FINLAND YKKöNEN
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Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.3%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
TPV Win 54.3%
Draw 4.8%
SalPa Win 40.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
TPV1.63
SalPa1.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
TPV TPV
WWDLW
37 GF / 46 GA
SalPa SalPa
WLDWL
33 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.61
Average Goals Scored
1.83
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
15
BTTS Yes
11
17
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

TPV TPV 23 matches
SalPa SalPa 18 matches
TPV Statistic SalPa
7 Wins 8
5 Draws 5
11 Losses 5
37 Goals For 33
46 Goals Against 30
1.61 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
15 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 16
17 Over 2.5 12
13 Over 3.5 8
2 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights SalPa's more proactive style and TPV's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward SalPa having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors SalPa. TPV come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

TPV Analysis

So far, TPV have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 19 points from 17 matches. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 25:32 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

SalPa Analysis

SalPa come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 26 points from 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, while the 31:29 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, TPV won 2 times, SalPa won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:21 from TPV's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 4.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
H2H summary: TPV wins 2, draws 1, SalPa wins 5
Last matches: TPV
05.08.26
Ykk
TPV
OLS
2
4
L
01.08.26
Ykk
TPV
Rops
6
3
W
24.07.26
Ykk
TPV
FC jazz
0
4
L
18.07.26
Ykk
TPV
KuPS Akatemia
3
1
W
11.07.26
Ykk
TPV
KPV-j
3
1
W
05.07.26
Ykk
TPV
JJK
1
0
W
29.06.26
Ykk
TPV
VJS
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ykk
TPV
PKKU
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
TPV
Inter Turku II
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Tampere United
0
3
L
23.05.26
Ykk
TPV
SalPa
2
4
L
16.05.26
Ykk
TPV
OLS
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Rops
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ykk
TPV
FC jazz
0
2
L
24.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KuPS Akatemia
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ykk
TPV
JJK
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KPV-j
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ykk
TPV
VJS
3
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
TPV
JäPS
0
1
L
22.03.26
Fri
TPV
Haka
1
3
L
Last matches: SalPa
05.08.26
Ykk
SalPa
JJK
2
1
W
01.08.26
Ykk
SalPa
KPV-j
0
3
L
25.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
PKKU
0
1
L
18.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
Inter Turku II
2
1
W
10.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
Tampere United
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
VJS
2
2
D
27.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
Rops
2
2
D
12.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
KuPS Akatemia
4
3
W
06.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
OLS
0
5
L
28.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
FC jazz
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
TPV
4
2
W
16.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
JJK
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
KPV-j
6
0
W
02.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
PKKU
0
2
L
24.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Inter Turku II
2
3
L
18.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
VJS
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Tampere United
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Rops
1
1
D
H2H: TPV vs SalPa
23.05.26
H2H
SalPa
TPV
4
2
L
11.08.21
H2H
SalPa
TPV
5
0
L
07.08.21
H2H
TPV
SalPa
0
2
L
17.06.20
H2H
TPV
SalPa
1
4
L
30.09.17
H2H
SalPa
TPV
2
4
W
07.07.17
H2H
TPV
SalPa
1
3
L
11.08.16
H2H
TPV
SalPa
4
1
W
28.05.16
H2H
SalPa
TPV
0
0
D
Last matches: TPV
01.08.26
Ykk
TPV
Rops
6
3
W
18.07.26
Ykk
TPV
KuPS Akatemia
3
1
W
05.07.26
Ykk
TPV
JJK
1
0
W
06.06.26
Ykk
TPV
Inter Turku II
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Tampere United
0
3
L
16.05.26
Ykk
TPV
OLS
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ykk
TPV
FC jazz
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KPV-j
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ykk
TPV
VJS
3
1
W
25.01.26
Fri
TPV
Atlantis
3
2
W
18.01.26
Fri
TPV
JJK
2
2
D
H2H at home: TPV
07.08.21
H2H
TPV
SalPa
0
2
L
17.06.20
H2H
TPV
SalPa
1
4
L
07.07.17
H2H
TPV
SalPa
1
3
L
11.08.16
H2H
TPV
SalPa
4
1
W
Last matches: SalPa
01.08.26
Ykk
SalPa
KPV-j
0
3
L
18.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
Inter Turku II
2
1
W
10.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
Tampere United
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
Rops
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
OLS
0
5
L
28.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
FC jazz
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
JJK
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
PKKU
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
VJS
1
1
D
H2H away: SalPa
07.08.21
H2H
TPV
SalPa
0
2
W
17.06.20
H2H
TPV
SalPa
1
4
W
07.07.17
H2H
TPV
SalPa
1
3
W
11.08.16
H2H
TPV
SalPa
4
1
L

Standings

Group Stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 12 3 3 41:15 26 39
W D D W L
2 18 9 6 3 40:24 16 33
D L W D W
3 18 8 5 5 36:26 10 29
W W D L L
4
SalPa Away
18 8 5 5 33:30 3 29
W L L W W
5 18 7 6 5 33:26 7 27
D D W L D
6 18 6 8 4 31:23 8 26
D D D W L
7 18 7 4 7 41:35 6 25
L L L D L
8 18 7 4 7 26:27 -1 25
D D W W L
9
TPV Home
18 5 4 9 27:36 -9 19
L W L W W
10 17 4 5 8 29:44 -15 17
D D L L W
11 18 3 3 12 17:56 -39 12
L W L D L
12 17 2 5 10 29:41 -12 11
D D L D L