Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Toulouse Win 0%
Draw 0%
Lyon Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toulouse1.36
Lyon1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toulouse
WWDLW
4 GF / 6 GA
Lyon
WLDWL
6 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
2.2
2
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toulouse
5 matches
Lyon
5 matches
| Toulouse | Statistic | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 1 |
| 2 | Draws | 1 |
| 2 | Losses | 3 |
| 4 | Goals For | 6 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 0.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.2 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.2 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toulouse won 2 times, Lyon won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:34 from Toulouse's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Toulouse 4-2-3-1 / Lyon 4-3-3
H2H summary: Toulouse wins 2, draws 3, Lyon wins 10
Last matches: Toulouse
22.08.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lyon
0
2
L
15.08.26
Fri
Toulouse
Hamburger SV
1
2
L
31.07.26
Fri
Toulouse
Real Sociedad
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Toulouse
Rodez
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
W
03.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Strasbourg
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Monaco
2
2
D
21.04.26
Cou
Toulouse
Lens
1
4
L
17.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lens
2
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lille
0
4
L
03.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
1
3
L
21.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lorient
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Metz
4
3
W
07.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Marseille
0
1
L
04.03.26
Cou
Toulouse
Marseille
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Rennes
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris FC
1
1
D
15.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Le Havre
1
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Angers
0
1
L
04.02.26
Cou
Toulouse
Amiens
1
0
W
Last matches: Lyon
26.08.26
UEF
Lyon
Fenerbahçe
1
2
L
22.08.26
Lig
Lyon
Toulouse
2
0
W
18.08.26
UEF
Lyon
Fenerbahçe
1
1
D
11.08.26
UEF
Lyon
Sparta Praha
3
0
W
04.08.26
UEF
Lyon
Sparta Praha
1
2
L
29.07.26
Fri
Lyon
Real Betis
0
4
L
24.07.26
Fri
Lyon
VfL Wolfsburg
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Lyon
Slavia Praha
0
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Lyon
Servette FC
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Lyon
FC ST. Gallen
6
3
W
08.07.26
Fri
Lyon
Mâcon
5
2
W
17.05.26
Lig
Lyon
Lens
0
4
L
10.05.26
Lig
Lyon
Toulouse
1
2
L
03.05.26
Lig
Lyon
Rennes
4
2
W
25.04.26
Lig
Lyon
Auxerre
3
2
W
19.04.26
Lig
Lyon
Paris Saint Germain
2
1
W
12.04.26
Lig
Lyon
Lorient
2
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Lyon
Angers
0
0
D
22.03.26
Lig
Lyon
Monaco
1
2
L
19.03.26
UEF
Lyon
Celta Vigo
0
2
L
H2H: Toulouse vs Lyon
22.08.26
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
0
2
L
10.05.26
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
W
05.10.25
H2H
Lyon
Toulouse
1
2
W
18.01.25
H2H
Lyon
Toulouse
0
0
D
29.09.24
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
1
2
L
15.03.24
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
2
3
L
10.12.23
H2H
Lyon
Toulouse
3
0
L
14.04.23
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
1
2
L
07.10.22
H2H
Lyon
Toulouse
1
1
D
26.01.20
H2H
Lyon
Toulouse
3
0
L
18.12.19
H2H
Lyon
Toulouse
4
1
L
02.11.19
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
2
3
L
03.03.19
H2H
Lyon
Toulouse
5
1
L
16.01.19
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
2
2
D
01.04.18
H2H
Lyon
Toulouse
2
0
L
Last matches: Toulouse
22.08.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lyon
0
2
L
15.08.26
Fri
Toulouse
Hamburger SV
1
2
L
31.07.26
Fri
Toulouse
Real Sociedad
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Toulouse
Rodez
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Monaco
2
2
D
12.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lille
0
4
L
21.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lorient
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Marseille
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris FC
1
1
D
04.02.26
Cou
Toulouse
Amiens
1
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Auxerre
0
0
D
17.01.26
Lig
Toulouse
Nice
5
1
W
02.01.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lens
0
3
L
06.12.25
Lig
Toulouse
Strasbourg
1
0
W
23.11.25
Lig
Toulouse
Angers
0
1
L
02.11.25
Lig
Toulouse
Le Havre
0
0
D
29.10.25
Lig
Toulouse
Rennes
2
2
D
19.10.25
Lig
Toulouse
Metz
4
0
W
27.09.25
Lig
Toulouse
Nantes
2
2
D
H2H at home: Toulouse
22.08.26
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
0
2
L
10.05.26
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
W
29.09.24
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
1
2
L
15.03.24
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
2
3
L
14.04.23
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
1
2
L
02.11.19
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
2
3
L
16.01.19
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
2
2
D
Last matches: Lyon
22.08.26
Lig
Lyon
Toulouse
2
0
W
18.08.26
UEF
Lyon
Fenerbahçe
1
1
D
04.08.26
UEF
Lyon
Sparta Praha
1
2
L
29.07.26
Fri
Lyon
Real Betis
0
4
L
24.07.26
Fri
Lyon
VfL Wolfsburg
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Lyon
Slavia Praha
0
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Lyon
Toulouse
1
2
L
19.04.26
Lig
Lyon
Paris Saint Germain
2
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Lyon
Angers
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
Lyon
Le Havre
0
0
D
12.03.26
UEF
Lyon
Celta Vigo
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
Lyon
Marseille
2
3
L
22.02.26
Lig
Lyon
Strasbourg
1
3
L
07.02.26
Lig
Lyon
Nantes
1
0
W
25.01.26
Lig
Lyon
Metz
5
2
W
22.01.26
UEF
Lyon
BSC Young Boys
1
0
W
11.01.26
Cou
Lyon
Lille
2
1
W
03.01.26
Lig
Lyon
Monaco
3
1
W
07.12.25
Lig
Lyon
Lorient
0
1
L
27.11.25
UEF
Lyon
Maccabi Tel Aviv
6
0
W
H2H away: Lyon
22.08.26
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
0
2
W
10.05.26
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
L
29.09.24
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
1
2
W
15.03.24
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
2
3
W
14.04.23
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
1
2
W
02.11.19
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
2
3
W
16.01.19
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
2
2
D
Standings
Ligue 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92:35 | 57 | 84 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
| 2 |
|
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74:47 | 27 | 65 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 3 |
|
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63:41 | 22 | 61 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
| 4 |
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66:41 | 25 | 60 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 5 |
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52:36 | 16 | 60 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 6 |
Away
|
34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65:46 | 19 | 57 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 7 |
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56:44 | 12 | 57 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
| 8 |
|
34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 52 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 9 |
|
34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52:59 | -7 | 50 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 10 |
Home
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44:43 | 1 | 42 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 11 |
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48:51 | -3 | 42 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
| 12 |
|
34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51:50 | 1 | 41 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 13 |
|
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39:52 | -13 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
| 14 |
|
34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32:53 | -21 | 36 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 15 |
|
34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40:71 | -31 | 34 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
| 16 |
|
34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 17 |
|
34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39:77 | -38 | 30 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 18 |
|
34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23:79 | -56 | 16 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Champions League
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Relegation