ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
--.--.---- --:--
Prenton Park
Referee: C. Brook
Tranmere
Match Timeline
Bristol Rovers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Nohan Kenneh
Tranmere
🟨
34'
Riley Harbottle
Bristol Rovers
🔄
45+3'
L. O'Connor ↔ P. Brough
Tranmere
🔄
46'
T. Leigh ↔ J. McEachran
Bristol Rovers
🔄
60'
F. Cavegn ↔ P. Omochere
Bristol Rovers
🟨
63'
Sam Finley
Tranmere
🟨
63'
Kofi Balmer
Bristol Rovers
🔄
64'
K. Woolery ↔ K. Dennis
Tranmere
🔄
64'
N. Kenneh ↔ R. Watson
Tranmere
65'
P. Omochere · Assist: B. Young
Bristol Rovers
71'
J. Joseph · Assist: E. Bristow
Tranmere
🟨
75'
Nathan James Smith
Tranmere
🔄
78'
K. Thompson-Sommers ↔ Y. Akhamrich
Bristol Rovers
🔄
79'
Z. Obiero ↔ C. Whitaker
Tranmere
🔄
79'
J. Quigley ↔ E. Harrison
Bristol Rovers
84'
Y. Akhamrich · Assist: S. Forde
Bristol Rovers
🟨
90+2'
Kristian Dennis
Tranmere
🟨
90+2'
Brad Young
Bristol Rovers
🔄
90+7'
S. Forde ↔ M. Rijks
Bristol Rovers

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 81.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 64.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 59.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
81.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
64.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
59.7%
-
Probability Distribution
Tranmere Win 3%
Draw 15.2%
Bristol Rovers Win 81.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tranmere1.27
Bristol Rovers1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tranmere Tranmere
WWDLW
50 GF / 75 GA
Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers
WLDWL
51 GF / 65 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.74
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
25
BTTS Yes
20
23
Over 2.5
23
3.69
Shots on Goal
3.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tranmere Tranmere 43 matches
Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 45 matches
Tranmere Statistic Bristol Rovers
9 Wins 18
10 Draws 4
24 Losses 23
50 Goals For 51
75 Goals Against 65
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.74 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
25 BTTS Yes 20
35 Over 1.5 31
23 Over 2.5 23
16 Over 3.5 13
8 Clean Sheets 10
12 Failed To Score 16
3.69 Shots On Goal 3.11
11.93 Total Shots 11.16
4.17 Corners 4.68
48.6% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Bristol Rovers. Bristol Rovers look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Tranmere expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Bristol Rovers in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bristol Rovers having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Tranmere Analysis

Tranmere sit 20 with 37 points after 42 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 23 defeats with a 49:72 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on C. Whitaker (9 goals), O. Patrick (7 goals), J. Ironside (5 goals), with creative support from O. Patrick (5 assists), J. Davison (4 assists), C. Jennings (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bristol Rovers Analysis

Bristol Rovers approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 55 points from 43 matches. The overall return of 17 wins, 4 draws, and 22 defeats with a 49:63 goal balance points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they depend heavily on I. Hutchinson (16 goals), F. Cavegn (10 goals), E. Harrison (7 goals), with creative support from I. Hutchinson (4 assists), A. Kilgour (4 assists), Joel Senior (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Tranmere won 2 times, Bristol Rovers won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:8 from Tranmere's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (97%)
Predicted formations: Tranmere 3-4-2-1 / Bristol Rovers 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Tranmere wins 2, draws 3, Bristol Rovers wins 2
Stats
Tranmere Tranmere
Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
5 Corner Kicks 2
11 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 1
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 2
4 Shots insidebox 4
6 Shots outsidebox 6
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
325 Total passes 312
197 Passes accurate 203
0.63 expected_goals 0.48
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Tranmere
Formation
Bristol Rovers
M. Marosi
M. Marosi
L. O'Connor
L. O'Connor
N. Smith
N. Smith
W. Tamen
W. Tamen
J. Joseph
J. Joseph
S. Finley
S. Finley
N. Kenneh
N. Kenneh
E. Bristow
🎯
E. Bristow
O. Patrick
O. Patrick
Z. Obiero
Z. Obiero
K. Woolery
K. Woolery
B. Young
🎯
B. Young
J. Senior
J. Senior
K. Balmer
K. Balmer
R. Harbottle
R. Harbottle
J. Sparkes
J. Sparkes
K. Thompson-Sommers
K. Thompson-Sommers
R. De Havilland
R. De Havilland
T. Leigh
T. Leigh
S. Forde
🎯
S. Forde
F. Cavegn
F. Cavegn
J. Quigley
J. Quigley
Tranmere 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
33
M. Marosi
G
22
L. O'Connor
↓ 45+3'
D
5
N. Smith
🟨 75'
D
15
W. Tamen
D
14
J. Joseph
⚽ 71'
M
8
S. Finley
🟨 63'
M
42
N. Kenneh
↓ 64' 🟨 12'
M
23
E. Bristow
🎯 71'
M
11
O. Patrick
F
32
Z. Obiero
↓ 79'
F
41
K. Woolery
↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
12
J. Barrett
G
29
J. Ironside
F
9
K. Dennis
↑ 64' 🟨 90+2'
F
44
R. Watson
↑ 64'
M
7
C. Whitaker
↑ 79'
M
26
J. Plant
M
3
P. Brough
↑ 45+3'
D
Bristol Rovers 4-3-1-2
Starting XI
13
B. Young
🎯 65' 🟨 90+2'
G
2
J. Senior
D
17
K. Balmer
🟨 63'
D
26
R. Harbottle
🟨 34'
D
3
J. Sparkes
D
14
K. Thompson-Sommers
↓ 78'
M
15
R. De Havilland
M
24
T. Leigh
↓ 46'
M
7
S. Forde
🎯 84' ↓ 90+7'
M
29
F. Cavegn
↓ 60'
F
27
J. Quigley
↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
1
L. Southwood
G
4
T. Moore
D
35
M. Rijks
↑ 90+7'
F
10
Y. Akhamrich
⚽ 84' ↑ 78'
F
20
J. McEachran
↑ 46'
M
19
E. Harrison
↑ 79'
F
9
P. Omochere
⚽ 65' ↑ 60'
F
Last matches: Tranmere
02.05.26
Lea
Tranmere
Grimsby
1
1
D
25.04.26
Lea
Tranmere
Milton Keynes Dons
0
3
L
21.04.26
Lea
Tranmere
Cheltenham
3
1
W
11.04.26
Lea
Tranmere
Chesterfield
1
1
D
06.04.26
Lea
Tranmere
Colchester
0
1
L
03.04.26
Lea
Tranmere
Shrewsbury
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Tranmere
Swindon Town
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Tranmere
Harrogate Town
0
3
L
14.03.26
Lea
Tranmere
Fleetwood Town
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lea
Tranmere
Oldham
1
3
L
03.03.26
Lea
Tranmere
Newport County
1
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Tranmere
Crewe
1
2
L
21.02.26
Lea
Tranmere
Notts County
0
5
L
17.02.26
Lea
Tranmere
Accrington ST
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lea
Tranmere
Crawley Town
2
0
W
07.02.26
Lea
Tranmere
Gillingham
1
2
L
31.01.26
Lea
Tranmere
Salford City
0
2
L
27.01.26
Lea
Tranmere
Barnet
0
1
L
24.01.26
Lea
Tranmere
Cambridge United
2
4
L
17.01.26
Lea
Tranmere
Walsall
1
3
L
Last matches: Bristol Rovers
02.05.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Notts County
1
1
D
25.04.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
4
0
W
11.04.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Crawley Town
3
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Harrogate Town
3
2
W
03.04.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Fleetwood Town
1
0
W
28.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Accrington ST
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Gillingham
2
1
W
17.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury
1
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
0
1
L
10.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Barrow
2
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Crewe
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Swindon Town
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Grimsby
3
1
W
17.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Oldham
0
2
L
14.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Cambridge United
1
3
L
07.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Chesterfield
2
3
L
03.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Walsall
2
0
W
31.01.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Newport County
3
0
W
27.01.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Milton Keynes Dons
0
1
L
24.01.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Salford City
0
1
L
