeka 28 matches
Trans Narva Statistic Tammeka
6 Wins 14
6 Draws 3
20 Losses 11
30 Goals For 40
69 Goals Against 41
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
2.16 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
16 BTTS Yes 14
27 Over 1.5 18
22 Over 2.5 16
10 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 9
13 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tammeka having the stronger overall control. Tammeka carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 32 points while Trans Narva sit 10 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Tammeka.

Trans Narva Analysis

So far, Trans Narva have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 17 points from 24 matches. The record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 17 defeats, together with a 18:55 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tammeka Analysis

Tammeka come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 32 points after 21 matches. They have recorded 10 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, with a 24:31 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Trans Narva won 7 times, Tammeka won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:20 from Trans Narva's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.3%)
H2H summary: Trans Narva wins 7, draws 2, Tammeka wins 6

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 21 5 1 74:20 54 68
W W W W W
2 28 17 1 10 56:37 19 52
W D W W L
3 28 14 5 9 49:26 23 47
W L L L L
4 27 13 6 8 43:35 8 45
L W L W W
5 27 14 2 11 36:38 -2 44
W L W L W
6 28 11 1 16 40:47 -7 34
W L L W W
7 27 10 4 13 37:52 -15 34
L W W D L
8 28 9 1 18 46:65 -19 28
L W L L L
9 28 8 4 16 31:49 -18 28
L L W D L
10 28 5 3 20 21:64 -43 18
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga