ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
08.09.2026 14:30
Narva Kalev-Fama staadion
Referee: T. Uprus
Trans Narva
Match Timeline
Flora Tallinn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
O. Pihela
Trans Narva
27'
Y. Betancor · Assist: G. Slein
Trans Narva
33'
D. Kuraksin
Flora Tallinn
43'
T. Teevali
Flora Tallinn
🔄
46'
R. Sammul ↔ M. Kolobov
Flora Tallinn
🔄
60'
D. Kuraksin ↔ S. Alamaa
Flora Tallinn
🔄
60'
T. Teevali ↔ R. Valdmets
Flora Tallinn
🟨
62'
I. Antonov
Flora Tallinn
🔄
66'
S. Zenjov ↔ E. Sorga
Flora Tallinn
🟨
73'
T. Berardozzi
Trans Narva
🔄
77'
I. Antonov ↔ T. Usta
Flora Tallinn
🟨
77'
S. Agaptsev
Trans Narva
🟨
81'
R. Alliku
Flora Tallinn
🔄
82'
S. Agaptsev ↔ A. Besigirskis
Trans Narva
🔄
84'
G. Slein ↔ E. Zuravljov
Trans Narva
🔄
89'
M. Velijev ↔ D. Poliakov
Trans Narva
🔄
89'
A. Gero ↔ N. Baljabkin
Trans Narva
🟨
90'
Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
🟨
90'
E. Zuravljov
Trans Narva
🟨
90+2'
W. Awusi
Trans Narva

Trans Narva vs Flora Tallinn Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 76.4%
Odds 1.17
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.59
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
76.4%
1.17
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.59
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
2.17
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.75
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Trans Narva Win 23.6%
Draw 22.7%
Flora Tallinn Win 53.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Trans Narva1.08
Flora Tallinn1.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Trans Narva Trans Narva
WWDLW
31 GF / 74 GA
Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn
WLDWL
67 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
0.91
Average Goals Scored
1.72
2.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
17
BTTS Yes
18
23
Over 2.5
28
0
Shots on Goal
1.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Trans Narva Trans Narva 34 matches
Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn 39 matches
Trans Narva Statistic Flora Tallinn
6 Wins 21
6 Draws 2
22 Losses 16
31 Goals For 67
74 Goals Against 52
0.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.72
2.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
17 BTTS Yes 18
29 Over 1.5 31
23 Over 2.5 28
11 Over 3.5 15
5 Clean Sheets 13
14 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 1.14
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 1.86
0% Ball Possession 14%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Flora Tallinn's more proactive style and Trans Narva's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Flora Tallinn. Flora Tallinn carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 42 points while Trans Narva sit 10 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Flora Tallinn having the stronger overall control.

Trans Narva Analysis

Trans Narva approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 17 points from 25 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 18:57, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Flora Tallinn Analysis

Flora Tallinn approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 3 with 42 points from 24 matches. Across the season they have posted 14 wins, 0 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 46:30 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 8 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Trans Narva won 2 times, Flora Tallinn won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:37 from Trans Narva's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.3%)
H2H summary: Trans Narva wins 2, draws 4, Flora Tallinn wins 9

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 21 5 1 74:20 54 68
W W W W W
2 28 17 1 10 56:37 19 52
W D W W L
3 28 14 5 9 49:26 23 47
W L L L L
4 27 13 6 8 43:35 8 45
L W L W W
5 27 14 2 11 36:38 -2 44
W L W L W
6 28 11 1 16 40:47 -7 34
W L L W W
7 27 10 4 13 37:52 -15 34
L W W D L
8 28 9 1 18 46:65 -19 28
L W L L L
9 28 8 4 16 31:49 -18 28
L L W D L
10 28 5 3 20 21:64 -43 18
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga