Toulouse
Match Timeline
Real Sociedad
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
52.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
69.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Toulouse Win 52.9%
Draw 7.7%
Real Sociedad Win 39.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toulouse1.1
Real Sociedad1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toulouse
WWDLW
1 GF / 1 GA
Real Sociedad
WLDWL
7 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
1
BTTS Yes
3
0
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toulouse
1 matches
Real Sociedad
4 matches
| Toulouse | Statistic | Real Sociedad |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Wins | 2 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 0 | Losses | 1 |
| 1 | Goals For | 7 |
| 1 | Goals Against | 5 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.75 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 1 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 0 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Toulouse won 2 times, Real Sociedad won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:1 from Toulouse's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.4%)
Predicted formations: Toulouse 3-4-2-1 / Real Sociedad -
H2H summary: Toulouse wins 2, draws 0, Real Sociedad wins 0
Lineups
Real Sociedad
Formation
Toulouse
U. Marrero
I. Zubeldia
C. Soler
A. Zakharyan
J. Pacheco
J. Lopez
I. Ruperez
J. Ochieng
G. Carrera
I. Aguirre
A. Lebarbier
G. Restes
I. Diallo
S. Koumbassa
R. Nicolaisen
C. Tape
A. Vossah
C. Casseres
J. Vignolo
A. Donnum
S. Hidalgo
Y. Gboho
Real Sociedad
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
13
U. Marrero
↓ 75'
5
I. Zubeldia
↓ 46'
18
C. Soler
⚽ 33'
↓ 55'
21
A. Zakharyan
↓ 46'
26
J. Pacheco
↓ 55'
27
J. Lopez
↓ 55'
33
I. Ruperez
↓ 55'
34
J. Ochieng
↓ 55'
35
G. Carrera
↓ 55'
39
I. Aguirre
↓ 55'
40
A. Lebarbier
↓ 55'
Substitutes
1
A. Fraga
↑ 75'
2
J. Aramburu
↑ 55'
3
A. Munoz
↑ 55'
7
A. Barrenetxea
↑ 55'
8
B. Turrientes
↑ 55'
9
O. Oskarsson
↑ 55'
12
Y. Herrera
↑ 55'
24
L. Sucic
↑ 55'
31
J. Martin
↑ 55'
J. Balda
4
L. Beitia
↑ 46'
19
A. Marchal
↑ 46'
15
K. Kita
Toulouse
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
16
G. Restes
↓ 46'
94
I. Diallo
↓ 46'
5
S. Koumbassa
↓ 67'
2
R. Nicolaisen
↓ 67'
12
C. Tape
↓ 67'
6
A. Vossah
↓ 46'
23
C. Casseres
↓ 67'
7
J. Vignolo
⚽ 31'
↓ 46'
15
A. Donnum
↓ 46'
9
S. Hidalgo
⚽ 45'
10
Y. Gboho
↓ 67'
Substitutes
60
M. Niflore
↑ 46'
4
C. Cresswell
13
J. Russell-Rowe
↑ 46'
17
A. Francis
↑ 46'
24
D. Methalie
↑ 67'
31
N. Schmidt
↑ 67'
28
M. Saka
↑ 46'
L. Frechingues
D. Bique
44
G. Bakhouche Piernas
↑ 67'
N. Siaka
↑ 67'
A. Amaaouch
↑ 46'
W. Dardake
↑ 67'
40
N. Said Mchindra
Last matches: Toulouse
15.08.26
Fri
Toulouse
Hamburger SV
1
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Toulouse
Rodez
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
W
03.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Strasbourg
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Monaco
2
2
D
21.04.26
Cou
Toulouse
Lens
1
4
L
17.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lens
2
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lille
0
4
L
03.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
1
3
L
21.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lorient
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Metz
4
3
W
07.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Marseille
0
1
L
04.03.26
Cou
Toulouse
Marseille
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Rennes
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris FC
1
1
D
15.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Le Havre
1
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Angers
0
1
L
04.02.26
Cou
Toulouse
Amiens
1
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Auxerre
0
0
D
25.01.26
Lig
Toulouse
Stade Brestois 29
2
0
W
Last matches: Real Sociedad
15.08.26
Fri
Real Sociedad
Chelsea
1
3
L
08.08.26
Fri
Real Sociedad
1. FC Köln
1
2
L
28.07.26
Fri
Real Sociedad
Aston Villa
4
2
W
25.07.26
Fri
Real Sociedad
Wolves
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Real Sociedad
Racing Santander
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
Real Sociedad
PAU
0
1
L
23.05.26
La
Real Sociedad
Espanyol
1
1
D
17.05.26
La
Real Sociedad
Valencia
3
4
L
14.05.26
La
Real Sociedad
Girona
1
1
D
09.05.26
La
Real Sociedad
Real Betis
2
2
D
04.05.26
La
Real Sociedad
Sevilla
0
1
L
26.04.26
La
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
3
3
D
22.04.26
La
Real Sociedad
Getafe
0
1
L
18.04.26
Cop
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
2
2
D
11.04.26
La
Real Sociedad
Alaves
3
3
D
04.04.26
La
Real Sociedad
Levante
2
0
W
20.03.26
La
Real Sociedad
Villarreal
1
3
L
15.03.26
La
Real Sociedad
Osasuna
3
1
W
07.03.26
La
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
2
3
L
04.03.26
Cop
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club
1
0
W
H2H: Toulouse vs Real Sociedad
31.07.26
H2H
Toulouse
Real Sociedad
2
1
W
27.07.24
H2H
Real Sociedad
Toulouse
0
0
D
16.07.22
H2H
Real Sociedad
Toulouse
0
1
W
Last matches: Toulouse
15.08.26
Fri
Toulouse
Hamburger SV
1
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Toulouse
Rodez
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Monaco
2
2
D
12.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lille
0
4
L
21.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lorient
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Marseille
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris FC
1
1
D
04.02.26
Cou
Toulouse
Amiens
1
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Auxerre
0
0
D
17.01.26
Lig
Toulouse
Nice
5
1
W
02.01.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lens
0
3
L
06.12.25
Lig
Toulouse
Strasbourg
1
0
W
23.11.25
Lig
Toulouse
Angers
0
1
L
02.11.25
Lig
Toulouse
Le Havre
0
0
D
29.10.25
Lig
Toulouse
Rennes
2
2
D
19.10.25
Lig
Toulouse
Metz
4
0
W
27.09.25
Lig
Toulouse
Nantes
2
2
D
30.08.25
Lig
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
3
6
L
24.08.25
Lig
Toulouse
Stade Brestois 29
2
0
W
H2H at home: Toulouse
31.07.26
H2H
Toulouse
Real Sociedad
2
1
W
Last matches: Real Sociedad
15.08.26
Fri
Real Sociedad
Chelsea
1
3
L
08.08.26
Fri
Real Sociedad
1. FC Köln
1
2
L
28.07.26
Fri
Real Sociedad
Aston Villa
4
2
W
25.07.26
Fri
Real Sociedad
Wolves
2
1
W
23.05.26
La
Real Sociedad
Espanyol
1
1
D
14.05.26
La
Real Sociedad
Girona
1
1
D
04.05.26
La
Real Sociedad
Sevilla
0
1
L
26.04.26
La
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
3
3
D
18.04.26
Cop
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
2
2
D
20.03.26
La
Real Sociedad
Villarreal
1
3
L
07.03.26
La
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
2
3
L
28.02.26
La
Real Sociedad
Mallorca
1
0
W
14.02.26
La
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
1
4
L
11.02.26
Cop
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club
1
0
W
04.02.26
Cop
Real Sociedad
Alaves
3
2
W
01.02.26
La
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club
1
1
D
09.01.26
La
Real Sociedad
Getafe
2
1
W
20.12.25
La
Real Sociedad
Levante
1
1
D
16.12.25
Cop
Real Sociedad
Eldense
2
1
W
06.12.25
La
Real Sociedad
Alaves
0
1
L
H2H away: Real Sociedad
31.07.26
H2H
Toulouse
Real Sociedad
2
1
L