H2H: Tranmere vs Bristol Rovers
18.04.26
H2H
Tranmere
Bristol Rovers
1
2
L
18.10.25
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Tranmere
1
4
W
09.04.22
H2H
Tranmere
Bristol Rovers
1
1
D
20.11.21
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Tranmere
2
2
D
11.02.20
H2H
Tranmere
Bristol Rovers
0
0
D
20.08.19
H2H
Bristol Rovers
Tranmere
2
0
L
08.11.14
H2H
Tranmere
Bristol Rovers
1
0
W
Last matches: Tranmere
02.05.26
Lea
Tranmere
Grimsby
1
1
D
06.04.26
Lea
Tranmere
Colchester
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Tranmere
Swindon Town
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Tranmere
Harrogate Town
0
3
L
07.03.26
Lea
Tranmere
Oldham
1
3
L
17.02.26
Lea
Tranmere
Accrington ST
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lea
Tranmere
Crawley Town
2
0
W
31.01.26
Lea
Tranmere
Salford City
0
2
L
17.01.26
Lea
Tranmere
Walsall
1
3
L
10.01.26
Lea
Tranmere
Bromley
0
2
L
29.12.25
Lea
Tranmere
Barrow
1
3
L
26.12.25
Lea
Tranmere
Fleetwood Town
1
0
W
13.12.25
Lea
Tranmere
Crewe
1
4
L
22.11.25
Lea
Tranmere
Milton Keynes Dons
2
2
D
15.11.25
Lea
Tranmere
Cheltenham
3
2
W
01.11.25
FA
Tranmere
Stockport County
1
3
L
25.10.25
Lea
Tranmere
Chesterfield
1
1
D
11.10.25
Lea
Tranmere
Barnet
0
2
L
27.09.25
Lea
Tranmere
Cambridge United
0
0
D
13.09.25
Lea
Tranmere
Newport County
1
1
D
H2H at home: Tranmere
18.04.26
H2H
Tranmere
Bristol Rovers
1
2
L
09.04.22
H2H
Tranmere
Bristol Rovers
1
1
D
11.02.20
H2H
Tranmere
Bristol Rovers
0
0
D
08.11.14
H2H
Tranmere
Bristol Rovers
1
0
W
Last matches: Bristol Rovers
02.05.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Notts County
1
1
D
06.04.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Harrogate Town
3
2
W
21.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Gillingham
2
1
W
14.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
0
1
L
10.03.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Barrow
2
0
W
28.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Swindon Town
1
1
D
17.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Oldham
0
2
L
14.02.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Cambridge United
1
3
L
27.01.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Milton Keynes Dons
0
1
L
24.01.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Salford City
0
1
L
01.01.26
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury
3
0
W
19.12.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Crewe
1
1
D
09.12.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Barnet
0
4
L
06.12.25
FA
Bristol Rovers
Port Vale
0
1
L
22.11.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
0
1
L
15.11.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Accrington ST
1
3
L
01.11.25
FA
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
2
1
W
25.10.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Crawley Town
0
4
L
04.10.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Walsall
1
2
L
20.09.25
Lea
Bristol Rovers
Colchester
1
1
D
H2H away: Bristol Rovers
18.04.26
H2H
Tranmere
Bristol Rovers
1
2
W
09.04.22
H2H
Tranmere
Bristol Rovers
1
1
D
11.02.20
H2H
Tranmere
Bristol Rovers
0
0
D
08.11.14
H2H
Tranmere
Bristol Rovers
1
0
L

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 24 15 7 71:46 25 87
W L D L W
2 46 24 14 8 86:45 41 86
D W W W D
3 46 22 16 8 66:33 33 82
D W L D W
4 46 25 6 15 61:51 10 81
L D W D W
5 46 24 8 14 74:52 22 80
W D W D W
6 46 21 16 9 71:56 15 79
D L W W D
7 46 22 12 12 74:50 24 78
D L D W W
8 46 21 13 12 70:53 17 76
W W W W W
9 46 22 9 15 70:59 11 75
L L D L W
10 46 18 14 14 60:44 16 68
W L L L L
11 46 19 10 17 64:58 6 67
D L L L W
12 46 18 12 16 62:49 13 66
W L L W W
13 46 18 11 17 56:56 0 65
L L W L L
14 46 19 5 22 56:65 -9 62
D W W W W
15 46 15 16 15 57:58 -1 61
D D D W L
16 46 14 11 21 47:58 -11 53
L D D L L
17 46 13 14 19 53:72 -19 53
W L L L D
18 46 14 10 22 53:79 -26 52
L L L W W
19 46 13 10 23 42:69 -27 49
L D D W L
20 46 12 7 27 48:77 -29 43
W W L W L
21 46 10 11 25 54:79 -25 41
D L W L D
22 46 8 16 22 44:68 -24 40
D D D L L
23 46 10 9 27 39:68 -29 39
L W W L L
24 46 9 9 28 45:78 -33 36
L L L W L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation